Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 17.6% | 15.8–20.0% | 15.4–20.6% | 15.1–21.1% | 14.5–22.0% |
| 1–30 April 2025 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
16.5% | 15.4–17.6% | 15.1–18.0% | 14.8–18.3% | 14.3–18.8% |
| 14–24 March 2025 | Latvijas Fakti | 18.9% | 17.4–20.6% | 17.0–21.1% | 16.6–21.5% | 15.9–22.3% |
| 1–31 January 2025 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14.2% | 13.2–15.3% | 12.9–15.6% | 12.6–15.9% | 12.2–16.4% |
| 30 November–9 December 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14.6% | 13.6–15.7% | 13.3–16.1% | 13.0–16.4% | 12.5–16.9% |
| 1–30 November 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14.2% | 13.2–15.3% | 12.9–15.6% | 12.7–15.9% | 12.2–16.4% |
| 1–31 October 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11.5% | 10.6–12.5% | 10.3–12.8% | 10.1–13.1% | 9.7–13.6% |
| 1–31 August 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11.8% | 10.9–12.8% | 10.6–13.1% | 10.4–13.4% | 10.0–13.9% |
| 1–30 June 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10.7% | 9.8–11.7% | 9.5–11.9% | 9.3–12.2% | 8.9–12.7% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 21% | 93% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 23% | 73% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 18% | 50% | Median |
| 18.5–19.5% | 16% | 32% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 11% | 16% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–30 April 2025 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–24 March 2025 | Latvijas Fakti | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 1–31 January 2025 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 30 November–9 December 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–30 November 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–31 October 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 1–31 August 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 1–30 June 2024 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Latvija pirmajā vietā (PfE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |