Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 20.6% | 17.9–22.7% | 17.2–23.2% | 16.7–23.6% | 15.8–24.3% |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
21.0% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.1–23.1% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.0–24.3% |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
18.0% | 16.6–19.6% | 16.1–20.0% | 15.8–20.4% | 15.1–21.2% |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
22.4% | 21.3–23.6% | 21.0–23.9% | 20.7–24.2% | 20.2–24.8% |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
20.5% | 19.2–21.9% | 18.8–22.3% | 18.5–22.7% | 17.9–23.4% |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
24.0% | 22.4–25.7% | 22.0–26.1% | 21.6–26.5% | 20.9–27.3% |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
21.5% | 20.0–23.2% | 19.6–23.7% | 19.2–24.1% | 18.5–24.9% |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
23.7% | 22.1–25.4% | 21.7–25.9% | 21.3–26.3% | 20.5–27.2% |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 29.6% | 27.8–31.5% | 27.3–32.0% | 26.9–32.5% | 26.0–33.4% |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
21.3% | 19.7–22.9% | 19.3–23.4% | 18.9–23.8% | 18.2–24.6% |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
21.7% | 20.5–23.2% | 20.2–23.6% | 19.9–23.9% | 19.3–24.6% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 5% | 98% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 9% | 93% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 14% | 83% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 19% | 69% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 21% | 50% | Median |
| 21.5–22.5% | 17% | 30% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 10% | 12% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 20 | 17–22 | 15–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
21 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
17 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–19 |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
21 | 20–22 | 20–22 | 19–23 | 19–23 |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
20 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
20 | 18–22 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
23 | 22–26 | 22–27 | 21–27 | 20–28 |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
21 | 18–22 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
27 | 23–27 | 22–27 | 21–27 | 20–29 |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 26 | 25–29 | 24–29 | 24–29 | 23–31 |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
21 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
22 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 19–25 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 4% | 98% | |
| 16 | 4% | 95% | |
| 17 | 8% | 91% | |
| 18 | 11% | 83% | |
| 19 | 10% | 73% | |
| 20 | 24% | 63% | Median |
| 21 | 19% | 39% | |
| 22 | 15% | 20% | |
| 23 | 4% | 4% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |