Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 6–14 May 2019
Areas included: Brussels, Flanders, Wallonia
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 20.3% | 17.8% | 15.9–16.8% | 15.7–16.8% | 15.5–16.9% | 15.1–16.9% |
| CD&V | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.1–9.9% | 9.0–9.9% | 8.8–9.9% | 8.5–9.9% |
| PS | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.0–9.4% | 8.9–9.4% | 8.8–9.4% | 8.6–9.4% |
| Vlaams Belang | 3.7% | 9.3% | 7.9–8.5% | 7.7–8.6% | 7.6–8.6% | 7.3–8.6% |
| MR | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.1–7.5% | 7.0–7.5% | 7.0–7.5% | 6.8–7.5% |
| Ecolo | 3.3% | 7.6% | 6.6–7.0% | 6.5–7.0% | 6.5–7.0% | 6.3–7.0% |
| Groen | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7–8.1% | 6.5–8.2% | 6.3–8.2% | 5.9–8.3% |
| Open Vld | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.7–6.3% | 5.6–6.3% | 5.4–6.3% | 5.2–6.3% |
| sp.a | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.0–7.4% | 5.8–7.5% | 5.7–7.6% | 5.3–7.6% |
| cdH | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8–3.1% | 2.7–3.1% | 2.7–3.1% | 2.6–3.1% |
| PTB | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8–3.0% | 2.7–3.0% | 2.6–3.0% | 2.5–3.0% |
| PVDA | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4–3.3% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.0–3.5% |
| DéFI | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7–1.9% | 1.7–1.9% | 1.7–1.9% | 1.6–1.9% |
| Parti Populaire | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8–1.0% | 0.8–1.0% | 0.8–1.0% | 0.7–1.0% |
| La Droite | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3–0.5% | 0.3–0.5% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.2–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-VA | 33 | 28 | 25–30 | 25–31 | 24–31 | 24–32 |
| CD&V | 18 | 16 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 |
| PS | 23 | 20 | 19–21 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 17–22 |
| Vlaams Belang | 3 | 13 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 9–16 |
| MR | 20 | 16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| Ecolo | 6 | 15 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 |
| Groen | 6 | 11 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 6–13 |
| Open Vld | 14 | 9 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–12 |
| sp.a | 13 | 9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 6–13 |
| cdH | 9 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 3–7 |
| PTB | 2 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| PVDA | 0 | 1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–3 |
| DéFI | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| Parti Populaire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| La Droite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
N-VA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 24 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 25 | 11% | 96% | |
| 26 | 17% | 85% | |
| 27 | 16% | 68% | |
| 28 | 13% | 52% | Median |
| 29 | 17% | 39% | |
| 30 | 17% | 23% | |
| 31 | 4% | 6% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 22% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 10% | 78% | |
| 15 | 10% | 69% | |
| 16 | 17% | 58% | Median |
| 17 | 12% | 41% | |
| 18 | 29% | 29% | Last Result |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
PS
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PS page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 18 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 19 | 28% | 94% | |
| 20 | 33% | 67% | Median |
| 21 | 29% | 34% | |
| 22 | 5% | 5% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 2% | 98% | |
| 12 | 13% | 96% | |
| 13 | 56% | 83% | Median |
| 14 | 9% | 27% | |
| 15 | 17% | 18% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
MR
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MR page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 8% | 96% | |
| 15 | 24% | 88% | |
| 16 | 48% | 63% | Median |
| 17 | 13% | 15% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ecolo
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ecolo page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 9% | 96% | |
| 14 | 16% | 87% | |
| 15 | 25% | 70% | Median |
| 16 | 35% | 45% | |
| 17 | 10% | 10% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 9 | 3% | 97% | |
| 10 | 29% | 94% | |
| 11 | 51% | 65% | Median |
| 12 | 13% | 14% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Open Vld
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 31% | 98% | |
| 9 | 18% | 67% | Median |
| 10 | 16% | 50% | |
| 11 | 24% | 34% | |
| 12 | 10% | 10% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
sp.a
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 8 | 29% | 97% | |
| 9 | 38% | 68% | Median |
| 10 | 13% | 29% | |
| 11 | 15% | 16% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
cdH
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the cdH page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 49% | 95% | Median |
| 5 | 36% | 45% | |
| 6 | 6% | 9% | |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
PTB
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PTB page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 26% | 98.9% | |
| 5 | 65% | 73% | Median |
| 6 | 7% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
PVDA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 51% | 99.2% | Median |
| 2 | 34% | 48% | |
| 3 | 14% | 14% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DéFI
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DéFI page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 78% | 98.6% | Last Result, Median |
| 3 | 21% | 21% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Parti Populaire
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti Populaire page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
La Droite
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the La Droite page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD&V – PS – MR – Ecolo – Groen – Open Vld – sp.a – cdH | 109 | 100 | 100% | 98–103 | 97–104 | 97–104 | 96–106 |
| N-VA – PS – MR – Open Vld – sp.a | 103 | 82 | 99.9% | 79–85 | 78–86 | 78–87 | 76–88 |
| CD&V – PS – Ecolo – Groen – sp.a – cdH – PTB – PVDA | 77 | 82 | 99.8% | 78–85 | 78–86 | 77–86 | 76–88 |
| PS – MR – Ecolo – Groen – Open Vld – sp.a | 82 | 80 | 98.6% | 77–83 | 77–84 | 76–84 | 75–86 |
| CD&V – PS – Ecolo – Groen – sp.a – cdH | 75 | 75 | 45% | 72–78 | 71–79 | 71–80 | 70–81 |
| CD&V – PS – MR – Open Vld – sp.a – cdH | 97 | 75 | 36% | 71–78 | 71–79 | 70–79 | 69–81 |
| N-VA – CD&V – MR – Open Vld – cdH | 94 | 73 | 16% | 70–76 | 69–77 | 69–78 | 67–79 |
| CD&V – MR – Ecolo – Groen – Open Vld – cdH | 73 | 71 | 3% | 68–74 | 67–75 | 67–76 | 66–77 |
| N-VA – CD&V – MR – Open Vld | 85 | 69 | 0.1% | 66–72 | 65–72 | 64–73 | 63–74 |
| PS – Ecolo – Groen – sp.a – cdH – PTB – PVDA | 59 | 66 | 0% | 63–68 | 63–69 | 62–70 | 61–71 |
| CD&V – PS – MR – Open Vld – cdH | 84 | 66 | 0% | 62–69 | 61–70 | 61–70 | 60–72 |
| PS – Ecolo – Groen – sp.a – PTB – PVDA | 50 | 61 | 0% | 59–64 | 58–65 | 57–66 | 56–67 |
| PS – MR – Open Vld – sp.a | 70 | 54 | 0% | 52–57 | 51–58 | 50–59 | 49–60 |
| CD&V – PS – sp.a – cdH | 63 | 49 | 0% | 46–52 | 46–53 | 45–54 | 44–55 |
| CD&V – MR – Open Vld – cdH | 61 | 46 | 0% | 42–49 | 41–50 | 41–50 | 40–51 |
CD&V – PS – MR – Ecolo – Groen – Open Vld – sp.a – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 95 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 96 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 97 | 7% | 98% | |
| 98 | 11% | 91% | |
| 99 | 15% | 80% | |
| 100 | 16% | 65% | Median |
| 101 | 17% | 49% | |
| 102 | 15% | 32% | |
| 103 | 10% | 17% | |
| 104 | 5% | 7% | |
| 105 | 2% | 2% | |
| 106 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 107 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 108 | 0% | 0% | |
| 109 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – PS – MR – Open Vld – sp.a
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 78 | 5% | 98% | |
| 79 | 10% | 93% | |
| 80 | 13% | 83% | |
| 81 | 15% | 70% | |
| 82 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 83 | 13% | 42% | |
| 84 | 11% | 29% | |
| 85 | 8% | 18% | |
| 86 | 6% | 10% | |
| 87 | 3% | 4% | |
| 88 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0% | |
| 100 | 0% | 0% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – Ecolo – Groen – sp.a – cdH – PTB – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 78 | 7% | 96% | |
| 79 | 10% | 89% | |
| 80 | 12% | 79% | |
| 81 | 15% | 67% | Median |
| 82 | 16% | 52% | |
| 83 | 14% | 36% | |
| 84 | 10% | 22% | |
| 85 | 7% | 12% | |
| 86 | 3% | 5% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
PS – MR – Ecolo – Groen – Open Vld – sp.a
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 3% | 98.6% | Majority |
| 77 | 6% | 96% | |
| 78 | 12% | 89% | |
| 79 | 17% | 78% | |
| 80 | 19% | 61% | Median |
| 81 | 16% | 42% | |
| 82 | 12% | 26% | Last Result |
| 83 | 8% | 14% | |
| 84 | 4% | 6% | |
| 85 | 2% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – PS – Ecolo – Groen – sp.a – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 4% | 98% | |
| 72 | 8% | 94% | |
| 73 | 12% | 86% | |
| 74 | 14% | 75% | |
| 75 | 16% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 76 | 15% | 45% | Majority |
| 77 | 12% | 29% | |
| 78 | 9% | 17% | |
| 79 | 5% | 8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – PS – MR – Open Vld – sp.a – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 7% | 96% | |
| 72 | 10% | 89% | |
| 73 | 13% | 79% | |
| 74 | 15% | 66% | Median |
| 75 | 15% | 51% | |
| 76 | 13% | 36% | Majority |
| 77 | 10% | 23% | |
| 78 | 7% | 13% | |
| 79 | 4% | 6% | |
| 80 | 2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
N-VA – CD&V – MR – Open Vld – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 3% | 98% | |
| 70 | 7% | 95% | |
| 71 | 11% | 88% | |
| 72 | 15% | 77% | |
| 73 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 74 | 16% | 45% | |
| 75 | 13% | 29% | |
| 76 | 9% | 16% | Majority |
| 77 | 5% | 8% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – MR – Ecolo – Groen – Open Vld – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 7% | 95% | |
| 69 | 11% | 88% | |
| 70 | 14% | 78% | |
| 71 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 72 | 16% | 48% | |
| 73 | 15% | 32% | Last Result |
| 74 | 10% | 17% | |
| 75 | 5% | 8% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
N-VA – CD&V – MR – Open Vld
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 5% | 97% | |
| 66 | 8% | 93% | |
| 67 | 13% | 84% | |
| 68 | 17% | 71% | |
| 69 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 70 | 15% | 36% | |
| 71 | 11% | 21% | |
| 72 | 6% | 10% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
PS – Ecolo – Groen – sp.a – cdH – PTB – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 7% | 96% | |
| 64 | 14% | 89% | |
| 65 | 19% | 74% | Median |
| 66 | 19% | 55% | |
| 67 | 15% | 36% | |
| 68 | 11% | 21% | |
| 69 | 6% | 10% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
CD&V – PS – MR – Open Vld – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 3% | 98% | |
| 62 | 7% | 95% | |
| 63 | 10% | 88% | |
| 64 | 13% | 78% | |
| 65 | 15% | 65% | Median |
| 66 | 15% | 50% | |
| 67 | 13% | 35% | |
| 68 | 10% | 22% | |
| 69 | 7% | 12% | |
| 70 | 3% | 6% | |
| 71 | 2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
PS – Ecolo – Groen – sp.a – PTB – PVDA
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 58 | 5% | 97% | |
| 59 | 11% | 91% | |
| 60 | 16% | 80% | |
| 61 | 19% | 64% | Median |
| 62 | 17% | 46% | |
| 63 | 13% | 29% | |
| 64 | 9% | 16% | |
| 65 | 4% | 7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
PS – MR – Open Vld – sp.a
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 51 | 6% | 97% | |
| 52 | 11% | 90% | |
| 53 | 15% | 80% | |
| 54 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 55 | 17% | 47% | |
| 56 | 14% | 30% | |
| 57 | 9% | 16% | |
| 58 | 5% | 7% | |
| 59 | 2% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – PS – sp.a – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 7% | 96% | |
| 47 | 11% | 89% | |
| 48 | 14% | 78% | |
| 49 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 50 | 16% | 48% | |
| 51 | 14% | 32% | |
| 52 | 10% | 19% | |
| 53 | 5% | 9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
CD&V – MR – Open Vld – cdH
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 3% | 98% | |
| 42 | 6% | 95% | |
| 43 | 10% | 89% | |
| 44 | 13% | 79% | |
| 45 | 15% | 65% | Median |
| 46 | 15% | 51% | |
| 47 | 13% | 35% | |
| 48 | 10% | 22% | |
| 49 | 7% | 12% | |
| 50 | 3% | 5% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
- Fieldwork period: 6–14 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1622
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.87%