Flokkur fólksins
Voting Intentions
Last result: 6.9% (General Election of 28 October 2017)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 6.2% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.3% | 4.0–8.0% |
22–24 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
6.2% | 5.8–6.6% | 5.7–6.8% | 5.6–6.8% | 5.4–7.1% |
24 September 2021 | Gallup RÚV |
6.4% | 6.0–6.9% | 5.9–7.0% | 5.7–7.1% | 5.5–7.4% |
22–23 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
6.2% | 5.2–7.3% | 5.0–7.6% | 4.8–7.9% | 4.4–8.5% |
15–22 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
5.6% | 4.7–6.7% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.2–7.3% | 3.9–7.9% |
21–22 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
7.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.0–8.8% | 5.7–9.1% | 5.3–9.8% |
17–21 September 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
5.2% | 4.5–6.1% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.6% | 3.8–7.0% |
13–19 September 2021 | Gallup RÚV |
7.0% | 6.5–7.6% | 6.4–7.7% | 6.2–7.8% | 6.0–8.1% |
15–17 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
5.6% | 4.8–6.5% | 4.6–6.8% | 4.4–7.0% | 4.1–7.4% |
13–16 September 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
4.7% | 4.1–5.5% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.4–6.3% |
8–13 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
3.6% | 3.2–4.1% | 3.1–4.2% | 3.0–4.3% | 2.8–4.5% |
30 August–12 September 2021 | Gallup | 4.9% | 4.4–5.5% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.2–5.7% | 4.0–6.0% |
8–10 September 2021 | MMR | 4.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.3% | 3.7–6.6% | 3.4–7.1% |
31 August–6 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
4.5% | 4.0–5.2% | 3.8–5.3% | 3.7–5.5% | 3.5–5.8% |
29 August 2021 | Gallup | 4.9% | 4.4–5.5% | 4.2–5.7% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.8–6.2% |
24 August 2021 | MMR | 5.1% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% | 3.8–6.7% | 3.4–7.2% |
13–23 August 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
4.3% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.3–5.6% | 3.1–5.9% | 2.7–6.4% |
29 July–15 August 2021 | Gallup | 4.1% | 3.8–4.5% | 3.7–4.5% | 3.6–4.6% | 3.5–4.8% |
1–31 July 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.2–5.5% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.7–6.3% |
30 June–28 July 2021 | Gallup | 4.0% | 3.6–4.4% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% |
15–23 July 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
5.0% | 4.5–5.6% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% |
24 June–6 July 2021 | MMR | 5.5% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.6–6.6% | 4.3–6.9% |
1–30 June 2021 | Maskína | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.2–5.5% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.7–6.3% |
1–29 June 2021 | Gallup | 4.2% | 3.8–4.6% | 3.7–4.7% | 3.6–4.8% | 3.5–5.1% |
4–14 June 2021 | MMR | 5.5% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 3.9–7.7% |
25 May–1 June 2021 | MMR | 2.8% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.7–4.5% |
1–31 May 2021 | Gallup | 4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.2–5.7% |
7–12 May 2021 | MMR | 3.3% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.4–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.0–5.0% |
1–30 April 2021 | Gallup | 4.7% | 4.1–5.4% | 4.0–5.6% | 3.9–5.8% | 3.6–6.1% |
21–28 April 2021 | MMR | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.7–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.2–6.8% |
29 March–7 April 2021 | MMR | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.5–6.2% | 3.2–6.8% |
1–29 March 2021 | Gallup | 5.0% | 4.6–5.4% | 4.5–5.5% | 4.4–5.6% | 4.3–5.8% |
5–10 March 2021 | MMR | 5.2% | 4.3–6.2% | 4.1–6.5% | 3.9–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
1–28 February 2021 | Gallup | 4.0% | 3.7–4.4% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% |
12–18 February 2021 | MMR | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.5% |
6–31 January 2021 | Gallup | 3.9% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.5–4.4% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.2–4.7% |
30 December 2020–11 January 2021 | MMR | 4.9% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.2–5.8% | 4.0–5.9% | 3.8–6.3% |
1 December 2020–3 January 2021 | Gallup | 4.3% | 4.0–4.7% | 3.9–4.8% | 3.8–4.9% | 3.7–5.0% |
11–19 December 2020 | Zenter | 4.7% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.8–5.8% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.4–6.4% |
26 November–3 December 2020 | MMR | 6.2% | 5.3–7.4% | 5.1–7.7% | 4.9–8.0% | 4.5–8.6% |
2–30 November 2020 | Gallup | 4.1% | 3.8–4.5% | 3.7–4.6% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.4–4.9% |
6–11 November 2020 | MMR | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.5–5.8% |
30 September–1 November 2020 | Gallup | 4.5% | 4.2–4.9% | 4.1–5.0% | 4.0–5.1% | 3.9–5.3% |
23–28 October 2020 | MMR | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.7–5.2% | 2.4–5.7% |
1–30 September 2020 | Gallup | 3.7% | 3.4–4.1% | 3.3–4.2% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.1–4.5% |
24–28 September 2020 | Maskína | 5.5% | 4.6–6.6% | 4.3–6.9% | 4.1–7.2% | 3.8–7.7% |
10–23 September 2020 | MMR | 3.6% | 3.1–4.2% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.8% |
26 August–2 September 2020 | MMR | 4.8% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.8–6.2% | 3.6–6.4% | 3.3–7.0% |
4–31 August 2020 | Gallup | 3.6% | 3.3–4.0% | 3.2–4.1% | 3.1–4.2% | 3.0–4.3% |
23–28 July 2020 | MMR | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
2–30 June 2020 | Gallup | 3.6% | 3.3–3.9% | 3.2–4.0% | 3.1–4.1% | 3.0–4.3% |
16–19 June 2020 | MMR | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.8–7.4% |
4 May–1 June 2020 | Gallup | 4.4% | 4.1–4.8% | 4.0–4.9% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.2% |
19–25 May 2020 | MMR | 3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
30 March–3 May 2020 | Gallup | 4.4% | 4.1–4.8% | 4.0–4.9% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.8–5.1% |
15–17 April 2020 | MMR | 4.7% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
3–7 April 2020 | MMR | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
2–29 March 2020 | Gallup | 4.2% | 3.9–4.6% | 3.8–4.7% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.6–4.9% |
18–20 March 2020 | MMR | 3.8% | 3.1–4.6% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.5–5.6% |
3 February–1 March 2020 | Gallup | 3.9% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.5–4.5% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.2–4.7% |
6–10 February 2020 | MMR | 4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
3 January–2 February 2020 | Gallup | 4.2% | 3.9–4.6% | 3.8–4.8% | 3.7–4.9% | 3.5–5.1% |
28 January 2020 | MMR | 3.8% | 3.1–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.5–5.8% |
3–13 January 2020 | MMR | 3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.9–4.2% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.6–4.7% |
2 December 2019–1 January 2020 | Gallup | 4.3% | 3.9–4.7% | 3.8–4.8% | 3.8–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% |
13–19 December 2019 | MMR | 4.0% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
28 October–1 December 2019 | Gallup | 3.9% | 3.6–4.2% | 3.5–4.3% | 3.4–4.4% | 3.3–4.6% |
15–22 November 2019 | MMR | 6.3% | 5.5–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–7.9% | 4.6–8.5% |
30 September–27 October 2019 | Gallup | 4.6% | 4.3–5.0% | 4.2–5.1% | 4.1–5.2% | 3.9–5.4% |
21–25 October 2019 | MMR | 8.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
10–14 October 2019 | Zenter | 4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.7% |
30 September–9 October 2019 | MMR | 5.6% | 5.0–6.3% | 4.8–6.5% | 4.7–6.7% | 4.4–7.0% |
1–30 September 2019 | Gallup | 4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.2–5.7% |
9–16 September 2019 | MMR | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
29 July–1 September 2019 | Gallup | 3.8% | 3.4–4.2% | 3.3–4.3% | 3.2–4.4% | 3.1–4.6% |
12–19 August 2019 | MMR | 4.1% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
1–31 July 2019 | Gallup | 3.7% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.1–4.5% | 2.9–4.7% | 2.7–5.0% |
24–26 July 2019 | Zenter | 3.2% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.4–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.0–5.1% |
4–17 July 2019 | MMR | 4.8% | 4.2–5.4% | 4.1–5.6% | 3.9–5.8% | 3.7–6.1% |
31 May–30 June 2019 | Gallup | 4.2% | 3.8–4.7% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.6–5.0% | 3.4–5.2% |
7–14 June 2019 | MMR | 4.3% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.8–6.2% |
3–30 May 2019 | Gallup | 3.2% | 2.8–3.6% | 2.7–3.8% | 2.7–3.9% | 2.5–4.1% |
23–29 May 2019 | MMR | 4.2% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.2–5.4% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.8–6.2% |
14–16 May 2019 | MMR | 6.4% | 5.5–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.7% |
30 April–3 May 2019 | MMR | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.7% | 3.5–7.2% |
5–30 April 2019 | Gallup | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
13 April 2019 | MMR | 5.1% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% | 3.8–6.7% | 3.4–7.2% |
4–9 April 2019 | MMR | 5.4% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.3–6.8% | 4.1–7.1% | 3.7–7.6% |
1–31 March 2019 | Gallup | 3.7% | 3.3–4.1% | 3.2–4.2% | 3.1–4.3% | 3.0–4.6% |
11–14 March 2019 | MMR | 4.7% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.6% |
31 January–28 February 2019 | Gallup | 3.4% | 3.0–3.8% | 2.9–3.9% | 2.8–4.0% | 2.7–4.2% |
11–15 February 2019 | MMR | 7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.7–8.5% | 5.5–8.8% | 5.1–9.4% |
7–31 January 2019 | Gallup | 3.7% | 3.2–4.2% | 3.1–4.4% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% |
28 January 2019 | MMR | 5.4% | 4.5–6.5% | 4.3–6.8% | 4.1–7.1% | 3.7–7.6% |
4–14 January 2019 | MMR | 6.7% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.9–7.7% | 5.7–7.9% | 5.4–8.2% |
3 December 2018–1 January 2019 | Gallup | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.5% |
5–11 December 2018 | MMR | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.8–6.1% |
3–4 December 2018 | Zenter | 5.7% | 4.9–6.6% | 4.7–6.9% | 4.5–7.1% | 4.2–7.6% |
30 November–3 December 2018 | Maskína | 4.4% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.6–5.5% | 3.4–5.7% | 3.2–6.1% |
3 November–2 December 2018 | Gallup | 6.2% | 5.7–6.8% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.4–7.1% | 5.2–7.4% |
21 November 2018 | MMR | 7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.2% | 6.0–9.5% | 5.6–10.1% |
8–12 November 2018 | MMR | 7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.5–9.7% |
2–31 October 2018 | Gallup | 6.2% | 5.7–6.8% | 5.5–6.9% | 5.4–7.1% | 5.2–7.3% |
22 October 2018 | MMR | 5.9% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.8–7.4% | 4.6–7.7% | 4.2–8.2% |
3–9 October 2018 | MMR | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 4.9–7.5% | 4.7–7.8% | 4.3–8.4% |
3 September–1 October 2018 | Gallup | 5.9% | 5.4–6.5% | 5.2–6.7% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.9–7.1% |
7–12 September 2018 | MMR | 5.4% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.7–7.5% |
2 August–2 September 2018 | Gallup | 5.7% | 5.2–6.2% | 5.1–6.4% | 5.0–6.5% | 4.8–6.8% |
10 August 2018 | MMR | 7.8% | 6.8–9.1% | 6.5–9.4% | 6.2–9.7% | 5.8–10.4% |
29 June–30 July 2018 | Gallup | 6.0% | 5.5–6.5% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.0–7.1% |
31 May–1 July 2018 | Gallup | 5.1% | 4.6–5.6% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.4–5.9% | 4.2–6.2% |
12–18 June 2018 | MMR | 8.2% | 7.2–9.5% | 6.9–9.8% | 6.6–10.2% | 6.1–10.8% |
2–31 May 2018 | Gallup | 4.1% | 3.7–4.5% | 3.6–4.6% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.4–5.0% |
16–22 May 2018 | MMR | 5.6% | 4.7–6.7% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.3% | 3.9–7.8% |
2 May 2018 | MMR | 5.8% | 4.9–7.0% | 4.7–7.3% | 4.5–7.5% | 4.1–8.1% |
27 March–29 April 2018 | Gallup | 4.2% | 3.8–4.6% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.6–4.9% | 3.4–5.1% |
13–19 April 2018 | MMR | 6.9% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.7–8.5% | 5.4–8.8% | 5.0–9.4% |
1–26 March 2018 | Gallup | 4.9% | 4.4–5.4% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.2–5.7% | 4.0–6.0% |
19 March 2018 | MMR | 3.6% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.6–5.1% | 2.3–5.5% |
1–28 February 2018 | Gallup | 5.9% | 5.4–6.5% | 5.2–6.6% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.9–7.1% |
4–31 January 2018 | Gallup | 5.5% | 5.0–6.1% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.5–6.7% |
25–30 January 2018 | MMR | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.5% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.8–6.2% |
9–17 January 2018 | MMR | 6.1% | 5.4–6.9% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.7–7.8% |
30 November–28 December 2017 | Gallup | 5.4% | 5.0–5.9% | 4.8–6.1% | 4.7–6.2% | 4.5–6.4% |
12–15 December 2017 | MMR | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.9% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.3–5.6% |
4 December 2017 | Fréttablaðið/Stöð 2/Vísir | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.6% | 2.5–6.1% |
4 December 2017 | Fréttablaðið, Stöð 2 and Vísir | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.6% | 2.5–6.1% |
8–30 November 2017 | Gallup | 6.4% | 5.8–7.1% | 5.6–7.3% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.2–7.8% |
14–17 November 2017 | MMR | 8.4% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.0–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.3–10.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Flokkur fólksins.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 3% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 19% | 97% | |
5.5–6.5% | 56% | 78% | Median |
6.5–7.5% | 20% | 21% | Last Result |
7.5–8.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 4 seats (General Election of 28 October 2017)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
22–24 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
24 September 2021 | Gallup RÚV |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
22–23 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
4 | 3–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
15–22 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
21–22 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
17–21 September 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
13–19 September 2021 | Gallup RÚV |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
15–17 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
13–16 September 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
8–13 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
30 August–12 September 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
8–10 September 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
31 August–6 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
29 August 2021 | Gallup | 3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
24 August 2021 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
13–23 August 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
29 July–15 August 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–31 July 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
30 June–28 July 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15–23 July 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
24 June–6 July 2021 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
1–30 June 2021 | Maskína | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
1–29 June 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
4–14 June 2021 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
25 May–1 June 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–31 May 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
7–12 May 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–30 April 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
21–28 April 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
29 March–7 April 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
1–29 March 2021 | Gallup | 3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
5–10 March 2021 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
1–28 February 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12–18 February 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
6–31 January 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
30 December 2020–11 January 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
1 December 2020–3 January 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11–19 December 2020 | Zenter | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
26 November–3 December 2020 | MMR | 4 | 3–5 | 1–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
2–30 November 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6–11 November 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
30 September–1 November 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
23–28 October 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
1–30 September 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24–28 September 2020 | Maskína | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
10–23 September 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
26 August–2 September 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
4–31 August 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
23–28 July 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
2–30 June 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16–19 June 2020 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
4 May–1 June 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
19–25 May 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–3 |
30 March–3 May 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
15–17 April 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
3–7 April 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
2–29 March 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18–20 March 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
3 February–1 March 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6–10 February 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
3 January–2 February 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
28 January 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
3–13 January 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 December 2019–1 January 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
13–19 December 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
28 October–1 December 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15–22 November 2019 | MMR | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
30 September–27 October 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
21–25 October 2019 | MMR | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
10–14 October 2019 | Zenter | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
30 September–9 October 2019 | MMR | 3 | 3–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
1–30 September 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
9–16 September 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
29 July–1 September 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12–19 August 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
1–31 July 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24–26 July 2019 | Zenter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4–17 July 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
31 May–30 June 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
7–14 June 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
3–30 May 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
23–29 May 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
14–16 May 2019 | MMR | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 0–5 |
30 April–3 May 2019 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
5–30 April 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
13 April 2019 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
4–9 April 2019 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
1–31 March 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11–14 March 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
31 January–28 February 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11–15 February 2019 | MMR | 4 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
7–31 January 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
28 January 2019 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
4–14 January 2019 | MMR | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
3 December 2018–1 January 2019 | Gallup | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
5–11 December 2018 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
3–4 December 2018 | Zenter | 4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
30 November–3 December 2018 | Maskína | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
3 November–2 December 2018 | Gallup | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
21 November 2018 | MMR | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
8–12 November 2018 | MMR | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
2–31 October 2018 | Gallup | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
22 October 2018 | MMR | 4 | 3–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
3–9 October 2018 | MMR | 4 | 3–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
3 September–1 October 2018 | Gallup | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 0–4 |
7–12 September 2018 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
2 August–2 September 2018 | Gallup | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 0–4 |
10 August 2018 | MMR | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
29 June–30 July 2018 | Gallup | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
31 May–1 July 2018 | Gallup | 3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
12–18 June 2018 | MMR | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
2–31 May 2018 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16–22 May 2018 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
2 May 2018 | MMR | 4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
27 March–29 April 2018 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
13–19 April 2018 | MMR | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 1–6 |
1–26 March 2018 | Gallup | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
19 March 2018 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
1–28 February 2018 | Gallup | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 0–4 |
4–31 January 2018 | Gallup | 3 | 3–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
25–30 January 2018 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
9–17 January 2018 | MMR | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
30 November–28 December 2017 | Gallup | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
12–15 December 2017 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
4 December 2017 | Fréttablaðið/Stöð 2/Vísir | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
4 December 2017 | Fréttablaðið, Stöð 2 and Vísir | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
8–30 November 2017 | Gallup | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
14–17 November 2017 | MMR | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Flokkur fólksins.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 11% | 100% | |
1 | 0% | 89% | |
2 | 0.1% | 89% | |
3 | 46% | 89% | Median |
4 | 42% | 44% | Last Result |
5 | 2% | 2% | |
6 | 0% | 0% |