Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 30 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | D | V | S | M | B | P | F | C | A | R | T | J |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 October 2017 | General Election | 25.2% 16 |
16.9% 11 |
12.1% 7 |
10.9% 7 |
10.7% 8 |
9.2% 6 |
6.9% 4 |
6.7% 4 |
1.2% 0 |
0.2% 0 |
0.1% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 19–25% 13–18 |
8–13% 5–9 |
10–16% 6–10 |
5–8% 1–5 |
11–18% 8–14 |
8–14% 5–9 |
4–7% 0–4 |
8–14% 5–8 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
4–8% 0–5 |
| 22–24 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
20–22% 13–15 |
10–11% 6–7 |
13–15% 8–10 |
5–6% 1–3 |
15–16% 11–13 |
9–11% 5–7 |
6–7% 3–4 |
9–11% 5–7 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
6–7% 3–4 |
| 24 September 2021 | Gallup RÚV |
22–25% 14–18 |
11–13% 7–9 |
12–14% 7–9 |
6–8% 3–4 |
14–16% 10–12 |
8–10% 4–6 |
6–7% 3–4 |
8–10% 5–6 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
5–6% 0–3 |
| 22–23 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
20–26% 13–19 |
8–12% 5–8 |
10–14% 6–9 |
4–8% 1–4 |
14–19% 10–15 |
8–12% 5–8 |
5–8% 0–5 |
10–14% 6–9 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
4–7% 0–4 |
| 17–21 September 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
18–22% 12–15 |
9–13% 5–8 |
13–17% 8–11 |
5–8% 3–5 |
11–14% 7–11 |
11–15% 7–10 |
4–7% 0–4 |
8–11% 5–7 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
6–8% 3–5 |
| 28 October 2017 | General Election | 25.2% 16 |
16.9% 11 |
12.1% 7 |
10.9% 7 |
10.7% 8 |
9.2% 6 |
6.9% 4 |
6.7% 4 |
1.2% 0 |
0.2% 0 |
0.1% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Alþingi (95% confidence interval)
- D: Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn
- V: Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð
- S: Samfylkingin
- M: Miðflokkurinn
- B: Framsóknarflokkurinn
- P: Píratar
- F: Flokkur fólksins
- C: Viðreisn
- A: Björt framtíð
- R: Alþýðufylkingin
- T: Dögun
- J: Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 25.2% | 21.9% | 19.8–24.0% | 19.2–24.4% | 18.7–24.8% | 17.9–25.8% |
| Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 16.9% | 10.7% | 9.4–12.2% | 8.9–12.5% | 8.5–12.7% | 7.8–13.1% |
| Samfylkingin | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.3–15.0% | 10.7–15.6% | 10.3–16.1% | 9.5–16.9% |
| Miðflokkurinn | 10.9% | 6.3% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.1–7.5% | 4.9–7.7% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Framsóknarflokkurinn | 10.7% | 15.1% | 12.0–16.7% | 11.5–17.5% | 11.1–18.0% | 10.5–19.0% |
| Píratar | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6–13.4% | 8.4–14.0% | 8.2–14.4% | 7.9–15.2% |
| Flokkur fólksins | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.3% | 4.0–8.0% |
| Viðreisn | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.8–12.3% | 8.5–13.0% | 8.3–13.5% | 7.7–14.4% |
| Björt framtíð | 1.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alþýðufylkingin | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Dögun | 0.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands | 0.0% | 5.8% | 4.8–7.1% | 4.5–7.6% | 4.2–7.9% | 3.8–8.5% |
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 6% | 98% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 11% | 92% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 23% | 82% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 20% | 58% | Median |
| 22.5–23.5% | 21% | 39% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 14% | 18% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% |
Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 10% | 97% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 30% | 87% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 30% | 57% | Median |
| 11.5–12.5% | 23% | 27% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Samfylkingin
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Samfylkingin page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 9% | 96% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 19% | 88% | Last Result |
| 12.5–13.5% | 27% | 68% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 26% | 42% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 10% | 16% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% |
Miðflokkurinn
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miðflokkurinn page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 22% | 99.2% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 38% | 77% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 34% | 39% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Framsóknarflokkurinn
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Framsóknarflokkurinn page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 5% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 11.5–12.5% | 10% | 95% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 8% | 85% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 10% | 77% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 36% | 67% | Median |
| 15.5–16.5% | 20% | 32% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 7% | 12% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 3% | 5% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% |
Píratar
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Píratar page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 26% | 92% | Last Result |
| 9.5–10.5% | 29% | 66% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 11% | 37% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 7% | 26% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 10% | 19% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 7% | 9% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Flokkur fólksins
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Flokkur fólksins page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 3% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 19% | 97% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 56% | 78% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 20% | 21% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Viðreisn
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Viðreisn page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 32% | 95% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 34% | 63% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 11% | 28% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 9% | 17% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 6% | 8% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% |
Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 33% | 95% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 41% | 62% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 15% | 20% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn | 16 | 14 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 11 | 7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| Samfylkingin | 7 | 8 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 |
| Miðflokkurinn | 7 | 3 | 3–4 | 1–4 | 1–5 | 1–5 |
| Framsóknarflokkurinn | 8 | 12 | 9–12 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| Píratar | 6 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| Flokkur fólksins | 4 | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| Viðreisn | 4 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| Björt framtíð | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Alþýðufylkingin | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Dögun | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands | 0 | 3 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 26% | 99.0% | |
| 14 | 29% | 73% | Median |
| 15 | 14% | 44% | |
| 16 | 9% | 30% | Last Result |
| 17 | 13% | 21% | |
| 18 | 6% | 7% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 40% | 93% | |
| 7 | 26% | 53% | Median |
| 8 | 24% | 27% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Samfylkingin
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Samfylkingin page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 25% | 94% | Last Result |
| 8 | 20% | 69% | Median |
| 9 | 30% | 49% | |
| 10 | 17% | 19% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Miðflokkurinn
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miðflokkurinn page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 3 | 46% | 95% | Median |
| 4 | 44% | 49% | |
| 5 | 4% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Framsóknarflokkurinn
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Framsóknarflokkurinn page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 5% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 13% | 94% | |
| 10 | 8% | 81% | |
| 11 | 22% | 73% | |
| 12 | 42% | 51% | Median |
| 13 | 3% | 10% | |
| 14 | 5% | 7% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Píratar
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Píratar page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 27% | 98% | |
| 6 | 37% | 71% | Last Result, Median |
| 7 | 11% | 35% | |
| 8 | 14% | 24% | |
| 9 | 8% | 10% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Flokkur fólksins
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Flokkur fólksins page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 89% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 3 | 46% | 89% | Median |
| 4 | 42% | 44% | Last Result |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Viðreisn
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Viðreisn page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 29% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 44% | 71% | Median |
| 7 | 16% | 26% | |
| 8 | 8% | 10% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Björt framtíð
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Björt framtíð page.
Alþýðufylkingin
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Alþýðufylkingin page.
Dögun
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dögun page.
Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 84% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 3 | 46% | 83% | Median |
| 4 | 31% | 37% | |
| 5 | 5% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Framsóknarflokkurinn | 35 | 32 | 69% | 29–36 | 29–37 | 28–37 | 27–38 |
| Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Miðflokkurinn – Framsóknarflokkurinn | 31 | 29 | 21% | 26–32 | 26–33 | 25–34 | 24–35 |
| Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin – Miðflokkurinn – Framsóknarflokkurinn | 33 | 30 | 6% | 28–31 | 27–32 | 26–32 | 25–33 |
| Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin – Píratar – Viðreisn – Björt framtíð | 28 | 27 | 7% | 25–31 | 24–32 | 24–32 | 23–33 |
| Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin – Píratar – Viðreisn | 28 | 27 | 7% | 25–31 | 24–32 | 24–32 | 23–33 |
| Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Framsóknarflokkurinn | 24 | 26 | 0.8% | 22–29 | 22–30 | 22–30 | 21–32 |
| Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin – Framsóknarflokkurinn | 26 | 26 | 0% | 24–28 | 24–28 | 23–29 | 23–29 |
| Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Samfylkingin | 23 | 23 | 0% | 22–25 | 21–25 | 20–26 | 19–26 |
| Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin – Píratar – Björt framtíð | 24 | 21 | 0% | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–26 | 16–27 |
| Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin – Píratar | 24 | 21 | 0% | 19–25 | 18–26 | 17–26 | 16–27 |
| Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð | 27 | 21 | 0% | 19–25 | 19–25 | 19–25 | 18–26 |
| Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Viðreisn – Björt framtíð | 20 | 20 | 0% | 19–23 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 |
| Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Viðreisn | 20 | 20 | 0% | 19–23 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 |
| Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Miðflokkurinn – Framsóknarflokkurinn | 26 | 21 | 0% | 19–23 | 19–24 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Miðflokkurinn | 23 | 18 | 0% | 16–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 |
| Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin – Miðflokkurinn | 25 | 19 | 0% | 16–21 | 15–22 | 14–22 | 13–23 |
| Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Framsóknarflokkurinn | 19 | 18 | 0% | 16–20 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 14–22 |
| Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Björt framtíð | 16 | 14 | 0% | 13–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin | 18 | 15 | 0% | 13–17 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–18 |
| Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Píratar | 17 | 13 | 0% | 12–15 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Miðflokkurinn | 18 | 10 | 0% | 9–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–13 |
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Framsóknarflokkurinn
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 29 | 12% | 96% | |
| 30 | 7% | 84% | |
| 31 | 7% | 77% | |
| 32 | 20% | 69% | Majority |
| 33 | 10% | 49% | Median |
| 34 | 9% | 39% | |
| 35 | 11% | 30% | Last Result |
| 36 | 14% | 19% | |
| 37 | 4% | 5% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Miðflokkurinn – Framsóknarflokkurinn
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 9% | 95% | |
| 27 | 11% | 86% | |
| 28 | 11% | 76% | |
| 29 | 20% | 65% | Median |
| 30 | 10% | 45% | |
| 31 | 13% | 34% | Last Result |
| 32 | 12% | 21% | Majority |
| 33 | 6% | 9% | |
| 34 | 3% | 4% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin – Miðflokkurinn – Framsóknarflokkurinn
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 3% | 97% | |
| 28 | 10% | 94% | |
| 29 | 20% | 83% | |
| 30 | 37% | 63% | Median |
| 31 | 20% | 26% | |
| 32 | 5% | 6% | Majority |
| 33 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin – Píratar – Viðreisn – Björt framtíð
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 4% | 98% | |
| 25 | 13% | 94% | |
| 26 | 13% | 82% | |
| 27 | 22% | 69% | Median |
| 28 | 18% | 46% | Last Result |
| 29 | 9% | 29% | |
| 30 | 9% | 20% | |
| 31 | 5% | 12% | |
| 32 | 5% | 7% | Majority |
| 33 | 2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin – Píratar – Viðreisn
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 23 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 4% | 98% | |
| 25 | 13% | 94% | |
| 26 | 13% | 82% | |
| 27 | 22% | 69% | Median |
| 28 | 18% | 46% | Last Result |
| 29 | 9% | 29% | |
| 30 | 9% | 20% | |
| 31 | 5% | 12% | |
| 32 | 5% | 7% | Majority |
| 33 | 2% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Framsóknarflokkurinn
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 22 | 12% | 98% | |
| 23 | 9% | 86% | |
| 24 | 2% | 77% | Last Result |
| 25 | 10% | 75% | |
| 26 | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 27 | 14% | 41% | |
| 28 | 14% | 28% | |
| 29 | 7% | 14% | |
| 30 | 5% | 7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 0.8% | Majority |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin – Framsóknarflokkurinn
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 23 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 8% | 97% | |
| 25 | 13% | 89% | |
| 26 | 30% | 76% | Last Result |
| 27 | 31% | 46% | Median |
| 28 | 13% | 16% | |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Samfylkingin
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 21 | 6% | 97% | |
| 22 | 20% | 91% | Median |
| 23 | 35% | 71% | Last Result |
| 24 | 23% | 36% | |
| 25 | 9% | 13% | |
| 26 | 3% | 4% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin – Píratar – Björt framtíð
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 18 | 4% | 97% | |
| 19 | 7% | 92% | |
| 20 | 20% | 85% | |
| 21 | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 22 | 14% | 41% | |
| 23 | 6% | 27% | |
| 24 | 7% | 21% | Last Result |
| 25 | 7% | 14% | |
| 26 | 5% | 7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin – Píratar
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 18 | 4% | 97% | |
| 19 | 7% | 92% | |
| 20 | 20% | 85% | |
| 21 | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 22 | 14% | 41% | |
| 23 | 6% | 27% | |
| 24 | 7% | 21% | Last Result |
| 25 | 7% | 14% | |
| 26 | 5% | 7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 13% | 98% | |
| 20 | 30% | 86% | |
| 21 | 16% | 56% | Median |
| 22 | 7% | 39% | |
| 23 | 8% | 32% | |
| 24 | 10% | 24% | |
| 25 | 12% | 14% | |
| 26 | 2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Viðreisn – Björt framtíð
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 18% | 93% | |
| 20 | 28% | 75% | Last Result, Median |
| 21 | 13% | 47% | |
| 22 | 14% | 34% | |
| 23 | 11% | 20% | |
| 24 | 5% | 9% | |
| 25 | 3% | 4% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Viðreisn
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 18% | 93% | |
| 20 | 28% | 75% | Last Result, Median |
| 21 | 13% | 47% | |
| 22 | 14% | 34% | |
| 23 | 11% | 20% | |
| 24 | 5% | 9% | |
| 25 | 3% | 4% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Miðflokkurinn – Framsóknarflokkurinn
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 18 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 19 | 11% | 97% | |
| 20 | 9% | 86% | |
| 21 | 32% | 76% | |
| 22 | 19% | 45% | Median |
| 23 | 20% | 25% | |
| 24 | 5% | 5% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Miðflokkurinn
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 16% | 98% | |
| 17 | 28% | 82% | Median |
| 18 | 15% | 54% | |
| 19 | 13% | 39% | |
| 20 | 11% | 26% | |
| 21 | 12% | 15% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin – Miðflokkurinn
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 15 | 4% | 96% | |
| 16 | 5% | 92% | |
| 17 | 9% | 87% | |
| 18 | 24% | 77% | Median |
| 19 | 25% | 54% | |
| 20 | 14% | 28% | |
| 21 | 9% | 14% | |
| 22 | 5% | 5% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Framsóknarflokkurinn
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 7% | 98% | |
| 16 | 11% | 90% | |
| 17 | 10% | 80% | |
| 18 | 30% | 70% | |
| 19 | 30% | 41% | Last Result, Median |
| 20 | 9% | 11% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn – Björt framtíð
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 26% | 99.0% | |
| 14 | 29% | 73% | Median |
| 15 | 14% | 44% | |
| 16 | 9% | 30% | Last Result |
| 17 | 13% | 21% | |
| 18 | 6% | 7% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Samfylkingin
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 5% | 98% | |
| 13 | 7% | 93% | |
| 14 | 12% | 86% | |
| 15 | 33% | 73% | Median |
| 16 | 24% | 40% | |
| 17 | 12% | 16% | |
| 18 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Píratar
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 11 | 8% | 98% | |
| 12 | 28% | 90% | |
| 13 | 30% | 62% | Median |
| 14 | 13% | 33% | |
| 15 | 10% | 20% | |
| 16 | 7% | 9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Vinstrihreyfingin – grænt framboð – Miðflokkurinn
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 5% | 96% | |
| 9 | 28% | 91% | |
| 10 | 21% | 63% | Median |
| 11 | 19% | 42% | |
| 12 | 20% | 23% | |
| 13 | 3% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 4
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 4,194,304
- Error estimate: 2.09%