Kansallinen Kokoomus (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 18.4% | 17.4–19.5% | 17.2–19.9% | 16.9–20.2% | 16.5–20.8% |
| 15 September–12 October 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
18.2% | 17.4–19.1% | 17.2–19.3% | 17.0–19.5% | 16.6–19.9% |
| 3–30 September 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
18.6% | 17.5–19.8% | 17.1–20.2% | 16.9–20.5% | 16.3–21.1% |
| 18 August–14 September 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
18.4% | 17.6–19.2% | 17.4–19.5% | 17.2–19.7% | 16.8–20.1% |
| 11 August–2 September 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
19.2% | 18.0–20.5% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.4–21.2% | 16.8–21.8% |
| 15 July–17 August 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
18.8% | 17.8–19.9% | 17.5–20.2% | 17.3–20.4% | 16.8–20.9% |
| 7 July–5 August 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
19.1% | 18.0–20.2% | 17.7–20.6% | 17.4–20.9% | 16.9–21.4% |
| 16 June–14 July 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
19.8% | 18.8–20.9% | 18.5–21.2% | 18.3–21.4% | 17.8–21.9% |
| 9–30 June 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
20.8% | 19.6–22.1% | 19.3–22.4% | 19.0–22.7% | 18.4–23.4% |
| 19 May–16 June 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
19.8% | 18.9–20.7% | 18.7–21.0% | 18.5–21.2% | 18.1–21.6% |
| 12 May–2 June 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
21.5% | 20.3–22.8% | 20.0–23.1% | 19.7–23.4% | 19.1–24.0% |
| 16 April–18 May 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
19.9% | 19.0–20.9% | 18.8–21.1% | 18.5–21.4% | 18.1–21.8% |
| 14 April–6 May 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
20.2% | 19.0–21.4% | 18.7–21.8% | 18.4–22.1% | 17.9–22.7% |
| 10 March–7 April 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
19.6% | 18.4–20.8% | 18.1–21.2% | 17.8–21.5% | 17.3–22.1% |
| 18 February–16 March 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
19.3% | 18.3–20.4% | 18.0–20.7% | 17.8–20.9% | 17.3–21.4% |
| 10 February–4 March 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.7–22.5% |
| 21 January–16 February 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
19.1% | 18.2–20.1% | 17.9–20.3% | 17.7–20.6% | 17.3–21.0% |
| 13 January–3 February 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
19.9% | 18.8–21.1% | 18.5–21.5% | 18.2–21.7% | 17.7–22.3% |
| 16 December 2024–17 January 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
19.3% | 18.1–20.5% | 17.8–20.9% | 17.5–21.2% | 17.0–21.7% |
| 9 December 2024–7 January 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
20.0% | 18.8–21.3% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.2–21.9% | 17.7–22.5% |
| 18 November–13 December 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
19.5% | 18.3–20.7% | 18.0–21.1% | 17.7–21.4% | 17.2–22.0% |
| 6 November–3 December 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
18.8% | 17.6–20.0% | 17.3–20.3% | 17.1–20.7% | 16.5–21.2% |
| 14 October–15 November 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
19.8% | 18.7–21.0% | 18.3–21.3% | 18.1–21.6% | 17.5–22.2% |
| 7 October–5 November 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
18.8% | 17.6–20.1% | 17.3–20.5% | 17.0–20.8% | 16.5–21.4% |
| 16 September–11 October 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
19.4% | 18.2–20.7% | 17.9–21.0% | 17.6–21.3% | 17.1–22.0% |
| 4 September–1 October 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.7–22.5% |
| 19 August–13 September 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
20.6% | 19.6–21.7% | 19.3–22.0% | 19.0–22.3% | 18.6–22.8% |
| 12 August–3 September 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
21.9% | 20.6–23.2% | 20.3–23.6% | 20.0–23.9% | 19.4–24.6% |
| 15 July–16 August 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
20.2% | 19.2–21.2% | 18.9–21.5% | 18.7–21.8% | 18.2–22.3% |
| 8 July–6 August 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
21.6% | 20.4–22.9% | 20.1–23.2% | 19.8–23.6% | 19.2–24.2% |
| 17 June–12 July 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
20.8% | 19.8–21.9% | 19.5–22.2% | 19.2–22.5% | 18.7–23.0% |
| 7 June–2 July 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
21.2% | 20.0–22.5% | 19.7–22.8% | 19.4–23.1% | 18.9–23.7% |
| 20 May–14 June 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
20.0% | 19.0–21.1% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.4–21.6% | 18.0–22.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Kansallinen Kokoomus (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 12% | 99.3% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 45% | 87% | Median |
| 18.5–19.5% | 33% | 42% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 8% | 9% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 15 September–12 October 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 3–30 September 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 18 August–14 September 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 |
| 11 August–2 September 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 15 July–17 August 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 7 July–5 August 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 16 June–14 July 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 9–30 June 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 19 May–16 June 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 12 May–2 June 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 16 April–18 May 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 14 April–6 May 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 10 March–7 April 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 18 February–16 March 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 10 February–4 March 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 21 January–16 February 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 13 January–3 February 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 16 December 2024–17 January 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 9 December 2024–7 January 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 18 November–13 December 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 6 November–3 December 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 14 October–15 November 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 7 October–5 November 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 16 September–11 October 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 4 September–1 October 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 19 August–13 September 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 12 August–3 September 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 15 July–16 August 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 8 July–6 August 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 17 June–12 July 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 7 June–2 July 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 20 May–14 June 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Kansallinen Kokoomus (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 92% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 8% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |