Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 28 October 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5.8% | 4.8–7.1% | 4.5–7.6% | 4.2–7.9% | 3.8–8.5% |
| 22–24 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
6.1% | 5.7–6.5% | 5.6–6.6% | 5.5–6.7% | 5.3–7.0% |
| 24 September 2021 | Gallup RÚV |
5.3% | 4.9–5.7% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% |
| 22–23 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
5.1% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% | 3.8–6.7% | 3.4–7.2% |
| 15–22 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
6.6% | 5.6–7.8% | 5.4–8.1% | 5.1–8.4% | 4.7–9.1% |
| 21–22 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 4.9–7.5% | 4.7–7.8% | 4.3–8.4% |
| 17–21 September 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
6.9% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.8–8.2% | 5.6–8.4% | 5.2–8.9% |
| 13–19 September 2021 | Gallup RÚV |
7.3% | 6.8–7.9% | 6.6–8.0% | 6.5–8.2% | 6.3–8.4% |
| 15–17 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
8.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.0% | 7.2–10.3% | 6.7–10.8% |
| 13–16 September 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
7.7% | 6.9–8.7% | 6.6–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.1–9.6% |
| 8–13 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
6.1% | 5.6–6.7% | 5.4–6.9% | 5.3–7.0% | 5.1–7.3% |
| 30 August–12 September 2021 | Gallup | 7.8% | 7.2–8.5% | 7.0–8.6% | 6.9–8.8% | 6.6–9.1% |
| 8–10 September 2021 | MMR | 6.7% | 5.7–7.9% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.5% | 4.8–9.1% |
| 31 August–6 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
7.9% | 7.2–8.7% | 7.0–8.9% | 6.8–9.1% | 6.5–9.5% |
| 29 August 2021 | Gallup | 8.2% | 7.5–9.0% | 7.3–9.2% | 7.1–9.4% | 6.8–9.8% |
| 24 August 2021 | MMR | 8.7% | 7.6–10.0% | 7.3–10.4% | 7.0–10.7% | 6.5–11.4% |
| 13–23 August 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
6.9% | 5.9–8.2% | 5.6–8.6% | 5.4–8.9% | 4.9–9.5% |
| 29 July–15 August 2021 | Gallup | 6.7% | 6.3–7.1% | 6.2–7.2% | 6.1–7.3% | 5.9–7.5% |
| 1–31 July 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
6.3% | 5.3–7.4% | 5.1–7.8% | 4.8–8.1% | 4.4–8.7% |
| 30 June–28 July 2021 | Gallup | 5.4% | 5.0–5.9% | 4.8–6.0% | 4.7–6.2% | 4.5–6.4% |
| 15–23 July 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
6.1% | 5.5–6.8% | 5.4–7.0% | 5.3–7.1% | 5.0–7.4% |
| 24 June–6 July 2021 | MMR | 5.3% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.4–6.4% | 4.1–6.7% |
| 1–30 June 2021 | Maskína | 4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.3–5.6% | 3.2–5.9% | 2.8–6.4% |
| 1–29 June 2021 | Gallup | 5.4% | 5.0–5.9% | 4.8–6.0% | 4.8–6.1% | 4.6–6.4% |
| 4–14 June 2021 | MMR | 5.3% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.7–7.5% |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | MMR | 5.6% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 3.9–7.8% |
| 1–31 May 2021 | Gallup | 5.4% | 4.8–6.1% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.5–6.5% | 4.2–6.9% |
| 7–12 May 2021 | MMR | 5.7% | 4.8–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.9% |
| 1–30 April 2021 | Gallup | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.8–6.4% |
| 21–28 April 2021 | MMR | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.5% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.3% |
| 29 March–7 April 2021 | MMR | 4.0% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| 1–29 March 2021 | Gallup | 5.0% | 4.6–5.4% | 4.5–5.5% | 4.4–5.6% | 4.3–5.8% |
| 5–10 March 2021 | MMR | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.7–5.2% | 2.5–5.7% |
| 1–28 February 2021 | Gallup | 5.8% | 5.4–6.2% | 5.3–6.4% | 5.2–6.5% | 5.0–6.7% |
| 12–18 February 2021 | MMR | 4.1% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.4% | 3.0–5.6% | 2.7–6.1% |
| 6–31 January 2021 | Gallup | 3.8% | 3.5–4.2% | 3.4–4.3% | 3.3–4.4% | 3.1–4.6% |
| 30 December 2020–11 January 2021 | MMR | 4.4% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.2% | 3.6–5.4% | 3.3–5.7% |
| 1 December 2020–3 January 2021 | Gallup | 3.8% | 3.5–4.2% | 3.4–4.3% | 3.3–4.3% | 3.2–4.5% |
| 11–19 December 2020 | Zenter | 3.3% | 2.8–4.1% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.5–4.5% | 2.3–4.8% |
| 26 November–3 December 2020 | MMR | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 3.9–6.3% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.4–7.1% |
| 2–30 November 2020 | Gallup | 3.7% | 3.4–4.1% | 3.3–4.2% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.1–4.5% |
| 6–11 November 2020 | MMR | 4.0% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.5% | 2.6–6.0% |
| 30 September–1 November 2020 | Gallup | 2.7% | 2.5–3.0% | 2.4–3.1% | 2.3–3.2% | 2.2–3.3% |
| 23–28 October 2020 | MMR | 4.6% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% | 3.4–6.2% | 3.1–6.7% |
| 1–30 September 2020 | Gallup | 3.9% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.5–4.4% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.7% |
| 24–28 September 2020 | Maskína | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–23 September 2020 | MMR | 4.3% | 3.8–4.9% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.3–5.6% |
| 26 August–2 September 2020 | MMR | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| 4–31 August 2020 | Gallup | 3.9% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.5–4.4% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.2–4.7% |
| 23–28 July 2020 | MMR | 5.2% | 4.3–6.2% | 4.1–6.5% | 3.9–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| 2–30 June 2020 | Gallup | 3.8% | 3.5–4.2% | 3.4–4.3% | 3.3–4.3% | 3.2–4.5% |
| 16–19 June 2020 | MMR | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.3–5.3% |
| 4 May–1 June 2020 | Gallup | 3.3% | 3.0–3.6% | 2.9–3.7% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.7–4.0% |
| 19–25 May 2020 | MMR | 4.1% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| 30 March–3 May 2020 | Gallup | 4.0% | 3.7–4.3% | 3.6–4.4% | 3.5–4.5% | 3.4–4.7% |
| 15–17 April 2020 | MMR | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.6–6.9% | 4.4–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| 3–7 April 2020 | MMR | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 2–29 March 2020 | Gallup | 3.2% | 2.9–3.5% | 2.8–3.6% | 2.8–3.7% | 2.7–3.9% |
| 18–20 March 2020 | MMR | 4.7% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.3–6.7% |
| 3 February–1 March 2020 | Gallup | 4.9% | 4.5–5.3% | 4.4–5.5% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.1–5.8% |
| 6–10 February 2020 | MMR | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.7–7.4% |
| 3 January–2 February 2020 | Gallup | 3.4% | 3.1–3.8% | 3.0–3.9% | 2.9–4.0% | 2.8–4.2% |
| 28 January 2020 | MMR | 4.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.3% | 3.7–6.6% | 3.4–7.1% |
| 3–13 January 2020 | MMR | 4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.3% |
| 2 December 2019–1 January 2020 | Gallup | 3.3% | 3.0–3.7% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.1% |
| 13–19 December 2019 | MMR | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| 28 October–1 December 2019 | Gallup | 3.0% | 2.7–3.3% | 2.7–3.4% | 2.6–3.4% | 2.5–3.6% |
| 15–22 November 2019 | MMR | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| 30 September–27 October 2019 | Gallup | 2.6% | 2.3–2.9% | 2.3–3.0% | 2.2–3.1% | 2.1–3.2% |
| 21–25 October 2019 | MMR | 2.6% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.5–4.2% |
| 10–14 October 2019 | Zenter | 2.9% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.1–4.0% | 1.8–4.3% |
| 30 September–9 October 2019 | MMR | 3.1% | 2.7–3.6% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% |
| 1–30 September 2019 | Gallup | 2.7% | 2.3–3.3% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.1–3.6% | 1.9–3.8% |
| 9–16 September 2019 | MMR | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 29 July–1 September 2019 | Gallup | 3.7% | 3.3–4.1% | 3.2–4.2% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.0–4.5% |
| 12–19 August 2019 | MMR | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 1–31 July 2019 | Gallup | 3.2% | 2.7–3.8% | 2.6–3.9% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.3–4.4% |
| 24–26 July 2019 | Zenter | 2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.6–4.4% |
| 4–17 July 2019 | MMR | 4.3% | 3.7–4.9% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.2–5.6% |
| 31 May–30 June 2019 | Gallup | 3.0% | 2.6–3.4% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% |
| 7–14 June 2019 | MMR | 4.5% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| 3–30 May 2019 | Gallup | 3.7% | 3.3–4.1% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.1–4.4% | 2.9–4.6% |
| 23–29 May 2019 | MMR | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.4–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| 14–16 May 2019 | MMR | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.2–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 30 April–3 May 2019 | MMR | 4.3% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.5% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.8–6.2% |
| 5–30 April 2019 | Gallup | 3.6% | 3.2–4.1% | 3.1–4.2% | 3.0–4.3% | 2.8–4.6% |
| 13 April 2019 | MMR | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.2% | 1.7–4.6% |
| 4–9 April 2019 | MMR | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.1% | 3.0–6.6% |
| 1–31 March 2019 | Gallup | 3.5% | 3.1–3.9% | 3.0–4.0% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% |
| 11–14 March 2019 | MMR | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| 31 January–28 February 2019 | Gallup | 5.0% | 4.6–5.5% | 4.5–5.6% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–6.0% |
| 11–15 February 2019 | MMR | 3.6% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.5% |
| 7–31 January 2019 | Gallup | 5.3% | 4.7–5.9% | 4.6–6.1% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.2–6.6% |
| 28 January 2019 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–14 January 2019 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 December 2018–1 January 2019 | Gallup | 3.4% | 3.0–3.9% | 2.9–4.0% | 2.8–4.1% | 2.6–4.4% |
| 5–11 December 2018 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 December 2018 | Zenter | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 November–3 December 2018 | Maskína | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 November–2 December 2018 | Gallup | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% |
| 21 November 2018 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 November 2018 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–31 October 2018 | Gallup | 1.1% | 0.9–1.4% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.8–1.5% | 0.7–1.7% |
| 22 October 2018 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 October 2018 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 September–1 October 2018 | Gallup | 0.9% | 0.7–1.2% | 0.7–1.2% | 0.6–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% |
| 7–12 September 2018 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 August–2 September 2018 | Gallup | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% |
| 10 August 2018 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 June–30 July 2018 | Gallup | 0.9% | 0.7–1.1% | 0.7–1.2% | 0.6–1.3% | 0.6–1.4% |
| 31 May–1 July 2018 | Gallup | 1.0% | 0.8–1.2% | 0.7–1.3% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.6–1.5% |
| 12–18 June 2018 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–31 May 2018 | Gallup | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–22 May 2018 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 May 2018 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 March–29 April 2018 | Gallup | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–19 April 2018 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–26 March 2018 | Gallup | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 March 2018 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–28 February 2018 | Gallup | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–31 January 2018 | Gallup | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–30 January 2018 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–17 January 2018 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 November–28 December 2017 | Gallup | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 December 2017 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4 December 2017 | Fréttablaðið/Stöð 2/Vísir | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4 December 2017 | Fréttablaðið, Stöð 2 and Vísir | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–30 November 2017 | Gallup | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 November 2017 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 33% | 95% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 41% | 62% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 15% | 20% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 28 October 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 22–24 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 24 September 2021 | Gallup RÚV |
3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 22–23 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 15–22 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 21–22 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
4 | 3–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 17–21 September 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| 13–19 September 2021 | Gallup RÚV |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 15–17 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 |
| 13–16 September 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 8–13 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 30 August–12 September 2021 | Gallup | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 8–10 September 2021 | MMR | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 0–6 |
| 31 August–6 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 29 August 2021 | Gallup | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 24 August 2021 | MMR | 5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 |
| 13–23 August 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
4 | 4–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 29 July–15 August 2021 | Gallup | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 1–31 July 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 30 June–28 July 2021 | Gallup | 3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 15–23 July 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 24 June–6 July 2021 | MMR | 3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 1–30 June 2021 | Maskína | 0 | 0–1 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 1–29 June 2021 | Gallup | 3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 4–14 June 2021 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 1–31 May 2021 | Gallup | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 7–12 May 2021 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 1–30 April 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 21–28 April 2021 | MMR | 4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 29 March–7 April 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 1–29 March 2021 | Gallup | 3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 5–10 March 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 1–28 February 2021 | Gallup | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 0–4 |
| 12–18 February 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 6–31 January 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 December 2020–11 January 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 1 December 2020–3 January 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11–19 December 2020 | Zenter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 November–3 December 2020 | MMR | 3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 2–30 November 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–11 November 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 30 September–1 November 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–28 October 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 1–30 September 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 24–28 September 2020 | Maskína | |||||
| 10–23 September 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 26 August–2 September 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 4–31 August 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–28 July 2020 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 2–30 June 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–19 June 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 4 May–1 June 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19–25 May 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 30 March–3 May 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–17 April 2020 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 3–7 April 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 2–29 March 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18–20 March 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 3 February–1 March 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 6–10 February 2020 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 3 January–2 February 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 January 2020 | MMR | 1 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 3–13 January 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 2 December 2019–1 January 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13–19 December 2019 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 28 October–1 December 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–22 November 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 September–27 October 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21–25 October 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10–14 October 2019 | Zenter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 September–9 October 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–30 September 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9–16 September 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 July–1 September 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12–19 August 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–31 July 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24–26 July 2019 | Zenter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–17 July 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 31 May–30 June 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7–14 June 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 3–30 May 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–29 May 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 14–16 May 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 April–3 May 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 5–30 April 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 April 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–9 April 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 1–31 March 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11–14 March 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 January–28 February 2019 | Gallup | 3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 11–15 February 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 7–31 January 2019 | Gallup | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 28 January 2019 | MMR | |||||
| 4–14 January 2019 | MMR | |||||
| 3 December 2018–1 January 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5–11 December 2018 | MMR | |||||
| 3–4 December 2018 | Zenter | |||||
| 30 November–3 December 2018 | Maskína | |||||
| 3 November–2 December 2018 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 November 2018 | MMR | |||||
| 8–12 November 2018 | MMR | |||||
| 2–31 October 2018 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 October 2018 | MMR | |||||
| 3–9 October 2018 | MMR | |||||
| 3 September–1 October 2018 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7–12 September 2018 | MMR | |||||
| 2 August–2 September 2018 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 August 2018 | MMR | |||||
| 29 June–30 July 2018 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May–1 July 2018 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12–18 June 2018 | MMR | |||||
| 2–31 May 2018 | Gallup | |||||
| 16–22 May 2018 | MMR | |||||
| 2 May 2018 | MMR | |||||
| 27 March–29 April 2018 | Gallup | |||||
| 13–19 April 2018 | MMR | |||||
| 1–26 March 2018 | Gallup | |||||
| 19 March 2018 | MMR | |||||
| 1–28 February 2018 | Gallup | |||||
| 4–31 January 2018 | Gallup | |||||
| 25–30 January 2018 | MMR | |||||
| 9–17 January 2018 | MMR | |||||
| 30 November–28 December 2017 | Gallup | |||||
| 12–15 December 2017 | MMR | |||||
| 4 December 2017 | Fréttablaðið/Stöð 2/Vísir | |||||
| 4 December 2017 | Fréttablaðið, Stöð 2 and Vísir | |||||
| 8–30 November 2017 | Gallup | |||||
| 14–17 November 2017 | MMR |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Sósíalistaflokkur Íslands.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 84% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 3 | 46% | 83% | Median |
| 4 | 31% | 37% | |
| 5 | 5% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |