Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 29 May–6 June 2018
Areas included: Brussels, Flanders, Wallonia
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 20.3% | 16.9% | 15.0–15.9% | 14.8–15.9% | 14.6–15.9% | 14.2–15.9% |
| CD&V | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.1–8.8% | 7.9–8.8% | 7.8–8.8% | 7.4–8.8% |
| Open Vld | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4–8.0% | 7.2–8.0% | 7.1–8.0% | 6.8–8.0% |
| PS | 11.7% | 8.2% | 7.3–7.7% | 7.2–7.7% | 7.1–7.7% | 6.9–7.7% |
| Groen | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.9–8.3% | 6.7–8.4% | 6.5–8.4% | 6.1–8.5% |
| MR | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.5–6.8% | 6.4–6.8% | 6.3–6.8% | 6.1–6.8% |
| sp.a | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.0–6.6% | 5.9–6.6% | 5.7–6.6% | 5.5–6.6% |
| Vlaams Belang | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.0–5.5% | 4.9–5.5% | 4.7–5.6% | 4.5–5.6% |
| Ecolo | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.3–4.6% | 4.2–4.6% | 4.1–4.6% | 4.0–4.6% |
| PTB | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.9–4.2% | 3.8–4.2% | 3.7–4.2% | 3.6–4.2% |
| PVDA | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.3–4.3% | 3.1–4.4% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.5% |
| cdH | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7–2.9% | 2.6–2.9% | 2.6–2.9% | 2.4–2.9% |
| DéFI | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4–2.6% | 2.3–2.6% | 2.3–2.6% | 2.2–2.6% |
| Parti Populaire | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9–2.1% | 1.8–2.1% | 1.8–2.1% | 1.7–2.1% |
| La Droite | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5–0.7% | 0.4–0.7% | 0.4–0.7% | 0.4–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 33 | 28 | 25–29 | 25–30 | 24–30 | 23–31 |
| CD&V | 18 | 14 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 11–18 |
| Open Vld | 14 | 12 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 |
| PS | 23 | 17 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| Groen | 6 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| MR | 20 | 15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 |
| sp.a | 13 | 11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| Vlaams Belang | 3 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–12 |
| Ecolo | 6 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
| PTB | 2 | 8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 5–10 |
| PVDA | 0 | 3 | 3–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 1–7 |
| cdH | 9 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 3–8 |
| DéFI | 2 | 5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 2–6 | 2–7 |
| Parti Populaire | 1 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| La Droite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 24 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 25 | 10% | 97% | |
| 26 | 12% | 87% | |
| 27 | 21% | 75% | |
| 28 | 22% | 54% | Median |
| 29 | 22% | 32% | |
| 30 | 8% | 10% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 13 | 32% | 98% | |
| 14 | 28% | 65% | Median |
| 15 | 18% | 37% | |
| 16 | 8% | 19% | |
| 17 | 6% | 11% | |
| 18 | 5% | 6% | Last Result |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 55% | 97% | Median |
| 13 | 14% | 42% | |
| 14 | 12% | 28% | Last Result |
| 15 | 9% | 16% | |
| 16 | 6% | 8% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 16 | 13% | 93% | |
| 17 | 31% | 81% | Median |
| 18 | 32% | 50% | |
| 19 | 16% | 17% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 10 | 22% | 98.9% | |
| 11 | 34% | 77% | Median |
| 12 | 39% | 42% | |
| 13 | 2% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 21% | 93% | |
| 15 | 33% | 71% | Median |
| 16 | 21% | 39% | |
| 17 | 15% | 18% | |
| 18 | 3% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 18% | 98% | |
| 10 | 24% | 80% | |
| 11 | 42% | 56% | Median |
| 12 | 7% | 14% | |
| 13 | 6% | 7% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 21% | 98.7% | |
| 8 | 69% | 78% | Median |
| 9 | 4% | 8% | |
| 10 | 3% | 5% | |
| 11 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 24% | 96% | |
| 10 | 53% | 72% | Median |
| 11 | 17% | 19% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 6 | 6% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 22% | 93% | |
| 8 | 42% | 71% | Median |
| 9 | 25% | 30% | |
| 10 | 5% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 8% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 61% | 91% | Median |
| 4 | 11% | 30% | |
| 5 | 15% | 20% | |
| 6 | 3% | 4% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 40% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 45% | 59% | Median |
| 6 | 11% | 14% | |
| 7 | 2% | 4% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 29% | 97% | |
| 4 | 16% | 68% | |
| 5 | 18% | 52% | Median |
| 6 | 33% | 34% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 85% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 12% | 15% | |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
La Droite
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the La Droite page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD&V – Open Vld – PS – Groen – MR – sp.a – Ecolo – cdH | 109 | 96 | 100% | 93–99 | 93–100 | 92–101 | 91–102 |
| CD&V – PS – Groen – sp.a – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA – cdH | 77 | 80 | 97% | 77–83 | 76–83 | 75–84 | 74–86 |
| Open Vld – PS – Groen – MR – sp.a – Ecolo | 82 | 77 | 77% | 74–80 | 73–81 | 73–82 | 71–83 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – PS – MR – sp.a – cdH | 97 | 75 | 44% | 73–78 | 72–79 | 71–80 | 70–81 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 94 | 75 | 38% | 72–78 | 71–79 | 71–79 | 69–81 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR | 85 | 70 | 0.4% | 67–73 | 67–74 | 66–74 | 65–75 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – Groen – MR – Ecolo – cdH | 73 | 68 | 0.1% | 65–71 | 65–72 | 64–73 | 63–75 |
| CD&V – PS – Groen – sp.a – Ecolo – cdH | 75 | 68 | 0.1% | 65–71 | 65–72 | 64–73 | 63–74 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – PS – MR – cdH | 84 | 65 | 0% | 62–68 | 61–69 | 61–69 | 60–71 |
| PS – Groen – sp.a – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA – cdH | 59 | 65 | 0% | 63–68 | 62–69 | 61–69 | 60–71 |
| PS – Groen – sp.a – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA | 50 | 61 | 0% | 58–63 | 57–64 | 56–65 | 55–66 |
| Open Vld – PS – MR – sp.a | 70 | 56 | 0% | 53–59 | 53–60 | 52–61 | 51–62 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 61 | 47 | 0% | 45–50 | 44–51 | 43–52 | 43–53 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – cdH | 63 | 47 | 0% | 45–50 | 44–51 | 43–51 | 42–53 |
CD&V – Open Vld – PS – Groen – MR – sp.a – Ecolo – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 91 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 93 | 6% | 96% | |
| 94 | 11% | 90% | |
| 95 | 15% | 79% | Median |
| 96 | 17% | 65% | |
| 97 | 17% | 47% | |
| 98 | 13% | 31% | |
| 99 | 9% | 18% | |
| 100 | 5% | 9% | |
| 101 | 2% | 4% | |
| 102 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 103 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 104 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – Groen – sp.a – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 76 | 5% | 97% | Majority |
| 77 | 9% | 92% | Last Result |
| 78 | 14% | 84% | |
| 79 | 18% | 70% | Median |
| 80 | 18% | 52% | |
| 81 | 14% | 34% | |
| 82 | 10% | 20% | |
| 83 | 6% | 10% | |
| 84 | 3% | 5% | |
| 85 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Open Vld – PS – Groen – MR – sp.a – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 4% | 98% | |
| 74 | 7% | 94% | |
| 75 | 11% | 87% | |
| 76 | 15% | 77% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 17% | 62% | |
| 78 | 16% | 46% | |
| 79 | 12% | 30% | |
| 80 | 8% | 17% | |
| 81 | 5% | 9% | |
| 82 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 83 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – Open Vld – PS – MR – sp.a – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 6% | 97% | |
| 73 | 11% | 91% | |
| 74 | 16% | 79% | Median |
| 75 | 19% | 63% | |
| 76 | 16% | 44% | Majority |
| 77 | 13% | 28% | |
| 78 | 8% | 15% | |
| 79 | 4% | 7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 1.5% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 4% | 98% | |
| 72 | 8% | 94% | |
| 73 | 13% | 86% | |
| 74 | 17% | 73% | Median |
| 75 | 18% | 56% | |
| 76 | 15% | 38% | Majority |
| 77 | 11% | 23% | |
| 78 | 7% | 12% | |
| 79 | 3% | 5% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 67 | 6% | 96% | |
| 68 | 12% | 89% | |
| 69 | 17% | 78% | Median |
| 70 | 19% | 61% | |
| 71 | 17% | 42% | |
| 72 | 12% | 25% | |
| 73 | 7% | 13% | |
| 74 | 4% | 5% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – Groen – MR – Ecolo – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 7% | 96% | |
| 66 | 11% | 89% | |
| 67 | 15% | 79% | Median |
| 68 | 16% | 64% | |
| 69 | 16% | 48% | |
| 70 | 13% | 32% | |
| 71 | 9% | 19% | |
| 72 | 5% | 10% | |
| 73 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 74 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – PS – Groen – sp.a – Ecolo – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 7% | 95% | |
| 66 | 11% | 89% | |
| 67 | 16% | 78% | |
| 68 | 18% | 62% | Median |
| 69 | 16% | 44% | |
| 70 | 13% | 28% | |
| 71 | 8% | 16% | |
| 72 | 4% | 7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – Open Vld – PS – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 4% | 98% | |
| 62 | 9% | 94% | |
| 63 | 15% | 85% | Median |
| 64 | 18% | 70% | |
| 65 | 17% | 51% | |
| 66 | 14% | 34% | |
| 67 | 10% | 21% | |
| 68 | 6% | 11% | |
| 69 | 3% | 5% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
PS – Groen – sp.a – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 60 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 6% | 97% | |
| 63 | 10% | 91% | |
| 64 | 15% | 81% | |
| 65 | 19% | 66% | Median |
| 66 | 19% | 46% | |
| 67 | 14% | 27% | |
| 68 | 8% | 14% | |
| 69 | 4% | 6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
PS – Groen – sp.a – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 5% | 97% | |
| 58 | 9% | 92% | |
| 59 | 14% | 82% | |
| 60 | 18% | 69% | Median |
| 61 | 18% | 51% | |
| 62 | 15% | 33% | |
| 63 | 10% | 18% | |
| 64 | 5% | 8% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Open Vld – PS – MR – sp.a
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 53 | 7% | 96% | |
| 54 | 12% | 89% | |
| 55 | 17% | 77% | Median |
| 56 | 19% | 61% | |
| 57 | 16% | 42% | |
| 58 | 12% | 26% | |
| 59 | 7% | 14% | |
| 60 | 4% | 7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 44 | 6% | 97% | |
| 45 | 12% | 91% | |
| 46 | 16% | 78% | Median |
| 47 | 18% | 62% | |
| 48 | 16% | 44% | |
| 49 | 12% | 28% | |
| 50 | 8% | 16% | |
| 51 | 4% | 8% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 6% | 97% | |
| 45 | 13% | 91% | |
| 46 | 19% | 78% | |
| 47 | 19% | 59% | Median |
| 48 | 15% | 40% | |
| 49 | 11% | 24% | |
| 50 | 8% | 13% | |
| 51 | 4% | 6% | |
| 52 | 2% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
- Fieldwork period: 29 May–6 June 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1618
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.83%