Les Républicains (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9.5% | 7.2–16.4% | 6.9–16.9% | 6.6–17.4% | 6.1–18.3% |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
16.0% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.3–17.9% | 13.9–18.3% | 13.3–19.0% |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
15.0% | 13.7–16.5% | 13.3–16.9% | 13.0–17.3% | 12.4–18.0% |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
8.0% | 7.3–8.8% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.6–9.6% |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
9.5% | 8.4–10.7% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.8–11.4% | 7.3–12.1% |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
7.4% | 6.5–8.3% | 6.3–8.6% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.7–9.3% |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
5.4% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.5–6.7% | 4.3–7.0% | 4.0–7.5% |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
7.2% | 6.3–8.3% | 6.1–8.7% | 5.8–8.9% | 5.4–9.5% |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
6.6% | 5.7–7.6% | 5.5–7.9% | 5.2–8.2% | 4.9–8.7% |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 5.1% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.7% | 3.6–7.2% |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.1–8.0% | 4.7–8.6% |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.6% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Les Républicains (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 14% | 98% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 22% | 84% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 12% | 62% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 7% | 50% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 2% | 43% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.5% | 40% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 2% | 40% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 6% | 38% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 12% | 32% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 12% | 20% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 6% | 8% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9 | 7–16 | 6–16 | 6–17 | 6–17 |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
14 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
7 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 0–8 |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 0–8 |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Les Républicains (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 8% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 23% | 92% | |
| 8 | 13% | 69% | |
| 9 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 10 | 5% | 46% | |
| 11 | 1.5% | 41% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 40% | |
| 13 | 8% | 39% | |
| 14 | 13% | 30% | |
| 15 | 7% | 17% | |
| 16 | 8% | 11% | |
| 17 | 2% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |