Perussuomalaiset (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 13.7% | 12.4–15.6% | 12.1–16.0% | 11.9–16.3% | 11.6–16.9% |
| 15 September–12 October 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
12.8% | 12.1–13.6% | 11.9–13.8% | 11.8–13.9% | 11.4–14.3% |
| 3–30 September 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
14.9% | 13.8–16.0% | 13.5–16.3% | 13.3–16.6% | 12.8–17.2% |
| 18 August–14 September 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
11.4% | 10.7–12.1% | 10.6–12.3% | 10.4–12.5% | 10.1–12.8% |
| 11 August–2 September 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.8% | 11.8–13.9% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.3–14.5% | 10.8–15.1% |
| 15 July–17 August 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
11.0% | 10.2–11.8% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.4–12.7% |
| 7 July–5 August 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.3% | 11.4–13.3% | 11.2–13.6% | 10.9–13.8% | 10.5–14.3% |
| 16 June–14 July 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
10.6% | 9.8–11.4% | 9.6–11.7% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.1–12.3% |
| 9–30 June 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
11.8% | 10.9–12.8% | 10.6–13.1% | 10.4–13.4% | 9.9–13.9% |
| 19 May–16 June 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
10.0% | 9.4–10.7% | 9.2–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.4% |
| 12 May–2 June 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.8% | 9.9–11.8% | 9.7–12.1% | 9.5–12.3% | 9.1–12.8% |
| 16 April–18 May 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
10.5% | 9.8–11.2% | 9.6–11.5% | 9.5–11.6% | 9.2–12.0% |
| 14 April–6 May 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
11.4% | 10.5–12.4% | 10.2–12.7% | 10.0–13.0% | 9.6–13.4% |
| 10 March–7 April 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
15.4% | 14.3–16.5% | 14.0–16.8% | 13.8–17.1% | 13.3–17.7% |
| 18 February–16 March 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
14.2% | 13.3–15.2% | 13.1–15.4% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% |
| 10 February–4 March 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
15.4% | 14.4–16.5% | 14.1–16.8% | 13.9–17.1% | 13.4–17.7% |
| 21 January–16 February 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
14.3% | 13.5–15.2% | 13.3–15.4% | 13.1–15.6% | 12.7–16.1% |
| 13 January–3 February 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
15.0% | 14.0–16.1% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.0–17.2% |
| 16 December 2024–17 January 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
14.9% | 13.9–16.0% | 13.6–16.3% | 13.4–16.6% | 12.9–17.2% |
| 9 December 2024–7 January 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
14.9% | 13.9–16.0% | 13.6–16.4% | 13.4–16.6% | 12.9–17.2% |
| 18 November–13 December 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
15.7% | 14.6–16.9% | 14.3–17.2% | 14.1–17.5% | 13.6–18.0% |
| 6 November–3 December 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
15.1% | 14.1–16.2% | 13.8–16.6% | 13.5–16.8% | 13.1–17.4% |
| 14 October–15 November 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
16.3% | 15.3–17.4% | 15.0–17.8% | 14.8–18.0% | 14.3–18.6% |
| 7 October–5 November 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
15.7% | 14.6–16.9% | 14.3–17.3% | 14.1–17.5% | 13.5–18.1% |
| 16 September–11 October 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
16.1% | 15.0–17.3% | 14.7–17.6% | 14.4–17.9% | 13.9–18.5% |
| 4 September–1 October 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
16.7% | 15.7–17.9% | 15.3–18.2% | 15.1–18.5% | 14.6–19.0% |
| 19 August–13 September 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
15.6% | 14.7–16.6% | 14.4–16.9% | 14.2–17.1% | 13.8–17.6% |
| 12 August–3 September 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
16.7% | 15.5–17.9% | 15.2–18.2% | 15.0–18.5% | 14.4–19.1% |
| 15 July–16 August 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
15.0% | 14.1–15.9% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.6–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% |
| 8 July–6 August 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
15.9% | 14.9–17.1% | 14.6–17.4% | 14.3–17.7% | 13.8–18.2% |
| 17 June–12 July 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
15.6% | 14.7–16.6% | 14.4–16.9% | 14.2–17.1% | 13.8–17.6% |
| 7 June–2 July 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
15.3% | 14.3–16.4% | 14.0–16.7% | 13.7–17.0% | 13.3–17.5% |
| 20 May–14 June 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
14.9% | 14.0–15.9% | 13.7–16.1% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.1–16.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Perussuomalaiset (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 15% | 99.5% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 32% | 85% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 19% | 52% | Median |
| 14.5–15.5% | 22% | 33% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 10% | 11% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 15 September–12 October 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 3–30 September 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 18 August–14 September 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 August–2 September 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 15 July–17 August 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7 July–5 August 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 June–14 July 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–30 June 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 19 May–16 June 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 12 May–2 June 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 16 April–18 May 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14 April–6 May 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10 March–7 April 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 18 February–16 March 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 10 February–4 March 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 21 January–16 February 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 13 January–3 February 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 16 December 2024–17 January 2025 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 9 December 2024–7 January 2025 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 18 November–13 December 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 6 November–3 December 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 14 October–15 November 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
| 7 October–5 November 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 16 September–11 October 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 4 September–1 October 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
| 19 August–13 September 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 12 August–3 September 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 15 July–16 August 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 8 July–6 August 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 17 June–12 July 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 7 June–2 July 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 20 May–14 June 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Perussuomalaiset (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 77% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 23% | 23% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |