Kansallinen Kokoomus (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 19.3% | 18.0–20.7% | 17.6–21.0% | 17.3–21.4% | 16.7–22.0% |
| 14 October–15 November 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
19.8% | 18.7–21.0% | 18.3–21.3% | 18.1–21.6% | 17.5–22.2% |
| 7 October–5 November 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
18.8% | 17.6–20.1% | 17.3–20.5% | 17.0–20.8% | 16.5–21.4% |
| 16 September–11 October 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
19.4% | 18.2–20.7% | 17.9–21.0% | 17.6–21.3% | 17.1–22.0% |
| 4 September–1 October 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.7–22.5% |
| 19 August–13 September 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
20.6% | 19.6–21.7% | 19.3–22.0% | 19.0–22.3% | 18.6–22.8% |
| 12 August–3 September 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
21.9% | 20.6–23.2% | 20.3–23.6% | 20.0–23.9% | 19.4–24.6% |
| 15 July–16 August 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
20.2% | 19.2–21.2% | 18.9–21.5% | 18.7–21.8% | 18.2–22.3% |
| 8 July–6 August 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
21.6% | 20.4–22.9% | 20.1–23.2% | 19.8–23.6% | 19.2–24.2% |
| 17 June–12 July 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
20.8% | 19.8–21.9% | 19.5–22.2% | 19.2–22.5% | 18.7–23.0% |
| 7 June–2 July 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
21.2% | 20.0–22.5% | 19.7–22.8% | 19.4–23.1% | 18.9–23.7% |
| 20 May–14 June 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
20.0% | 19.0–21.1% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.4–21.6% | 18.0–22.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Kansallinen Kokoomus (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 18% | 96% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 35% | 77% | Median |
| 19.5–20.5% | 30% | 42% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 11% | 12% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 14 October–15 November 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 7 October–5 November 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 16 September–11 October 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 4 September–1 October 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 19 August–13 September 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 12 August–3 September 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 15 July–16 August 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 8 July–6 August 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 17 June–12 July 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 7 June–2 July 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 20 May–14 June 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Kansallinen Kokoomus (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 51% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 49% | 49% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |