Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 20–27 September 2018
Areas included: Brussels, Flanders, Wallonia
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 20.3% | 15.9% | 14.1–14.9% | 13.9–15.0% | 13.7–15.0% | 13.3–15.0% |
| CD&V | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.2–9.9% | 9.0–9.9% | 8.8–9.9% | 8.5–9.9% |
| Groen | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.9–9.3% | 7.6–9.5% | 7.4–9.5% | 7.1–9.6% |
| PS | 11.7% | 8.4% | 7.3–7.7% | 7.2–7.7% | 7.1–7.8% | 7.0–7.8% |
| Open Vld | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.7–7.3% | 6.5–7.3% | 6.4–7.3% | 6.1–7.3% |
| MR | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.8–7.2% | 6.7–7.2% | 6.6–7.2% | 6.4–7.2% |
| sp.a | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2–6.9% | 6.1–6.9% | 6.0–6.9% | 5.7–6.9% |
| Vlaams Belang | 3.7% | 7.1% | 5.9–6.5% | 5.7–6.5% | 5.6–6.5% | 5.3–6.5% |
| PTB | 2.0% | 4.7% | 3.9–4.2% | 3.8–4.2% | 3.8–4.2% | 3.6–4.2% |
| Ecolo | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7–4.0% | 3.7–4.0% | 3.6–4.0% | 3.5–4.0% |
| cdH | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9–3.2% | 2.8–3.2% | 2.8–3.2% | 2.6–3.2% |
| DéFI | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.7–2.9% | 2.6–2.9% | 2.6–2.9% | 2.5–2.9% |
| PVDA | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.3% |
| Parti Populaire | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7–1.9% | 1.6–1.9% | 1.6–1.9% | 1.5–1.9% |
| La Droite | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5–0.7% | 0.4–0.7% | 0.4–0.7% | 0.4–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 33 | 25 | 23–28 | 23–28 | 22–29 | 21–30 |
| CD&V | 18 | 17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–20 |
| Groen | 6 | 12 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| PS | 23 | 17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–19 |
| Open Vld | 14 | 12 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 8–15 |
| MR | 20 | 16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–19 |
| sp.a | 13 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| Vlaams Belang | 3 | 9 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 |
| PTB | 2 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| Ecolo | 6 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 5–11 |
| cdH | 9 | 6 | 5–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 3–8 |
| DéFI | 2 | 6 | 5–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 2–7 |
| PVDA | 0 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–3 |
| Parti Populaire | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| La Droite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 23 | 8% | 97% | |
| 24 | 20% | 89% | |
| 25 | 23% | 69% | Median |
| 26 | 22% | 46% | |
| 27 | 14% | 24% | |
| 28 | 6% | 10% | |
| 29 | 4% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 17% | 98% | |
| 15 | 11% | 81% | |
| 16 | 11% | 69% | |
| 17 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 18 | 41% | 44% | Last Result |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 11 | 11% | 99.1% | |
| 12 | 62% | 88% | Median |
| 13 | 12% | 26% | |
| 14 | 7% | 15% | |
| 15 | 4% | 8% | |
| 16 | 3% | 4% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 11% | 98% | |
| 16 | 24% | 87% | |
| 17 | 29% | 63% | Median |
| 18 | 21% | 33% | |
| 19 | 12% | 12% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 10 | 3% | 98% | |
| 11 | 32% | 95% | |
| 12 | 45% | 62% | Median |
| 13 | 15% | 18% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 14% | 96% | |
| 15 | 28% | 82% | |
| 16 | 36% | 54% | Median |
| 17 | 13% | 18% | |
| 18 | 4% | 5% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 22% | 99.4% | |
| 10 | 17% | 77% | |
| 11 | 36% | 60% | Median |
| 12 | 11% | 24% | |
| 13 | 11% | 13% | Last Result |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 45% | 98.7% | |
| 9 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 10 | 13% | 42% | |
| 11 | 11% | 29% | |
| 12 | 17% | 18% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 6 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 7 | 18% | 95% | |
| 8 | 39% | 77% | Median |
| 9 | 33% | 38% | |
| 10 | 6% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 3% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 7 | 25% | 96% | |
| 8 | 39% | 70% | Median |
| 9 | 22% | 31% | |
| 10 | 8% | 9% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 8% | 98.8% | |
| 5 | 23% | 91% | |
| 6 | 42% | 68% | Median |
| 7 | 18% | 25% | |
| 8 | 7% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 4 | 4% | 94% | |
| 5 | 20% | 90% | |
| 6 | 66% | 70% | Median |
| 7 | 4% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 57% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 31% | 42% | |
| 3 | 10% | 10% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 2 | 95% | 98.6% | Median |
| 3 | 3% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
La Droite
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the La Droite page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD&V – Groen – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a – Ecolo – cdH | 109 | 98 | 100% | 95–101 | 95–101 | 94–102 | 92–104 |
| CD&V – Groen – PS – sp.a – PTB – Ecolo – cdH – PVDA | 77 | 80 | 98% | 77–83 | 77–84 | 76–85 | 75–86 |
| N-VA – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a | 103 | 80 | 98% | 77–84 | 76–84 | 76–85 | 74–87 |
| CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a – cdH | 97 | 77 | 79% | 74–80 | 74–81 | 73–82 | 71–84 |
| Groen – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a – Ecolo | 82 | 75 | 48% | 73–78 | 72–79 | 71–80 | 70–82 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 94 | 75 | 45% | 72–78 | 71–79 | 70–80 | 69–81 |
| CD&V – Groen – Open Vld – MR – Ecolo – cdH | 73 | 70 | 1.2% | 67–73 | 66–74 | 66–75 | 64–76 |
| CD&V – Groen – PS – sp.a – Ecolo – cdH | 75 | 71 | 2% | 68–74 | 67–74 | 66–75 | 65–77 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR | 85 | 69 | 0.2% | 66–72 | 65–73 | 64–74 | 63–75 |
| CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 84 | 67 | 0% | 64–70 | 63–70 | 62–71 | 61–72 |
| Groen – PS – sp.a – PTB – Ecolo – cdH – PVDA | 59 | 64 | 0% | 61–66 | 60–67 | 60–68 | 59–70 |
| Groen – PS – sp.a – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA | 50 | 58 | 0% | 55–61 | 54–62 | 54–62 | 53–64 |
| PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a | 70 | 55 | 0% | 52–58 | 52–59 | 51–59 | 50–61 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – cdH | 63 | 50 | 0% | 47–53 | 46–54 | 45–55 | 44–56 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 61 | 50 | 0% | 47–53 | 46–53 | 45–54 | 44–55 |
CD&V – Groen – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a – Ecolo – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 93 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 94 | 3% | 98% | |
| 95 | 7% | 95% | |
| 96 | 13% | 88% | |
| 97 | 17% | 75% | |
| 98 | 19% | 57% | |
| 99 | 17% | 38% | Median |
| 100 | 11% | 22% | |
| 101 | 6% | 11% | |
| 102 | 3% | 5% | |
| 103 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 104 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 105 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 106 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 107 | 0% | 0% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Groen – PS – sp.a – PTB – Ecolo – cdH – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 3% | 98% | Majority |
| 77 | 6% | 96% | Last Result |
| 78 | 10% | 90% | |
| 79 | 15% | 80% | |
| 80 | 18% | 64% | Median |
| 81 | 17% | 46% | |
| 82 | 13% | 29% | |
| 83 | 8% | 16% | |
| 84 | 4% | 7% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 4% | 98% | Majority |
| 77 | 7% | 94% | |
| 78 | 10% | 87% | |
| 79 | 13% | 77% | |
| 80 | 15% | 64% | |
| 81 | 16% | 49% | Median |
| 82 | 14% | 33% | |
| 83 | 9% | 20% | |
| 84 | 6% | 10% | |
| 85 | 3% | 5% | |
| 86 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 3% | 98% | |
| 74 | 6% | 95% | |
| 75 | 10% | 89% | |
| 76 | 14% | 79% | Majority |
| 77 | 16% | 66% | |
| 78 | 17% | 49% | |
| 79 | 14% | 33% | Median |
| 80 | 9% | 19% | |
| 81 | 5% | 10% | |
| 82 | 3% | 4% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Groen – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 6% | 97% | |
| 73 | 11% | 91% | |
| 74 | 15% | 81% | |
| 75 | 18% | 66% | |
| 76 | 17% | 48% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 13% | 31% | |
| 78 | 9% | 18% | |
| 79 | 5% | 9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 71 | 4% | 96% | |
| 72 | 7% | 92% | |
| 73 | 11% | 85% | |
| 74 | 14% | 74% | |
| 75 | 16% | 61% | |
| 76 | 15% | 45% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 12% | 30% | |
| 78 | 9% | 18% | |
| 79 | 5% | 9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Groen – Open Vld – MR – Ecolo – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 7% | 95% | |
| 68 | 11% | 88% | |
| 69 | 14% | 77% | |
| 70 | 17% | 63% | |
| 71 | 17% | 45% | Median |
| 72 | 13% | 28% | |
| 73 | 8% | 15% | Last Result |
| 74 | 4% | 7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 1.2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – Groen – PS – sp.a – Ecolo – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 5% | 96% | |
| 68 | 9% | 91% | |
| 69 | 13% | 82% | |
| 70 | 17% | 69% | |
| 71 | 18% | 52% | Median |
| 72 | 14% | 35% | |
| 73 | 10% | 20% | |
| 74 | 6% | 10% | |
| 75 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 76 | 1.2% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 4% | 97% | |
| 66 | 7% | 94% | |
| 67 | 10% | 87% | |
| 68 | 14% | 77% | |
| 69 | 17% | 63% | |
| 70 | 16% | 46% | Median |
| 71 | 13% | 30% | |
| 72 | 9% | 18% | |
| 73 | 5% | 8% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 63 | 5% | 96% | |
| 64 | 9% | 91% | |
| 65 | 12% | 82% | |
| 66 | 15% | 70% | |
| 67 | 17% | 55% | |
| 68 | 16% | 37% | Median |
| 69 | 11% | 21% | |
| 70 | 6% | 10% | |
| 71 | 3% | 4% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Groen – PS – sp.a – PTB – Ecolo – cdH – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 60 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 61 | 9% | 95% | |
| 62 | 14% | 86% | |
| 63 | 18% | 71% | Median |
| 64 | 18% | 53% | |
| 65 | 15% | 35% | |
| 66 | 10% | 20% | |
| 67 | 5% | 10% | |
| 68 | 3% | 4% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Groen – PS – sp.a – PTB – Ecolo – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 4% | 98% | |
| 55 | 8% | 94% | |
| 56 | 14% | 86% | |
| 57 | 17% | 72% | Median |
| 58 | 18% | 55% | |
| 59 | 15% | 37% | |
| 60 | 11% | 22% | |
| 61 | 6% | 11% | |
| 62 | 3% | 5% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 7% | 96% | |
| 53 | 13% | 89% | |
| 54 | 18% | 76% | |
| 55 | 19% | 58% | |
| 56 | 16% | 39% | Median |
| 57 | 11% | 23% | |
| 58 | 7% | 12% | |
| 59 | 3% | 5% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 46 | 4% | 97% | |
| 47 | 7% | 93% | |
| 48 | 11% | 86% | |
| 49 | 14% | 76% | |
| 50 | 16% | 61% | |
| 51 | 16% | 45% | Median |
| 52 | 13% | 29% | |
| 53 | 8% | 16% | |
| 54 | 4% | 8% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 46 | 5% | 96% | |
| 47 | 9% | 92% | |
| 48 | 12% | 83% | |
| 49 | 15% | 71% | |
| 50 | 17% | 56% | |
| 51 | 16% | 39% | Median |
| 52 | 12% | 22% | |
| 53 | 6% | 11% | |
| 54 | 3% | 4% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
- Fieldwork period: 20–27 September 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1616
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.49%