Perussuomalaiset (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 15.8% | 14.4–17.1% | 14.1–17.4% | 13.8–17.7% | 13.3–18.3% |
6 November–3 December 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
15.1% | 14.1–16.2% | 13.8–16.6% | 13.5–16.8% | 13.1–17.4% |
14 October–15 November 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
16.3% | 15.3–17.4% | 15.0–17.8% | 14.8–18.0% | 14.3–18.6% |
7 October–5 November 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
15.7% | 14.6–16.9% | 14.3–17.3% | 14.1–17.5% | 13.5–18.1% |
16 September–11 October 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
16.1% | 15.0–17.3% | 14.7–17.6% | 14.4–17.9% | 13.9–18.5% |
4 September–1 October 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
16.7% | 15.7–17.9% | 15.3–18.2% | 15.1–18.5% | 14.6–19.0% |
19 August–13 September 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
15.6% | 14.7–16.6% | 14.4–16.9% | 14.2–17.1% | 13.8–17.6% |
12 August–3 September 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
16.7% | 15.5–17.9% | 15.2–18.2% | 15.0–18.5% | 14.4–19.1% |
15 July–16 August 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
15.0% | 14.1–15.9% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.6–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% |
8 July–6 August 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
15.9% | 14.9–17.1% | 14.6–17.4% | 14.3–17.7% | 13.8–18.2% |
17 June–12 July 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
15.6% | 14.7–16.6% | 14.4–16.9% | 14.2–17.1% | 13.8–17.6% |
7 June–2 July 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
15.3% | 14.3–16.4% | 14.0–16.7% | 13.7–17.0% | 13.3–17.5% |
20 May–14 June 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
14.9% | 14.0–15.9% | 13.7–16.1% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.1–16.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Perussuomalaiset (ECR).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 1.2% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 11% | 98.7% | |
14.5–15.5% | 30% | 87% | |
15.5–16.5% | 35% | 57% | Median |
16.5–17.5% | 18% | 23% | |
17.5–18.5% | 4% | 4% | |
18.5–19.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
6 November–3 December 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
14 October–15 November 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
7 October–5 November 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
16 September–11 October 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
4 September–1 October 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
19 August–13 September 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
12 August–3 September 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
15 July–16 August 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
8 July–6 August 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
17 June–12 July 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
7 June–2 July 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
20 May–14 June 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Perussuomalaiset (ECR).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 7% | 100% | |
3 | 93% | 93% | Median |
4 | 0% | 0% |