Samfylkingin

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 12.1% (General Election of 28 October 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 13.2% 11.3–15.0% 10.7–15.6% 10.3–16.1% 9.5–16.9%
22–24 September 2021 Maskína
Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir		 13.8% 13.2–14.4% 13.1–14.6% 12.9–14.7% 12.7–15.0%
24 September 2021 Gallup
RÚV		 12.6% 12.0–13.2% 11.8–13.4% 11.7–13.6% 11.4–13.9%
22–23 September 2021 MMR
Morgunblaðið		 11.5% 10.3–13.0% 9.9–13.4% 9.6–13.8% 9.1–14.5%
15–22 September 2021 Maskína
Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir		 11.7% 10.4–13.2% 10.1–13.6% 9.8–14.0% 9.2–14.8%
21–22 September 2021 MMR
Morgunblaðið		 13.9% 12.5–15.4% 12.1–15.9% 11.8–16.3% 11.1–17.0%
17–21 September 2021 Prósent
Fréttablaðið		 14.7% 13.5–16.1% 13.2–16.5% 12.9–16.8% 12.3–17.5%
13–19 September 2021 Gallup
RÚV		 12.7% 12.0–13.4% 11.8–13.6% 11.7–13.8% 11.4–14.1%
15–17 September 2021 MMR
Morgunblaðið		 13.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.5–14.6% 11.2–14.9% 10.7–15.6%
13–16 September 2021 Prósent
Fréttablaðið		 14.2% 13.1–15.4% 12.8–15.8% 12.5–16.1% 12.0–16.7%
8–13 September 2021 Maskína
Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir		 14.6% 13.8–15.4% 13.6–15.7% 13.4–15.9% 13.0–16.3%
30 August–12 September 2021 Gallup 11.0% 10.3–11.8% 10.1–12.0% 9.9–12.2% 9.6–12.6%
8–10 September 2021 MMR 11.6% 10.4–13.1% 10.0–13.5% 9.7–13.9% 9.1–14.6%
31 August–6 September 2021 Maskína
Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir		 12.3% 11.4–13.3% 11.2–13.6% 11.0–13.8% 10.6–14.3%
29 August 2021 Gallup 11.5% 10.7–12.4% 10.4–12.6% 10.2–12.8% 9.9–13.3%
24 August 2021 MMR 10.5% 9.3–12.0% 9.0–12.4% 8.7–12.7% 8.2–13.4%
13–23 August 2021 Maskína
Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir		 13.0% 11.6–14.6% 11.2–15.1% 10.9–15.5% 10.2–16.3%
29 July–15 August 2021 Gallup 11.2% 10.7–11.7% 10.6–11.9% 10.5–12.0% 10.2–12.3%
1–31 July 2021 Maskína
Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir		 13.7% 12.3–15.2% 11.9–15.7% 11.5–16.1% 10.9–16.9%
30 June–28 July 2021 Gallup 12.3% 11.6–13.0% 11.4–13.2% 11.3–13.4% 11.0–13.7%
15–23 July 2021 Prósent
Fréttablaðið		 12.6% 11.8–13.5% 11.6–13.7% 11.4–13.9% 11.0–14.4%
24 June–6 July 2021 MMR 10.6% 9.8–11.5% 9.5–11.8% 9.3–12.0% 8.9–12.5%
1–30 June 2021 Maskína 12.4% 11.1–13.9% 10.7–14.4% 10.4–14.8% 9.8–15.5%
1–29 June 2021 Gallup 9.9% 9.3–10.5% 9.2–10.7% 9.0–10.8% 8.8–11.1%
4–14 June 2021 MMR 11.2% 10.0–12.6% 9.7–13.0% 9.4–13.3% 8.8–14.0%
25 May–1 June 2021 MMR 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.1–13.1% 8.6–13.8%
1–31 May 2021 Gallup 12.4% 11.5–13.4% 11.2–13.7% 11.0–14.0% 10.6–14.5%
7–12 May 2021 MMR 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.1–13.1% 8.5–13.7%
1–30 April 2021 Gallup 12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.8–13.3% 10.6–13.5% 10.2–14.0%
21–28 April 2021 MMR 11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.7–13.1% 9.4–13.5% 8.9–14.2%
29 March–7 April 2021 MMR 15.4% 14.0–17.0% 13.6–17.5% 13.3–17.9% 12.6–18.7%
1–29 March 2021 Gallup 12.7% 12.1–13.3% 12.0–13.5% 11.8–13.6% 11.6–13.9%
5–10 March 2021 MMR 13.8% 12.4–15.3% 12.1–15.7% 11.7–16.1% 11.1–16.9%
1–28 February 2021 Gallup 14.4% 13.8–15.1% 13.6–15.3% 13.4–15.4% 13.1–15.7%
12–18 February 2021 MMR 13.2% 11.8–14.7% 11.4–15.1% 11.1–15.5% 10.5–16.3%
6–31 January 2021 Gallup 16.6% 15.9–17.3% 15.7–17.5% 15.6–17.7% 15.2–18.0%
30 December 2020–11 January 2021 MMR 15.6% 14.6–16.7% 14.3–17.0% 14.1–17.2% 13.6–17.8%
1 December 2020–3 January 2021 Gallup 17.0% 16.4–17.7% 16.2–17.9% 16.1–18.0% 15.8–18.3%
11–19 December 2020 Zenter 15.6% 14.4–16.9% 14.0–17.3% 13.7–17.7% 13.2–18.3%
26 November–3 December 2020 MMR 13.9% 12.5–15.4% 12.1–15.9% 11.8–16.2% 11.2–17.0%
2–30 November 2020 Gallup 17.1% 16.5–17.8% 16.3–18.0% 16.1–18.2% 15.8–18.5%
6–11 November 2020 MMR 16.8% 15.3–18.4% 14.8–18.9% 14.5–19.3% 13.8–20.1%
30 September–1 November 2020 Gallup 15.8% 15.3–16.5% 15.1–16.6% 15.0–16.8% 14.7–17.1%
23–28 October 2020 MMR 15.2% 13.8–16.8% 13.4–17.3% 13.1–17.7% 12.4–18.5%
1–30 September 2020 Gallup 14.9% 14.3–15.6% 14.1–15.8% 14.0–15.9% 13.7–16.2%
24–28 September 2020 Maskína 17.9% 16.3–19.6% 15.9–20.1% 15.5–20.5% 14.7–21.4%
10–23 September 2020 MMR 12.8% 11.9–13.8% 11.7–14.1% 11.4–14.3% 11.0–14.8%
26 August–2 September 2020 MMR 14.9% 13.4–16.4% 13.0–16.9% 12.7–17.3% 12.1–18.1%
4–31 August 2020 Gallup 14.7% 14.1–15.4% 13.9–15.5% 13.7–15.7% 13.4–16.0%
23–28 July 2020 MMR 13.1% 11.8–14.6% 11.5–15.1% 11.1–15.4% 10.5–16.2%
2–30 June 2020 Gallup 14.9% 14.3–15.5% 14.1–15.7% 14.0–15.9% 13.7–16.2%
16–19 June 2020 MMR 16.4% 15.0–17.9% 14.6–18.4% 14.3–18.7% 13.6–19.5%
4 May–1 June 2020 Gallup 14.4% 13.8–15.0% 13.7–15.2% 13.6–15.3% 13.3–15.6%
19–25 May 2020 MMR 13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.6–15.2% 11.3–15.5% 10.7–16.3%
30 March–3 May 2020 Gallup 13.8% 13.3–14.4% 13.1–14.6% 13.0–14.7% 12.7–15.0%
15–17 April 2020 MMR 13.1% 11.9–14.6% 11.5–15.0% 11.2–15.3% 10.7–16.0%
3–7 April 2020 MMR 14.1% 12.7–15.6% 12.4–16.0% 12.1–16.4% 11.4–17.1%
2–29 March 2020 Gallup 15.1% 14.5–15.7% 14.3–15.9% 14.2–16.0% 13.9–16.4%
18–20 March 2020 MMR 14.9% 13.6–16.4% 13.2–16.8% 12.8–17.2% 12.2–17.9%
3 February–1 March 2020 Gallup 14.5% 13.9–15.2% 13.7–15.5% 13.5–15.6% 13.2–16.0%
6–10 February 2020 MMR 15.1% 13.7–16.6% 13.3–17.0% 13.0–17.4% 12.3–18.2%
3 January–2 February 2020 Gallup 17.8% 17.1–18.5% 16.9–18.7% 16.7–18.9% 16.4–19.3%
28 January 2020 MMR 16.6% 15.1–18.3% 14.7–18.7% 14.3–19.2% 13.6–20.0%
3–13 January 2020 MMR 16.8% 15.8–17.9% 15.5–18.2% 15.3–18.5% 14.8–19.0%
2 December 2019–1 January 2020 Gallup 14.0% 13.3–14.7% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.0% 12.7–15.3%
13–19 December 2019 MMR 14.4% 13.1–15.9% 12.7–16.3% 12.4–16.7% 11.8–17.4%
28 October–1 December 2019 Gallup 15.8% 15.2–16.4% 15.1–16.6% 15.0–16.8% 14.7–17.0%
15–22 November 2019 MMR 13.2% 11.9–14.6% 11.6–15.0% 11.3–15.4% 10.7–16.1%
30 September–27 October 2019 Gallup 17.4% 16.7–18.0% 16.5–18.2% 16.4–18.4% 16.1–18.7%
21–25 October 2019 MMR 15.3% 13.9–16.9% 13.5–17.3% 13.2–17.7% 12.6–18.5%
10–14 October 2019 Zenter 18.5% 17.2–20.0% 16.8–20.5% 16.5–20.8% 15.8–21.6%
30 September–9 October 2019 MMR 14.1% 13.2–15.1% 12.9–15.4% 12.7–15.6% 12.2–16.1%
1–30 September 2019 Gallup 16.1% 15.1–17.3% 14.8–17.6% 14.5–17.9% 14.1–18.4%
9–16 September 2019 MMR 14.8% 13.5–16.3% 13.1–16.8% 12.8–17.1% 12.2–17.8%
29 July–1 September 2019 Gallup 15.5% 14.8–16.2% 14.6–16.5% 14.4–16.6% 14.1–17.0%
12–19 August 2019 MMR 16.8% 15.3–18.4% 14.9–18.8% 14.6–19.2% 13.9–20.0%
1–31 July 2019 Gallup 13.7% 12.8–14.8% 12.5–15.1% 12.3–15.4% 11.8–15.9%
24–26 July 2019 Zenter 14.3% 12.9–15.9% 12.5–16.4% 12.2–16.8% 11.6–17.6%
4–17 July 2019 MMR 13.5% 12.6–14.5% 12.3–14.8% 12.1–15.0% 11.6–15.5%
31 May–30 June 2019 Gallup 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.7–15.8% 13.5–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
7–14 June 2019 MMR 14.4% 13.0–15.9% 12.7–16.3% 12.3–16.7% 11.7–17.5%
3–30 May 2019 Gallup 16.6% 15.8–17.5% 15.6–17.7% 15.4–17.9% 15.0–18.3%
23–29 May 2019 MMR 12.4% 11.2–13.9% 10.8–14.4% 10.5–14.7% 9.9–15.5%
14–16 May 2019 MMR 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.9% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–17.0%
30 April–3 May 2019 MMR 14.1% 12.8–15.7% 12.4–16.1% 12.1–16.5% 11.4–17.3%
5–30 April 2019 Gallup 16.2% 15.4–17.1% 15.1–17.3% 14.9–17.6% 14.5–18.0%
13 April 2019 MMR 14.3% 12.9–15.9% 12.5–16.3% 12.2–16.7% 11.5–17.5%
4–9 April 2019 MMR 13.9% 12.6–15.5% 12.2–15.9% 11.8–16.3% 11.2–17.1%
1–31 March 2019 Gallup 15.9% 15.2–16.7% 15.0–16.9% 14.8–17.1% 14.4–17.5%
11–14 March 2019 MMR 13.8% 12.5–15.2% 12.1–15.6% 11.8–16.0% 11.2–16.7%
31 January–28 February 2019 Gallup 16.8% 16.0–17.6% 15.8–17.8% 15.7–18.0% 15.3–18.4%
11–15 February 2019 MMR 16.0% 14.5–17.6% 14.1–18.0% 13.7–18.4% 13.1–19.2%
7–31 January 2019 Gallup 19.1% 18.1–20.2% 17.8–20.5% 17.6–20.8% 17.1–21.3%
28 January 2019 MMR 15.5% 14.0–17.1% 13.6–17.6% 13.3–18.0% 12.6–18.8%
4–14 January 2019 MMR 15.0% 14.0–16.0% 13.7–16.3% 13.5–16.6% 13.1–17.1%
3 December 2018–1 January 2019 Gallup 18.4% 17.5–19.4% 17.3–19.6% 17.0–19.9% 16.6–20.3%
5–11 December 2018 MMR 16.9% 15.5–18.5% 15.1–19.0% 14.7–19.4% 14.0–20.2%
3–4 December 2018 Zenter 20.8% 19.4–22.3% 19.0–22.7% 18.6–23.1% 18.0–23.9%
30 November–3 December 2018 Maskína 19.7% 18.3–21.1% 17.9–21.6% 17.6–21.9% 17.0–22.6%
3 November–2 December 2018 Gallup 18.7% 17.8–19.6% 17.6–19.9% 17.4–20.1% 17.0–20.6%
21 November 2018 MMR 16.3% 14.8–17.9% 14.4–18.4% 14.0–18.8% 13.3–19.6%
8–12 November 2018 MMR 16.6% 15.2–18.2% 14.8–18.6% 14.5–19.0% 13.8–19.7%
2–31 October 2018 Gallup 17.0% 16.2–17.8% 16.0–18.1% 15.8–18.3% 15.4–18.7%
22 October 2018 MMR 16.5% 15.0–18.2% 14.6–18.6% 14.2–19.0% 13.5–19.9%
3–9 October 2018 MMR 16.7% 15.2–18.4% 14.8–18.9% 14.4–19.3% 13.8–20.1%
3 September–1 October 2018 Gallup 19.3% 18.4–20.3% 18.1–20.5% 17.9–20.8% 17.5–21.2%
7–12 September 2018 MMR 19.8% 18.2–21.6% 17.8–22.1% 17.4–22.5% 16.7–23.3%
2 August–2 September 2018 Gallup 19.3% 18.5–20.1% 18.3–20.4% 18.1–20.6% 17.7–21.0%
10 August 2018 MMR 16.6% 15.1–18.3% 14.7–18.7% 14.3–19.2% 13.6–20.0%
29 June–30 July 2018 Gallup 16.7% 15.9–17.5% 15.7–17.8% 15.5–18.0% 15.2–18.4%
31 May–1 July 2018 Gallup 15.2% 14.4–16.0% 14.2–16.3% 14.0–16.5% 13.6–16.9%
12–18 June 2018 MMR 15.1% 13.7–16.7% 13.3–17.2% 13.0–17.6% 12.3–18.4%
2–31 May 2018 Gallup 17.9% 17.1–18.7% 16.9–18.9% 16.8–19.1% 16.4–19.5%
16–22 May 2018 MMR 14.6% 13.2–16.2% 12.8–16.7% 12.5–17.1% 11.9–17.8%
2 May 2018 MMR 14.7% 13.3–16.3% 12.9–16.8% 12.6–17.2% 11.9–18.0%
27 March–29 April 2018 Gallup 17.7% 16.9–18.5% 16.7–18.7% 16.5–18.9% 16.2–19.3%
13–19 April 2018 MMR 13.6% 12.3–15.2% 11.9–15.6% 11.6–16.0% 10.9–16.8%
1–26 March 2018 Gallup 16.5% 15.7–17.4% 15.4–17.6% 15.2–17.8% 14.8–18.3%
19 March 2018 MMR 16.0% 14.6–17.7% 14.2–18.2% 13.8–18.6% 13.1–19.4%
1–28 February 2018 Gallup 15.3% 14.5–16.1% 14.2–16.4% 14.1–16.6% 13.7–17.0%
4–31 January 2018 Gallup 16.1% 15.3–17.0% 15.0–17.3% 14.8–17.5% 14.5–17.9%
25–30 January 2018 MMR 14.9% 13.5–16.5% 13.1–16.9% 12.7–17.3% 12.1–18.1%
9–17 January 2018 MMR 13.9% 12.9–15.1% 12.6–15.4% 12.3–15.7% 11.8–16.3%
30 November–28 December 2017 Gallup 15.5% 14.8–16.3% 14.6–16.5% 14.4–16.7% 14.1–17.0%
12–15 December 2017 MMR 16.8% 15.3–18.5% 14.9–18.9% 14.5–19.3% 13.8–20.2%
4 December 2017 Fréttablaðið/Stöð 2/Vísir 13.4% 12.0–15.1% 11.6–15.6% 11.2–16.0% 10.6–16.8%
4 December 2017 Fréttablaðið, Stöð 2 and Vísir 13.4% 12.0–15.1% 11.6–15.6% 11.2–16.0% 10.6–16.8%
8–30 November 2017 Gallup 16.7% 15.7–17.7% 15.5–18.0% 15.2–18.3% 14.8–18.8%
14–17 November 2017 MMR 16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.1–18.1% 13.8–18.5% 13.1–19.3%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Samfylkingin.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0.5% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 3% 99.5%  
10.5–11.5% 9% 96%  
11.5–12.5% 19% 88% Last Result
12.5–13.5% 27% 68% Median
13.5–14.5% 26% 42%  
14.5–15.5% 10% 16%  
15.5–16.5% 4% 5%  
16.5–17.5% 0.9% 1.0%  
17.5–18.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 7 seats (General Election of 28 October 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 8 7–10 6–10 6–10 6–11
22–24 September 2021 Maskína
Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir		 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
24 September 2021 Gallup
RÚV		 7 7–9 7–9 7–9 6–10
22–23 September 2021 MMR
Morgunblaðið		 7 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
15–22 September 2021 Maskína
Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir		 7 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
21–22 September 2021 MMR
Morgunblaðið		 9 8–10 8–10 7–10 7–11
17–21 September 2021 Prósent
Fréttablaðið		 10 9–10 8–11 8–11 8–12
13–19 September 2021 Gallup
RÚV		 8 8 7–9 7–9 7–9
15–17 September 2021 MMR
Morgunblaðið		 8 7–9 7–10 7–10 7–10
13–16 September 2021 Prósent
Fréttablaðið		 10 9–11 8–11 8–11 8–11
8–13 September 2021 Maskína
Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir		 10 9–10 9–10 9–10 8–11
30 August–12 September 2021 Gallup 7 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–8
8–10 September 2021 MMR 7 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
31 August–6 September 2021 Maskína
Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir		 8 8–9 7–9 7–9 7–9
29 August 2021 Gallup 7 6–8 6–8 6–8 6–9
24 August 2021 MMR 7 6–8 5–8 5–8 5–9
13–23 August 2021 Maskína
Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir		 8 7–9 7–10 7–10 6–11
29 July–15 August 2021 Gallup 7 7–8 7–8 7–8 7–8
1–31 July 2021 Maskína
Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir		 9 8–10 8–11 8–11 7–11
30 June–28 July 2021 Gallup 8 7–9 7–9 7–9 7–9
15–23 July 2021 Prósent
Fréttablaðið		 8 7–9 7–9 7–9 6–10
24 June–6 July 2021 MMR 7 6–7 6–8 6–8 5–8
1–30 June 2021 Maskína 8 7–9 7–9 7–10 6–10
1–29 June 2021 Gallup 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–7
4–14 June 2021 MMR 7 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
25 May–1 June 2021 MMR 7 6–8 6–8 6–9 5–9
1–31 May 2021 Gallup 8 7–9 7–9 7–9 7–10
7–12 May 2021 MMR 7 6–8 6–8 6–9 5–9
1–30 April 2021 Gallup 8 7–9 6–9 6–9 6–10
21–28 April 2021 MMR 7 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
29 March–7 April 2021 MMR 11 9–12 9–12 9–12 8–13
1–29 March 2021 Gallup 8 7–9 7–9 7–9 7–10
5–10 March 2021 MMR 9 9–10 8–11 8–11 7–12
1–28 February 2021 Gallup 10 9–10 9–10 9–10 8–11
12–18 February 2021 MMR 9 8–10 8–10 7–11 7–11
6–31 January 2021 Gallup 12 11–12 10–12 10–12 10–12
30 December 2020–11 January 2021 MMR 11 10–12 10–12 9–12 9–12
1 December 2020–3 January 2021 Gallup 12 11–12 11–12 11–12 11–13
11–19 December 2020 Zenter 11 10–13 10–13 9–13 9–13
26 November–3 December 2020 MMR 10 8–10 8–11 7–11 7–12
2–30 November 2020 Gallup 12 12 11–12 11–13 11–13
6–11 November 2020 MMR 12 10–13 10–13 10–14 9–14
30 September–1 November 2020 Gallup 11 11–12 10–12 10–12 10–12
23–28 October 2020 MMR 10 9–12 9–12 9–12 8–13
1–30 September 2020 Gallup 10 10–11 10–11 10–11 9–11
24–28 September 2020 Maskína 13 11–13 10–13 10–13 9–14
10–23 September 2020 MMR 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–10
26 August–2 September 2020 MMR 10 9–12 9–12 8–12 8–12
4–31 August 2020 Gallup 10 10–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
23–28 July 2020 MMR 9 8–10 7–10 7–11 7–11
2–30 June 2020 Gallup 10 10–11 10–11 9–11 9–11
16–19 June 2020 MMR 11 10–13 10–13 10–13 9–14
4 May–1 June 2020 Gallup 10 9–10 9–10 9–10 9–10
19–25 May 2020 MMR 9 8–10 8–11 7–11 7–11
30 March–3 May 2020 Gallup 10 9–10 9–10 9–10 8–10
15–17 April 2020 MMR 9 8–10 7–10 7–10 7–11
3–7 April 2020 MMR 10 8–11 8–11 8–11 8–12
2–29 March 2020 Gallup 10 10–11 10–11 10–11 9–11
18–20 March 2020 MMR 10 9–11 9–12 8–12 8–12
3 February–1 March 2020 Gallup 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
6–10 February 2020 MMR 10 9–11 9–12 8–12 8–13
3 January–2 February 2020 Gallup 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 11–14
28 January 2020 MMR 11 10–13 10–13 10–14 9–14
3–13 January 2020 MMR 12 11–12 11–13 10–13 10–14
2 December 2019–1 January 2020 Gallup 9 9–10 9–10 8–10 8–10
13–19 December 2019 MMR 10 9–11 8–11 8–11 8–12
28 October–1 December 2019 Gallup 11 10–11 10–11 10–11 10–12
15–22 November 2019 MMR 9 8–10 7–10 7–10 7–11
30 September–27 October 2019 Gallup 12 11–12 11–12 10–12 10–13
21–25 October 2019 MMR 10 9–11 9–11 8–11 8–12
10–14 October 2019 Zenter 13 12–14 11–14 11–14 11–15
30 September–9 October 2019 MMR 10 9–10 9–10 8–10 8–11
1–30 September 2019 Gallup 11 10–12 10–12 10–12 9–12
9–16 September 2019 MMR 10 9–11 9–11 8–12 8–12
29 July–1 September 2019 Gallup 10 10–11 10–11 10–11 9–12
12–19 August 2019 MMR 12 10–13 10–13 10–13 9–14
1–31 July 2019 Gallup 9 9–10 8–10 8–10 8–11
24–26 July 2019 Zenter 10 9–11 8–11 8–11 8–12
4–17 July 2019 MMR 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–11
31 May–30 June 2019 Gallup 10 9–10 9–11 9–11 9–11
7–14 June 2019 MMR 10 9–11 8–11 8–12 7–12
3–30 May 2019 Gallup 11 11–12 11–12 11–12 10–12
23–29 May 2019 MMR 8 7–10 7–10 7–10 7–11
14–16 May 2019 MMR 9 8–10 8–10 8–11 7–11
30 April–3 May 2019 MMR 10 8–11 8–11 8–11 7–12
5–30 April 2019 Gallup 11 11–12 11–12 10–12 10–12
13 April 2019 MMR 10 8–11 8–11 8–12 7–12
4–9 April 2019 MMR 9 8–10 8–11 8–11 7–12
1–31 March 2019 Gallup 11 10–11 10–12 10–12 10–12
11–14 March 2019 MMR 9 8–11 8–11 8–11 7–12
31 January–28 February 2019 Gallup 11 11–12 11–12 10–12 10–13
11–15 February 2019 MMR 10 10–12 9–12 9–12 8–13
7–31 January 2019 Gallup 13 12–14 12–14 12–15 11–16
28 January 2019 MMR 10 9–11 9–12 9–12 8–13
4–14 January 2019 MMR 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–11
3 December 2018–1 January 2019 Gallup 12 12–13 11–14 11–14 11–15
5–11 December 2018 MMR 11 10–13 10–13 10–13 9–14
3–4 December 2018 Zenter 14 13–16 13–16 12–16 12–17
30 November–3 December 2018 Maskína 14 12–14 12–15 12–15 11–16
3 November–2 December 2018 Gallup 13 11–13 11–14 11–14 10–15
21 November 2018 MMR 11 10–12 9–12 9–12 8–13
8–12 November 2018 MMR 11 10–12 10–12 9–13 9–13
2–31 October 2018 Gallup 11 10–12 10–13 10–13 10–13
22 October 2018 MMR 10 10–12 9–12 9–13 9–13
3–9 October 2018 MMR 11 10–12 10–13 9–13 9–13
3 September–1 October 2018 Gallup 13 12–14 12–15 11–15 11–15
7–12 September 2018 MMR 13 12–15 12–15 11–15 11–16
2 August–2 September 2018 Gallup 13 12–15 12–15 12–15 11–15
10 August 2018 MMR 11 10–12 10–12 9–13 9–13
29 June–30 July 2018 Gallup 11 10–11 10–11 10–12 10–12
31 May–1 July 2018 Gallup 10 10–11 9–11 9–11 9–12
12–18 June 2018 MMR 10 9–11 8–11 8–12 8–12
2–31 May 2018 Gallup 12 12–13 11–13 11–13 11–13
16–22 May 2018 MMR 10 8–11 8–11 8–11 7–12
2 May 2018 MMR 10 8–11 8–11 8–11 7–12
27 March–29 April 2018 Gallup 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 11–13
13–19 April 2018 MMR 9 8–10 7–10 7–10 7–11
1–26 March 2018 Gallup 11 10–12 10–12 10–12 10–12
19 March 2018 MMR 11 10–12 9–12 9–12 9–13
1–28 February 2018 Gallup 10 10–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
4–31 January 2018 Gallup 10 10–11 10–11 10–11 9–12
25–30 January 2018 MMR 10 9–11 9–11 8–12 8–12
9–17 January 2018 MMR 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 7–11
30 November–28 December 2017 Gallup 10 10–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
12–15 December 2017 MMR 11 10–12 10–13 10–13 9–14
4 December 2017 Fréttablaðið/Stöð 2/Vísir 9 8–10 8–11 7–11 7–12
4 December 2017 Fréttablaðið, Stöð 2 and Vísir 9 8–10 8–11 7–11 7–12
8–30 November 2017 Gallup 11 10–11 10–12 10–12 9–12
14–17 November 2017 MMR 10 9–11 9–12 9–12 8–13

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Samfylkingin.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 5% 99.9%  
7 25% 94% Last Result
8 20% 69% Median
9 30% 49%  
10 17% 19%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%