Opinion Poll by Dedicated for RTBf–La Libre Belgique, 16–20 March 2017
Areas included: Brussels, Flanders
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 20.3% | 25.6% | 22.8–24.4% | 22.4–24.4% | 22.1–24.5% | 21.4–24.5% |
| CD&V | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.6–11.8% | 10.3–11.9% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.6–11.9% |
| Open Vld | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.3–11.4% | 10.0–11.5% | 9.7–11.5% | 9.3–11.5% |
| sp.a | 8.8% | 11.6% | 9.6–10.7% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.8% | 8.6–10.8% |
| Vlaams Belang | 3.7% | 10.8% | 8.9–10.0% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.4–10.1% | 8.0–10.1% |
| Groen | 5.3% | 10.2% | 9.0–11.6% | 8.7–12.0% | 8.4–12.3% | 7.8–12.8% |
| PVDA | 1.8% | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.8–6.2% | 3.6–6.4% | 3.3–6.8% |
| PS | 11.7% | 2.1% | 1.9–2.0% | 1.8–2.0% | 1.8–2.0% | 1.7–2.0% |
| MR | 9.6% | 2.0% | 1.7–1.9% | 1.7–1.9% | 1.7–1.9% | 1.6–1.9% |
| Ecolo | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.3–1.4% | 1.3–1.4% | 1.2–1.4% | 1.2–1.4% |
| PTB | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3–1.4% | 1.2–1.4% | 1.2–1.4% | 1.2–1.4% |
| Piratenpartij | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.7–2.2% | 0.6–2.4% |
| DéFI | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.0% | 0.9–1.0% | 0.9–1.0% | 0.8–1.0% |
| cdH | 5.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.6% | 0.5–0.6% | 0.5–0.6% | 0.4–0.6% |
| Parti Populaire | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.3% | 0.2–0.3% | 0.2–0.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 33 | 28 | 25–30 | 25–31 | 24–31 | 23–32 |
| CD&V | 18 | 13 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–17 |
| Open Vld | 14 | 12 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 8–17 |
| sp.a | 13 | 11 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 9–15 |
| Vlaams Belang | 3 | 11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–13 |
| Groen | 6 | 10 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 6–12 |
| PVDA | 0 | 3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–5 | 1–6 |
| PS | 23 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| MR | 20 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Ecolo | 6 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| PTB | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Piratenpartij | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| DéFI | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| cdH | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Parti Populaire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 25 | 9% | 95% | |
| 26 | 19% | 87% | |
| 27 | 12% | 67% | |
| 28 | 26% | 55% | Median |
| 29 | 17% | 29% | |
| 30 | 7% | 12% | |
| 31 | 4% | 5% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 10 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 11 | 9% | 94% | |
| 12 | 10% | 86% | |
| 13 | 60% | 76% | Median |
| 14 | 11% | 16% | |
| 15 | 2% | 5% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 2% | 98% | |
| 11 | 12% | 96% | |
| 12 | 58% | 84% | Median |
| 13 | 17% | 26% | |
| 14 | 5% | 9% | Last Result |
| 15 | 2% | 4% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 9% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 7% | 91% | |
| 11 | 44% | 84% | Median |
| 12 | 14% | 39% | |
| 13 | 17% | 26% | Last Result |
| 14 | 5% | 8% | |
| 15 | 3% | 3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 25% | 98.7% | |
| 9 | 6% | 73% | |
| 10 | 13% | 67% | |
| 11 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 12 | 36% | 40% | |
| 13 | 5% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 6% | 95% | |
| 9 | 9% | 89% | |
| 10 | 47% | 81% | Median |
| 11 | 24% | 34% | |
| 12 | 9% | 10% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 15% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 31% | 85% | |
| 3 | 46% | 54% | Median |
| 4 | 4% | 8% | |
| 5 | 3% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 8% | 100% | |
| 4 | 90% | 92% | Median |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 33% | 100% | |
| 4 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 70% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 30% | 30% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 60% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 40% | 40% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Piratenpartij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratenpartij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25% | 100% | |
| 2 | 75% | 75% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.7% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD&V – Open Vld – sp.a – Groen – PS – MR – Ecolo – cdH | 109 | 57 | 0% | 55–60 | 54–61 | 54–62 | 52–63 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 94 | 57 | 0% | 54–60 | 54–61 | 53–61 | 52–63 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR | 85 | 56 | 0% | 54–59 | 53–60 | 52–61 | 51–62 |
| CD&V – sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB – cdH | 77 | 46 | 0% | 44–49 | 43–50 | 42–51 | 41–52 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – sp.a – PS – MR – cdH | 97 | 45 | 0% | 43–48 | 42–48 | 41–49 | 40–50 |
| Open Vld – sp.a – Groen – PS – MR – Ecolo | 82 | 44 | 0% | 41–46 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – Groen – MR – Ecolo – cdH | 73 | 42 | 0% | 39–44 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 |
| CD&V – sp.a – Groen – PS – Ecolo – cdH | 75 | 42 | 0% | 39–44 | 38–45 | 38–46 | 36–47 |
| sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB – cdH | 59 | 34 | 0% | 31–36 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 29–39 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – PS – MR – cdH | 84 | 34 | 0% | 31–36 | 31–36 | 30–37 | 29–39 |
| sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB | 50 | 33 | 0% | 30–35 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 28–38 |
| Open Vld – sp.a – PS – MR | 70 | 31 | 0% | 29–34 | 28–34 | 28–35 | 27–36 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 61 | 30 | 0% | 27–32 | 27–32 | 26–33 | 25–35 |
| CD&V – sp.a – PS – cdH | 63 | 29 | 0% | 27–31 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 24–34 |
CD&V – Open Vld – sp.a – Groen – PS – MR – Ecolo – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 6% | 98% | |
| 55 | 10% | 92% | |
| 56 | 14% | 82% | |
| 57 | 18% | 67% | Median |
| 58 | 20% | 49% | |
| 59 | 14% | 29% | |
| 60 | 8% | 15% | |
| 61 | 4% | 7% | |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 6% | 96% | |
| 55 | 12% | 90% | |
| 56 | 18% | 78% | |
| 57 | 16% | 59% | |
| 58 | 19% | 43% | Median |
| 59 | 12% | 24% | |
| 60 | 6% | 12% | |
| 61 | 3% | 6% | |
| 62 | 2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 53 | 6% | 97% | |
| 54 | 12% | 91% | |
| 55 | 18% | 79% | |
| 56 | 16% | 61% | |
| 57 | 20% | 45% | Median |
| 58 | 13% | 25% | |
| 59 | 7% | 13% | |
| 60 | 3% | 6% | |
| 61 | 2% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 43 | 5% | 97% | |
| 44 | 10% | 92% | |
| 45 | 14% | 82% | |
| 46 | 20% | 68% | Median |
| 47 | 20% | 49% | |
| 48 | 12% | 29% | |
| 49 | 9% | 17% | |
| 50 | 5% | 8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – sp.a – PS – MR – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 42 | 6% | 96% | |
| 43 | 11% | 90% | |
| 44 | 18% | 80% | |
| 45 | 23% | 62% | Median |
| 46 | 18% | 39% | |
| 47 | 11% | 21% | |
| 48 | 5% | 10% | |
| 49 | 3% | 5% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Open Vld – sp.a – Groen – PS – MR – Ecolo

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 41 | 9% | 96% | |
| 42 | 14% | 86% | |
| 43 | 17% | 72% | Median |
| 44 | 22% | 55% | |
| 45 | 15% | 32% | |
| 46 | 9% | 18% | |
| 47 | 5% | 8% | |
| 48 | 2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – Groen – MR – Ecolo – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 39 | 7% | 96% | |
| 40 | 11% | 90% | |
| 41 | 16% | 79% | |
| 42 | 25% | 63% | Median |
| 43 | 18% | 38% | |
| 44 | 12% | 20% | |
| 45 | 5% | 8% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – Groen – PS – Ecolo – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 4% | 98% | |
| 39 | 10% | 94% | |
| 40 | 12% | 84% | |
| 41 | 23% | 73% | Median |
| 42 | 21% | 50% | |
| 43 | 13% | 29% | |
| 44 | 9% | 16% | |
| 45 | 5% | 7% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 31 | 9% | 95% | |
| 32 | 14% | 86% | |
| 33 | 20% | 72% | Median |
| 34 | 20% | 52% | |
| 35 | 14% | 32% | |
| 36 | 10% | 18% | |
| 37 | 5% | 8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – PS – MR – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 31 | 6% | 95% | |
| 32 | 12% | 89% | |
| 33 | 24% | 77% | |
| 34 | 30% | 53% | Median |
| 35 | 13% | 23% | |
| 36 | 5% | 10% | |
| 37 | 2% | 5% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a – Groen – PVDA – PS – Ecolo – PTB

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 30 | 8% | 96% | |
| 31 | 14% | 87% | |
| 32 | 20% | 73% | Median |
| 33 | 20% | 54% | |
| 34 | 14% | 33% | |
| 35 | 10% | 19% | |
| 36 | 6% | 9% | |
| 37 | 3% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Open Vld – sp.a – PS – MR

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 29 | 10% | 95% | |
| 30 | 17% | 85% | |
| 31 | 25% | 68% | Median |
| 32 | 19% | 43% | |
| 33 | 13% | 24% | |
| 34 | 6% | 11% | |
| 35 | 3% | 4% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 27 | 6% | 96% | |
| 28 | 11% | 90% | |
| 29 | 24% | 79% | |
| 30 | 31% | 54% | Median |
| 31 | 13% | 24% | |
| 32 | 6% | 10% | |
| 33 | 3% | 5% | |
| 34 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – sp.a – PS – cdH

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 3% | 97% | |
| 27 | 8% | 94% | |
| 28 | 15% | 85% | |
| 29 | 35% | 70% | Median |
| 30 | 16% | 36% | |
| 31 | 9% | 19% | |
| 32 | 5% | 10% | |
| 33 | 3% | 4% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Dedicated
- Commissioner(s): RTBf–La Libre Belgique
- Fieldwork period: 16–20 March 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 859
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.27%