Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 18.2% | 16.3–23.0% | 15.8–24.0% | 15.5–24.8% | 14.8–26.0% |
| 15–16 September 2026 | Cluster17 Politico |
17.5% | 16.3–18.8% | 16.0–19.1% | 15.7–19.5% | 15.2–20.1% |
| 9–10 September 2026 | OpinionWay CNews |
23.3% | 21.5–25.1% | 21.0–25.7% | 20.6–26.1% | 19.8–27.1% |
| 8–10 September 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
18.2% | 16.8–19.7% | 16.4–20.1% | 16.1–20.5% | 15.5–21.2% |
| 8–9 September 2026 | OpinionWay Les Echos and Radio Classique |
18.7% | 17.1–20.4% | 16.6–20.9% | 16.3–21.3% | 15.5–22.2% |
| 3–9 September 2026 | Ipsos CEVIPOF, Fondation Jean Jaurès, Institut Montaigne and Le Monde |
19.6% | 18.8–20.5% | 18.6–20.7% | 18.4–20.9% | 18.0–21.3% |
| 2–3 September 2026 | OpinionWay Le Journal du Dimanche |
18.3% | 16.7–20.0% | 16.3–20.5% | 15.9–20.9% | 15.2–21.8% |
| 31 August–2 September 2026 | Ipsos Le Parisien |
19.6% | 18.4–21.0% | 18.0–21.4% | 17.7–21.7% | 17.1–22.4% |
| 31 August–1 September 2026 | Cluster17 Le Point |
16.3% | 15.2–17.6% | 14.8–18.0% | 14.5–18.3% | 14.0–18.9% |
| 26–28 August 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
17.1% | 15.8–18.4% | 15.5–18.8% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.6–19.8% |
| 24–25 August 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
17.0% | 15.6–18.5% | 15.2–18.9% | 14.8–19.3% | 14.2–20.1% |
| 18–19 August 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
18.2% | 16.9–19.7% | 16.5–20.1% | 16.2–20.5% | 15.5–21.2% |
| 22–24 July 2026 | Cluster17 Le Grand Continent |
15.9% | 14.7–17.2% | 14.4–17.6% | 14.1–17.9% | 13.5–18.6% |
| 8–10 July 2026 | Verian L’Hémicycle |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| 9–10 July 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
17.3% | 16.0–18.6% | 15.7–19.0% | 15.4–19.3% | 14.8–20.0% |
| 8–9 July 2026 | OpinionWay Les Echos |
21.0% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.9–23.3% | 18.5–23.7% | 17.7–24.6% |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI and Le Figaro |
17.0% | 15.6–18.6% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.1–20.3% |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
18.9% | 17.5–20.5% | 17.1–20.9% | 16.8–21.3% | 16.1–22.1% |
| 22–24 June 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
18.9% | 17.6–20.3% | 17.2–20.6% | 16.9–21.0% | 16.3–21.7% |
| 10–11 June 2026 | OpinionWay Le Journal du Dimanche |
17.3% | 15.8–19.0% | 15.3–19.5% | 15.0–19.9% | 14.3–20.8% |
| 27–28 May 2026 | Ipsos Le Parisien |
18.8% | 17.5–20.1% | 17.2–20.5% | 16.9–20.9% | 16.3–21.5% |
| 26–28 May 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
20.0% | 18.6–21.7% | 18.2–22.1% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.1–23.3% |
| 25–27 May 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
18.5% | 17.2–20.0% | 16.8–20.4% | 16.5–20.8% | 15.8–21.5% |
| 20–21 May 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
17.0% | 15.6–18.6% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.1–20.3% |
| 28–30 April 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
15.7% | 14.5–16.9% | 14.2–17.3% | 13.9–17.6% | 13.4–18.2% |
| 26–27 March 2026 | OpinionWay | 16.6% | 15.1–18.1% | 14.7–18.6% | 14.4–19.0% | 13.7–19.7% |
| 25–27 March 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
15.2% | 14.1–16.5% | 13.7–16.9% | 13.4–17.2% | 12.9–17.8% |
| 25–26 March 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
23.0% | 21.3–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| 22 March 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
15.3% | 14.0–16.9% | 13.6–17.3% | 13.2–17.7% | 12.6–18.5% |
| 26–27 February 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
12.9% | 11.6–14.2% | 11.3–14.6% | 11.0–14.9% | 10.4–15.6% |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Verian | 16.8% | 15.3–18.5% | 14.9–18.9% | 14.6–19.4% | 13.9–20.2% |
| 19–20 November 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
13.6% | 12.4–15.0% | 12.0–15.3% | 11.7–15.7% | 11.2–16.4% |
| 30–31 October 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
15.2% | 14.1–16.5% | 13.7–16.9% | 13.5–17.2% | 12.9–17.8% |
| 7 October 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
13.6% | 12.3–15.0% | 11.9–15.3% | 11.6–15.7% | 11.1–16.4% |
| 30 September–1 October 2025 | Cluster17 Le Point |
18.0% | 16.8–19.3% | 16.4–19.7% | 16.1–20.0% | 15.6–20.6% |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial L’Opinion and Sud Radio |
11.6% | 10.2–12.6% | 9.9–13.0% | 9.6–13.3% | 9.1–14.0% |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
18.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
22.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
20.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
24.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
21.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
23.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
21.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
21.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 11% | 97% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 21% | 86% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 20% | 64% | Median |
| 18.5–19.5% | 16% | 44% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 10% | 28% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 3% | 18% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 3% | 15% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 5% | 12% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 4% | 7% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 17 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 13–23 |
| 15–16 September 2026 | Cluster17 Politico |
16 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 |
| 9–10 September 2026 | OpinionWay CNews |
21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 |
| 8–10 September 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
17 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–20 |
| 8–9 September 2026 | OpinionWay Les Echos and Radio Classique |
17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| 3–9 September 2026 | Ipsos CEVIPOF, Fondation Jean Jaurès, Institut Montaigne and Le Monde |
18 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 |
| 2–3 September 2026 | OpinionWay Le Journal du Dimanche |
17 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 14–20 |
| 31 August–2 September 2026 | Ipsos Le Parisien |
18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 |
| 31 August–1 September 2026 | Cluster17 Le Point |
16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–19 |
| 26–28 August 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
17 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 13–19 |
| 24–25 August 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| 18–19 August 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
17 | 16–17 | 16–18 | 15–19 | 14–19 |
| 22–24 July 2026 | Cluster17 Le Grand Continent |
16 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 8–10 July 2026 | Verian L’Hémicycle |
22 | 20–23 | 19–23 | 19–24 | 18–25 |
| 9–10 July 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
16 | 15–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 |
| 8–9 July 2026 | OpinionWay Les Echos |
19 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 15–22 |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI and Le Figaro |
15 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–19 |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
18 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 |
| 22–24 June 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
17 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 |
| 10–11 June 2026 | OpinionWay Le Journal du Dimanche |
16 | 15–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–19 |
| 27–28 May 2026 | Ipsos Le Parisien |
18 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 15–20 |
| 26–28 May 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
19 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–21 |
| 25–27 May 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
17 | 16–18 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 |
| 20–21 May 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 |
| 28–30 April 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 26–27 March 2026 | OpinionWay | 14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 25–27 March 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
15 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| 25–26 March 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
22 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 18–26 |
| 22 March 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
14 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 26–27 February 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
12 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Verian | 16 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–19 |
| 19–20 November 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
12 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 30–31 October 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–18 | 12–18 |
| 7 October 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
12 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| 30 September–1 October 2025 | Cluster17 Le Point |
16 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial L’Opinion and Sud Radio |
11 | 10–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–13 |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
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| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
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| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
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| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
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| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
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| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
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| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
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| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
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| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | |||||
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
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| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 14 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 15 | 14% | 95% | |
| 16 | 18% | 81% | |
| 17 | 30% | 63% | Median |
| 18 | 10% | 33% | |
| 19 | 6% | 23% | |
| 20 | 5% | 16% | |
| 21 | 7% | 11% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |