Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 5–11 February 2019
Areas included: Brussels, Flanders, Wallonia
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 20.3% | 17.5% | 15.5–16.4% | 15.3–16.5% | 15.1–16.5% | 14.7–16.5% |
| Groen | 5.3% | 9.6% | 8.7–10.3% | 8.5–10.4% | 8.3–10.5% | 7.9–10.6% |
| CD&V | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.9–8.5% | 7.7–8.6% | 7.6–8.6% | 7.3–8.6% |
| PS | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.7–8.1% | 7.6–8.1% | 7.5–8.1% | 7.3–8.1% |
| Open Vld | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.6–7.2% | 6.5–7.3% | 6.3–7.3% | 6.0–7.3% |
| MR | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.2–6.5% | 6.1–6.5% | 6.0–6.6% | 5.8–6.6% |
| sp.a | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.7–6.3% | 5.6–6.3% | 5.5–6.3% | 5.2–6.4% |
| Vlaams Belang | 3.7% | 7.0% | 5.8–6.4% | 5.6–6.4% | 5.5–6.4% | 5.2–6.4% |
| Ecolo | 3.3% | 6.8% | 5.9–6.3% | 5.9–6.3% | 5.8–6.3% | 5.6–6.3% |
| PTB | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.1–3.4% | 3.1–3.4% | 3.0–3.4% | 2.9–3.4% |
| cdH | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9–3.2% | 2.9–3.2% | 2.8–3.2% | 2.7–3.2% |
| PVDA | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.1–3.7% |
| DéFI | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8–2.0% | 1.7–2.0% | 1.7–2.0% | 1.6–2.0% |
| Parti Populaire | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4–1.5% | 1.3–1.5% | 1.3–1.5% | 1.2–1.5% |
| La Droite | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.5% | 0.3–0.5% | 0.3–0.5% | 0.2–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 33 | 28 | 26–30 | 25–30 | 25–31 | 24–32 |
| Groen | 6 | 14 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–17 |
| CD&V | 18 | 14 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 11–18 |
| PS | 23 | 18 | 17–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 |
| Open Vld | 14 | 12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| MR | 20 | 14 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 12–17 |
| sp.a | 13 | 9 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 6–13 |
| Vlaams Belang | 3 | 8 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 |
| Ecolo | 6 | 15 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 11–17 |
| PTB | 2 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| cdH | 9 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 3–8 |
| PVDA | 0 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| DéFI | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–5 |
| Parti Populaire | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| La Droite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 5% | 98% | |
| 26 | 11% | 93% | |
| 27 | 22% | 81% | |
| 28 | 23% | 60% | Median |
| 29 | 19% | 36% | |
| 30 | 14% | 18% | |
| 31 | 2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 19% | 98% | |
| 13 | 23% | 79% | |
| 14 | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 15 | 19% | 41% | |
| 16 | 15% | 22% | |
| 17 | 7% | 7% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 12 | 4% | 97% | |
| 13 | 34% | 94% | |
| 14 | 43% | 59% | Median |
| 15 | 10% | 17% | |
| 16 | 4% | 7% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 5% | 98.6% | |
| 17 | 15% | 93% | |
| 18 | 34% | 78% | Median |
| 19 | 37% | 45% | |
| 20 | 7% | 8% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 98% | |
| 10 | 8% | 96% | |
| 11 | 24% | 88% | |
| 12 | 54% | 64% | Median |
| 13 | 8% | 10% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 22% | 98% | |
| 14 | 28% | 75% | Median |
| 15 | 31% | 47% | |
| 16 | 12% | 16% | |
| 17 | 4% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 4% | 98% | |
| 9 | 51% | 93% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 42% | |
| 11 | 21% | 25% | |
| 12 | 3% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 50% | 96% | Median |
| 9 | 13% | 45% | |
| 10 | 9% | 32% | |
| 11 | 14% | 24% | |
| 12 | 8% | 9% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 13 | 14% | 95% | |
| 14 | 27% | 81% | |
| 15 | 29% | 54% | Median |
| 16 | 20% | 25% | |
| 17 | 5% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 38% | 98.9% | |
| 6 | 41% | 61% | Median |
| 7 | 14% | 20% | |
| 8 | 5% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 34% | 98% | |
| 5 | 30% | 65% | Median |
| 6 | 28% | 35% | |
| 7 | 6% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 36% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 33% | 64% | Median |
| 3 | 29% | 30% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 80% | 99.7% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 18% | 20% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 100% | |
| 1 | 17% | 90% | Last Result |
| 2 | 74% | 74% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
La Droite
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the La Droite page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groen – CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a – Ecolo – cdH | 109 | 101 | 100% | 98–104 | 98–105 | 97–105 | 95–107 |
| Groen – CD&V – PS – sp.a – Ecolo – PTB – cdH – PVDA | 77 | 83 | 100% | 80–86 | 79–87 | 78–88 | 77–89 |
| Groen – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a – Ecolo | 82 | 83 | 99.9% | 80–85 | 79–86 | 78–87 | 77–88 |
| N-VA – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a | 103 | 82 | 99.6% | 79–85 | 78–85 | 77–86 | 76–88 |
| Groen – CD&V – PS – sp.a – Ecolo – cdH | 75 | 75 | 47% | 72–78 | 71–79 | 71–80 | 69–81 |
| Groen – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – Ecolo – cdH | 73 | 74 | 20% | 70–76 | 70–77 | 69–78 | 67–79 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 94 | 73 | 12% | 70–76 | 69–77 | 68–77 | 67–79 |
| CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a – cdH | 97 | 73 | 10% | 70–76 | 69–76 | 68–77 | 67–79 |
| Groen – PS – sp.a – Ecolo – PTB – cdH – PVDA | 59 | 69 | 0.4% | 66–72 | 66–73 | 65–74 | 64–75 |
| N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR | 85 | 68 | 0% | 65–70 | 64–71 | 63–72 | 62–73 |
| Groen – PS – sp.a – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA | 50 | 64 | 0% | 61–67 | 60–68 | 60–69 | 58–70 |
| CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 84 | 63 | 0% | 61–66 | 60–67 | 59–67 | 58–69 |
| PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a | 70 | 54 | 0% | 51–56 | 51–57 | 50–58 | 48–59 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – cdH | 63 | 47 | 0% | 44–49 | 44–50 | 43–51 | 42–52 |
| CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH | 61 | 45 | 0% | 42–47 | 41–48 | 41–49 | 39–50 |
Groen – CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a – Ecolo – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 97 | 3% | 98% | |
| 98 | 6% | 95% | |
| 99 | 9% | 90% | |
| 100 | 13% | 80% | |
| 101 | 17% | 67% | Median |
| 102 | 19% | 49% | |
| 103 | 15% | 31% | |
| 104 | 9% | 16% | |
| 105 | 4% | 7% | |
| 106 | 2% | 2% | |
| 107 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 108 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Groen – CD&V – PS – sp.a – Ecolo – PTB – cdH – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.2% | 100% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.6% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 78 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 79 | 4% | 97% | |
| 80 | 7% | 94% | |
| 81 | 11% | 87% | |
| 82 | 14% | 76% | |
| 83 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 84 | 17% | 45% | |
| 85 | 13% | 28% | |
| 86 | 8% | 15% | |
| 87 | 4% | 7% | |
| 88 | 2% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% |
Groen – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a – Ecolo
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 78 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 79 | 5% | 96% | |
| 80 | 9% | 91% | |
| 81 | 13% | 82% | |
| 82 | 17% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 83 | 18% | 51% | |
| 84 | 15% | 33% | |
| 85 | 10% | 18% | |
| 86 | 5% | 8% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 99.6% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 78 | 4% | 97% | |
| 79 | 8% | 92% | |
| 80 | 12% | 85% | |
| 81 | 17% | 73% | Median |
| 82 | 19% | 56% | |
| 83 | 15% | 37% | |
| 84 | 10% | 22% | |
| 85 | 6% | 11% | |
| 86 | 3% | 5% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Groen – CD&V – PS – sp.a – Ecolo – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 3% | 98% | |
| 72 | 6% | 95% | |
| 73 | 10% | 89% | |
| 74 | 14% | 78% | |
| 75 | 17% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 76 | 16% | 47% | Majority |
| 77 | 13% | 31% | |
| 78 | 9% | 18% | |
| 79 | 5% | 9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Groen – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – Ecolo – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 3% | 98% | |
| 70 | 6% | 95% | |
| 71 | 10% | 90% | |
| 72 | 13% | 80% | |
| 73 | 16% | 66% | Last Result |
| 74 | 17% | 51% | Median |
| 75 | 14% | 34% | |
| 76 | 10% | 20% | Majority |
| 77 | 6% | 10% | |
| 78 | 3% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 69 | 5% | 96% | |
| 70 | 8% | 91% | |
| 71 | 12% | 83% | |
| 72 | 16% | 71% | |
| 73 | 17% | 55% | Median |
| 74 | 15% | 38% | |
| 75 | 11% | 23% | |
| 76 | 6% | 12% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 4% | 97% | |
| 70 | 9% | 93% | |
| 71 | 13% | 84% | |
| 72 | 17% | 71% | Median |
| 73 | 18% | 53% | |
| 74 | 15% | 36% | |
| 75 | 10% | 21% | |
| 76 | 6% | 10% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Groen – PS – sp.a – Ecolo – PTB – cdH – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 3% | 98% | |
| 66 | 6% | 96% | |
| 67 | 10% | 90% | |
| 68 | 14% | 80% | |
| 69 | 18% | 66% | Median |
| 70 | 18% | 48% | |
| 71 | 14% | 30% | |
| 72 | 8% | 16% | |
| 73 | 5% | 8% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld – MR
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 64 | 5% | 97% | |
| 65 | 8% | 92% | |
| 66 | 13% | 84% | |
| 67 | 17% | 71% | |
| 68 | 18% | 55% | Median |
| 69 | 16% | 36% | |
| 70 | 11% | 20% | |
| 71 | 6% | 10% | |
| 72 | 3% | 4% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Groen – PS – sp.a – Ecolo – PTB – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 6% | 95% | |
| 62 | 10% | 88% | |
| 63 | 14% | 78% | |
| 64 | 17% | 64% | Median |
| 65 | 16% | 47% | |
| 66 | 13% | 30% | |
| 67 | 9% | 17% | |
| 68 | 5% | 8% | |
| 69 | 2% | 4% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – PS – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 6% | 96% | |
| 61 | 11% | 90% | |
| 62 | 18% | 79% | |
| 63 | 20% | 61% | Median |
| 64 | 17% | 41% | |
| 65 | 12% | 24% | |
| 66 | 7% | 12% | |
| 67 | 3% | 5% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
PS – Open Vld – MR – sp.a
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 6% | 95% | |
| 52 | 12% | 89% | |
| 53 | 18% | 77% | Median |
| 54 | 21% | 59% | |
| 55 | 18% | 37% | |
| 56 | 11% | 20% | |
| 57 | 6% | 9% | |
| 58 | 2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 3% | 98% | |
| 44 | 8% | 95% | |
| 45 | 15% | 87% | |
| 46 | 19% | 72% | Median |
| 47 | 20% | 53% | |
| 48 | 15% | 33% | |
| 49 | 10% | 18% | |
| 50 | 5% | 8% | |
| 51 | 2% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – Open Vld – MR – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 41 | 3% | 98% | |
| 42 | 7% | 95% | |
| 43 | 13% | 88% | |
| 44 | 18% | 75% | |
| 45 | 20% | 57% | Median |
| 46 | 17% | 37% | |
| 47 | 11% | 20% | |
| 48 | 5% | 9% | |
| 49 | 2% | 4% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
- Fieldwork period: 5–11 February 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1609
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.10%