Възраждане
Voting Intentions
Last result: 3.0% (General Election of 11 July 2021)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2.5% | 1.5–3.9% | 1.3–4.3% | 1.2–4.6% | 0.9–5.3% |
| 10–17 October 2021 | Gallup BNR |
2.9% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.8–4.7% | 1.5–5.3% |
| 5–12 October 2021 | Sova Harris Dir.bg |
2.0% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.2–3.2% | 1.1–3.5% | 0.9–4.0% |
| 6–12 October 2021 | Exacta | 1.8% | 1.2–2.8% | 1.1–3.1% | 0.9–3.4% | 0.7–3.9% |
| 6–10 October 2021 | Център за анализи и маркетинг | 1.7% | 1.3–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 1.0–2.9% | 0.8–3.3% |
| 4–10 October 2021 | Алфа рисърч | 3.0% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.5% | 1.8–4.8% | 1.5–5.4% |
| 21–26 September 2021 | Gallup | 3.3% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| 14–20 September 2021 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
3.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.4–4.9% | 2.3–5.2% | 1.9–5.8% |
| 8–15 September 2021 | Тренд | 3.0% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.5% | 1.8–4.8% | 1.5–5.4% |
| 8–15 September 2021 | Алфа рисърч | 3.8% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.7–5.5% | 2.5–5.8% | 2.1–6.5% |
| 2–10 September 2021 | Gallup | 3.2% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.1–4.8% | 1.9–5.2% | 1.6–5.9% |
| 13–22 August 2021 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
4.7% | 3.7–6.1% | 3.5–6.5% | 3.2–6.9% | 2.8–7.6% |
| 23–30 July 2021 | Тренд 24 часа |
2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
| 21–28 July 2021 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
4.3% | 3.4–5.7% | 3.1–6.1% | 2.9–6.5% | 2.5–7.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Възраждане.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 12% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 38% | 88% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 32% | 50% | Last Result, Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 15% | 18% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 11 July 2021)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
| 10–17 October 2021 | Gallup BNR |
0 | 0 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
| 5–12 October 2021 | Sova Harris Dir.bg |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| 6–12 October 2021 | Exacta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–10 October 2021 | Център за анализи и маркетинг | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–10 October 2021 | Алфа рисърч | 0 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 21–26 September 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 14–20 September 2021 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 8–15 September 2021 | Тренд | 0 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 8–15 September 2021 | Алфа рисърч | 0 | 0–13 | 0–14 | 0–15 | 0–17 |
| 2–10 September 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 | 0–15 |
| 13–22 August 2021 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
12 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–17 | 0–19 |
| 23–30 July 2021 | Тренд 24 часа |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| 21–28 July 2021 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
11 | 0–14 | 0–15 | 0–16 | 0–18 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Възраждане.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 92% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 8% | |
| 2 | 0% | 8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 8% | |
| 4 | 0% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 8% | |
| 10 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 11 | 3% | 7% | |
| 12 | 3% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |