Opinion Poll by Ipsos for RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws, 10–17 January 2017
Areas included: Brussels, Flanders, Wallonia
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 20.3% | 17.3% | 15.4–16.3% | 15.2–16.3% | 15.0–16.3% | 14.6–16.4% |
| CD&V | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.9–8.6% | 7.7–8.6% | 7.6–8.6% | 7.3–8.6% |
| PS | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.6–8.0% | 7.5–8.0% | 7.4–8.0% | 7.2–8.0% |
| sp.a | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9–7.6% | 6.7–7.6% | 6.6–7.6% | 6.3–7.6% |
| Open Vld | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8–7.4% | 6.6–7.4% | 6.5–7.4% | 6.2–7.4% |
| Groen | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8–8.2% | 6.5–8.3% | 6.4–8.4% | 6.0–8.4% |
| MR | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.4–6.7% | 6.3–6.8% | 6.2–6.8% | 6.0–6.8% |
| Vlaams Belang | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.2–5.8% | 5.1–5.8% | 5.0–5.9% | 4.7–5.9% |
| PTB | 2.0% | 5.9% | 5.1–5.4% | 5.0–5.4% | 4.9–5.4% | 4.7–5.4% |
| Ecolo | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7–4.0% | 3.6–4.0% | 3.6–4.0% | 3.4–4.0% |
| cdH | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3–3.6% | 3.2–3.6% | 3.2–3.6% | 3.0–3.6% |
| PVDA | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8–3.8% | 2.7–3.9% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.0% |
| Parti Populaire | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2–1.4% | 1.2–1.4% | 1.2–1.4% | 1.1–1.4% |
| DéFI | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2–1.3% | 1.1–1.3% | 1.1–1.3% | 1.0–1.3% |
| La Droite | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9–1.2% | 0.8–1.2% | 0.8–1.2% | 0.7–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 33 | 28 | 26–30 | 25–30 | 24–31 | 23–32 |
| CD&V | 18 | 14 | 13–15 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 11–18 |
| PS | 23 | 18 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 |
| sp.a | 13 | 12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–15 |
| Open Vld | 14 | 12 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 8–15 |
| Groen | 6 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 8–13 |
| MR | 20 | 16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 |
| Vlaams Belang | 3 | 8 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 |
| PTB | 2 | 11 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 |
| Ecolo | 6 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| cdH | 9 | 7 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| PVDA | 0 | 3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–5 |
| Parti Populaire | 1 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| DéFI | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| La Droite | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 24 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 7% | 97% | |
| 26 | 14% | 90% | |
| 27 | 21% | 76% | |
| 28 | 23% | 55% | Median |
| 29 | 20% | 32% | |
| 30 | 9% | 12% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 2% | 98% | |
| 13 | 32% | 96% | |
| 14 | 44% | 64% | Median |
| 15 | 10% | 20% | |
| 16 | 4% | 10% | |
| 17 | 3% | 6% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 12% | 98% | |
| 17 | 27% | 85% | |
| 18 | 27% | 58% | Median |
| 19 | 18% | 31% | |
| 20 | 12% | 13% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 3% | 100% | |
| 10 | 4% | 97% | |
| 11 | 37% | 93% | |
| 12 | 15% | 57% | Median |
| 13 | 25% | 41% | Last Result |
| 14 | 11% | 16% | |
| 15 | 5% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 10 | 4% | 98% | |
| 11 | 18% | 94% | |
| 12 | 61% | 76% | Median |
| 13 | 12% | 15% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 10 | 21% | 97% | |
| 11 | 44% | 76% | Median |
| 12 | 30% | 32% | |
| 13 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 14 | 14% | 95% | |
| 15 | 22% | 81% | |
| 16 | 29% | 59% | Median |
| 17 | 25% | 29% | |
| 18 | 4% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 12% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 68% | 88% | Median |
| 9 | 9% | 20% | |
| 10 | 4% | 11% | |
| 11 | 3% | 7% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 39% | 94% | |
| 11 | 38% | 55% | Median |
| 12 | 14% | 17% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 4% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 7 | 22% | 95% | |
| 8 | 45% | 74% | Median |
| 9 | 25% | 29% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 5 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 17% | 94% | |
| 7 | 30% | 77% | Median |
| 8 | 32% | 47% | |
| 9 | 13% | 14% | Last Result |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 12% | 100% | |
| 2 | 33% | 88% | |
| 3 | 49% | 55% | Median |
| 4 | 4% | 6% | |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 36% | 100% | |
| 1 | 17% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 47% | 47% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 45% | 100% | |
| 2 | 55% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
La Droite
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the La Droite page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 72% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 28% | 28% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – Open Vld – Groen – MR – Ecolo – cdH | 109 | 98 | 100% | 95–101 | 94–101 | 94–102 | 92–103 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – Groen – PTB – Ecolo – cdH – PVDA | 77 | 84 | 100% | 81–87 | 80–87 | 79–88 | 78–90 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 97 | 79 | 94% | 76–82 | 75–82 | 75–83 | 73–84 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 94 | 77 | 68% | 74–79 | 73–80 | 72–81 | 70–82 |
| PS – sp.a – Open Vld – Groen – MR – Ecolo | 82 | 77 | 70% | 74–79 | 73–80 | 72–81 | 71–82 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – Groen – Ecolo – cdH | 75 | 70 | 2% | 68–73 | 67–74 | 66–75 | 65–77 |
| PS – sp.a – Groen – PTB – Ecolo – cdH – PVDA | 59 | 70 | 0.5% | 67–72 | 66–73 | 65–74 | 64–76 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR | 85 | 69 | 0.1% | 66–72 | 66–72 | 65–73 | 63–74 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – Groen – MR – Ecolo – cdH | 73 | 68 | 0% | 65–71 | 64–71 | 63–72 | 62–73 |
| CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 84 | 67 | 0% | 64–69 | 63–70 | 63–71 | 61–72 |
| PS – sp.a – Groen – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA | 50 | 62 | 0% | 59–65 | 59–66 | 58–67 | 57–68 |
| PS – sp.a – Open Vld – MR | 70 | 58 | 0% | 55–60 | 54–61 | 54–61 | 52–63 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – cdH | 63 | 51 | 0% | 48–54 | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–57 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 61 | 49 | 0% | 46–51 | 45–52 | 45–53 | 43–54 |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – Open Vld – Groen – MR – Ecolo – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 94 | 3% | 98% | |
| 95 | 7% | 94% | |
| 96 | 12% | 87% | |
| 97 | 17% | 75% | |
| 98 | 19% | 58% | Median |
| 99 | 17% | 39% | |
| 100 | 12% | 22% | |
| 101 | 6% | 10% | |
| 102 | 3% | 4% | |
| 103 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 104 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – Groen – PTB – Ecolo – cdH – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.1% | 100% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 79 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 80 | 5% | 96% | |
| 81 | 9% | 91% | |
| 82 | 14% | 82% | |
| 83 | 17% | 68% | |
| 84 | 17% | 50% | Median |
| 85 | 14% | 33% | |
| 86 | 9% | 19% | |
| 87 | 5% | 10% | |
| 88 | 3% | 5% | |
| 89 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 4% | 98% | |
| 76 | 8% | 94% | Majority |
| 77 | 13% | 86% | |
| 78 | 17% | 73% | |
| 79 | 18% | 56% | Median |
| 80 | 16% | 38% | |
| 81 | 11% | 22% | |
| 82 | 6% | 11% | |
| 83 | 3% | 4% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 3% | 98% | |
| 73 | 5% | 96% | |
| 74 | 9% | 90% | |
| 75 | 14% | 81% | |
| 76 | 17% | 68% | Majority |
| 77 | 17% | 51% | Median |
| 78 | 15% | 33% | |
| 79 | 10% | 19% | |
| 80 | 5% | 9% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
PS – sp.a – Open Vld – Groen – MR – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 5% | 97% | |
| 74 | 9% | 93% | |
| 75 | 14% | 84% | |
| 76 | 18% | 70% | Majority |
| 77 | 18% | 52% | Median |
| 78 | 15% | 33% | |
| 79 | 10% | 18% | |
| 80 | 5% | 9% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – Groen – Ecolo – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 6% | 96% | |
| 68 | 11% | 90% | |
| 69 | 16% | 79% | |
| 70 | 18% | 64% | Median |
| 71 | 17% | 46% | |
| 72 | 13% | 29% | |
| 73 | 8% | 17% | |
| 74 | 5% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 76 | 1.0% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
PS – sp.a – Groen – PTB – Ecolo – cdH – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 5% | 97% | |
| 67 | 9% | 93% | |
| 68 | 14% | 83% | |
| 69 | 18% | 69% | |
| 70 | 18% | 51% | Median |
| 71 | 14% | 33% | |
| 72 | 9% | 19% | |
| 73 | 5% | 9% | |
| 74 | 3% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 6% | 95% | |
| 67 | 11% | 89% | |
| 68 | 15% | 79% | |
| 69 | 19% | 63% | |
| 70 | 18% | 45% | Median |
| 71 | 14% | 27% | |
| 72 | 8% | 13% | |
| 73 | 3% | 5% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – Groen – MR – Ecolo – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 4% | 97% | |
| 65 | 7% | 93% | |
| 66 | 12% | 86% | |
| 67 | 16% | 74% | |
| 68 | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 69 | 16% | 40% | |
| 70 | 12% | 24% | |
| 71 | 7% | 12% | |
| 72 | 3% | 5% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 8% | 95% | |
| 65 | 14% | 87% | |
| 66 | 19% | 73% | |
| 67 | 20% | 54% | Median |
| 68 | 16% | 34% | |
| 69 | 10% | 18% | |
| 70 | 5% | 8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
PS – sp.a – Groen – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 59 | 6% | 96% | |
| 60 | 11% | 89% | |
| 61 | 15% | 78% | |
| 62 | 18% | 63% | |
| 63 | 17% | 45% | Median |
| 64 | 13% | 29% | |
| 65 | 8% | 16% | |
| 66 | 4% | 7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
PS – sp.a – Open Vld – MR
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 5% | 98% | |
| 55 | 9% | 93% | |
| 56 | 15% | 84% | |
| 57 | 19% | 69% | |
| 58 | 19% | 50% | Median |
| 59 | 15% | 31% | |
| 60 | 9% | 16% | |
| 61 | 5% | 7% | |
| 62 | 2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 48 | 7% | 96% | |
| 49 | 12% | 89% | |
| 50 | 16% | 78% | |
| 51 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 52 | 16% | 45% | |
| 53 | 13% | 29% | |
| 54 | 8% | 16% | |
| 55 | 4% | 8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 45 | 3% | 98% | |
| 46 | 7% | 95% | |
| 47 | 13% | 87% | |
| 48 | 18% | 74% | |
| 49 | 19% | 57% | Median |
| 50 | 17% | 38% | |
| 51 | 11% | 21% | |
| 52 | 6% | 10% | |
| 53 | 2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws
- Fieldwork period: 10–17 January 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1557
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.83%