Suomen Keskusta (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 19.7% (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 11.8% | 10.7–13.1% | 10.4–13.4% | 10.2–13.8% | 9.7–14.4% |
| 29 May–4 June 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
11.9% | 10.9–13.1% | 10.6–13.4% | 10.4–13.7% | 9.9–14.2% |
| 29 May–3 June 2024 | Åbo Akademi MTV |
11.4% | 10.5–12.5% | 10.2–12.8% | 10.0–13.0% | 9.5–13.5% |
| 20 May–1 June 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
12.1% | 11.0–13.4% | 10.7–13.8% | 10.4–14.1% | 9.9–14.7% |
| 23–29 April 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
13.6% | 12.5–14.8% | 12.2–15.1% | 11.9–15.4% | 11.4–16.0% |
| 18–25 March 2024 | Verian | 12.0% | 11.0–13.2% | 10.7–13.6% | 10.4–13.9% | 9.9–14.4% |
| 23 February–5 March 2024 | Ipsos Euronews |
10.5% | 9.3–11.8% | 9.0–12.2% | 8.7–12.6% | 8.2–13.2% |
| 11 December 2023–12 January 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
10.1% | 9.4–10.9% | 9.2–11.2% | 9.0–11.4% | 8.7–11.8% |
| 29 November 2023–2 January 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.1% | 9.3–11.1% | 9.0–11.3% | 8.8–11.6% | 8.4–12.0% |
| 6 November–10 December 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
9.9% | 9.1–10.8% | 8.8–11.1% | 8.6–11.3% | 8.3–11.8% |
| 1–28 November 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.5% | 9.7–11.5% | 9.4–11.7% | 9.2–11.9% | 8.8–12.4% |
| 9 October–3 November 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
10.2% | 9.3–11.2% | 9.1–11.5% | 8.9–11.7% | 8.5–12.2% |
| 4–31 October 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.4% | 9.5–11.4% | 9.3–11.6% | 9.1–11.9% | 8.7–12.4% |
| 11 September–6 October 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
10.1% | 9.2–11.1% | 9.0–11.4% | 8.8–11.6% | 8.4–12.1% |
| 6 September–3 October 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.7% | 9.8–11.7% | 9.6–11.9% | 9.4–12.2% | 9.0–12.7% |
| 14 August–8 September 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
9.8% | 9.0–10.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.5–11.3% | 8.1–11.8% |
| 2 August–5 September 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
11.5% | 10.6–12.5% | 10.3–12.8% | 10.1–13.1% | 9.7–13.6% |
| 17 July–11 August 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
9.5% | 8.7–10.5% | 8.5–10.7% | 8.3–10.9% | 7.9–11.4% |
| 5 July–1 August 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.7% | 9.8–11.7% | 9.6–11.9% | 9.4–12.2% | 9.0–12.6% |
| 19 June–15 July 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
9.8% | 9.0–10.8% | 8.7–11.0% | 8.5–11.3% | 8.1–11.7% |
| 12 June–4 July 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.3–11.9% |
| 15 May–15 June 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
10.2% | 9.4–11.1% | 9.1–11.3% | 8.9–11.6% | 8.6–12.0% |
| 3 May–6 June 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
9.7% | 8.9–10.6% | 8.7–10.8% | 8.5–11.0% | 8.1–11.5% |
| 3 April–12 May 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
10.1% | 9.3–11.0% | 9.1–11.2% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.5–11.8% |
| 3 April–2 May 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.2% | 9.4–11.1% | 9.2–11.4% | 9.0–11.6% | 8.6–12.0% |
| 1–28 March 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.7% | 9.8–11.7% | 9.6–12.0% | 9.4–12.2% | 9.0–12.7% |
| 9–23 March 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.4% | 10.3–12.6% | 10.0–12.9% | 9.8–13.2% | 9.3–13.8% |
| 13 February–17 March 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
10.7% | 9.8–11.7% | 9.6–11.9% | 9.3–12.2% | 8.9–12.7% |
| 6–28 February 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
9.5% | 8.7–10.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.2–11.0% | 7.8–11.5% |
| 16 January–10 February 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
9.6% | 8.7–10.6% | 8.4–10.9% | 8.2–11.1% | 7.8–11.6% |
| 9–31 January 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.1% | 9.2–11.1% | 9.0–11.4% | 8.7–11.6% | 8.4–12.1% |
| 19 December 2022–13 January 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
9.8% | 8.9–10.9% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.5–11.4% | 8.0–11.9% |
| 7 December 2022–3 January 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.9% | 10.1–11.8% | 9.8–12.1% | 9.6–12.3% | 9.2–12.8% |
| 14 November–16 December 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
9.9% | 9.0–10.9% | 8.8–11.1% | 8.6–11.4% | 8.2–11.8% |
| 7 November–5 December 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.2% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.4–10.8% |
| 17 October–11 November 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
10.1% | 9.2–11.1% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.7–11.7% | 8.3–12.2% |
| 10 October–1 November 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.9% | 10.0–11.9% | 9.8–12.2% | 9.5–12.5% | 9.1–13.0% |
| 12 September–14 October 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
10.4% | 9.5–11.4% | 9.3–11.7% | 9.1–12.0% | 8.6–12.5% |
| 8 September–4 October 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.3% | 9.4–11.2% | 9.2–11.5% | 9.0–11.8% | 8.6–12.2% |
| 15 August–11 September 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.8% | 10.9–12.8% | 10.6–13.1% | 10.4–13.4% | 10.0–13.9% |
| 8 August–6 September 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
11.7% | 10.8–12.6% | 10.6–12.9% | 10.4–13.1% | 10.0–13.6% |
| 18 July–12 August 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.0% | 10.1–12.0% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.6–12.6% | 9.2–13.1% |
| 6 July–2 August 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
11.0% | 10.2–12.0% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
| 13 June–12 July 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.6% | 10.8–12.5% | 10.6–12.7% | 10.4–12.9% | 10.0–13.3% |
| 6 June–5 July 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
11.8% | 10.9–12.9% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.3–13.4% | 9.9–14.0% |
| 16 May–10 June 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.2% | 11.2–13.3% | 10.9–13.6% | 10.7–13.9% | 10.2–14.5% |
| 4–31 May 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.1% | 11.2–13.1% | 11.0–13.4% | 10.8–13.6% | 10.4–14.1% |
| 18 April–13 May 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.7% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.4–14.0% | 11.2–14.3% | 10.8–14.8% |
| 7 April–3 May 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
13.5% | 12.5–14.5% | 12.3–14.8% | 12.1–15.1% | 11.6–15.6% |
| 14 March–13 April 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.4% | 11.6–13.3% | 11.4–13.5% | 11.2–13.7% | 10.8–14.2% |
| 2 March–5 April 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.3% | 11.4–13.3% | 11.2–13.6% | 10.9–13.8% | 10.5–14.3% |
| 14 February–11 March 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
13.2% | 12.3–14.1% | 12.1–14.4% | 11.9–14.6% | 11.5–15.1% |
| 2 February–1 March 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
13.4% | 12.5–14.4% | 12.2–14.7% | 12.0–15.0% | 11.5–15.5% |
| 17 January–11 February 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
14.0% | 13.1–15.0% | 12.9–15.2% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% |
| 9 January–1 February 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.7% | 11.8–13.7% | 11.5–14.0% | 11.3–14.3% | 10.9–14.8% |
| 1 December 2021–4 January 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.5% | 11.4–13.6% | 11.2–13.9% | 10.9–14.2% | 10.4–14.8% |
| 16 November–10 December 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.9% | 11.1–12.8% | 10.9–13.1% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.3–13.7% |
| 3–30 November 2021 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.5% | 11.5–13.6% | 11.2–13.9% | 11.0–14.2% | 10.5–14.7% |
| 18 October–15 November 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.9% | 11.1–12.8% | 10.9–13.0% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.3–13.7% |
| 6 October–2 November 2021 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
11.9% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.5–13.5% | 10.0–14.0% |
| 18 September–15 October 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 September–5 October 2021 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 August–17 September 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–31 August 2021 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 July–20 August 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12 July–3 August 2021 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.3% | 11.3–13.4% | 11.0–13.7% | 10.8–13.9% | 10.4–14.4% |
| 21 June–20 July 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.6% | 11.8–13.5% | 11.6–13.8% | 11.4–14.0% | 11.0–14.4% |
| 14 June–6 July 2021 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
13.5% | 12.5–14.6% | 12.2–14.9% | 12.0–15.1% | 11.6–15.6% |
| 12 April–7 May 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.1% | 10.3–12.0% | 10.1–12.2% | 9.9–12.4% | 9.6–12.8% |
| 15 March–9 April 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.4% | 10.6–12.3% | 10.4–12.5% | 10.2–12.7% | 9.8–13.2% |
| 15 February–12 March 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.8% | 11.0–12.7% | 10.8–12.9% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.2–13.6% |
| 18 January–12 February 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.0% | 10.2–11.9% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% |
| 21 December 2020–15 January 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
10.8% | 9.9–11.8% | 9.6–12.1% | 9.4–12.3% | 9.0–12.8% |
| 2 December 2020–5 January 2021 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
11.7% | 10.7–12.8% | 10.4–13.2% | 10.2–13.4% | 9.7–14.0% |
| 23 November–18 December 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.4% | 10.5–12.4% | 10.3–12.7% | 10.1–12.9% | 9.7–13.4% |
| 9 November–1 December 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.1% | 11.2–13.1% | 10.9–13.4% | 10.7–13.7% | 10.3–14.2% |
| 19 October–20 November 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.7% | 10.8–12.7% | 10.6–13.0% | 10.3–13.2% | 9.9–13.7% |
| 12 October–3 November 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.4% | 11.4–13.5% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.9–14.1% | 10.4–14.6% |
| 14 September–16 October 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.2% | 10.3–12.2% | 10.0–12.5% | 9.8–12.7% | 9.4–13.2% |
| 7 September–6 October 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
11.5% | 10.5–12.6% | 10.2–12.9% | 10.0–13.2% | 9.5–13.7% |
| 17 August–12 September 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
10.8% | 9.9–11.8% | 9.6–12.1% | 9.4–12.4% | 9.0–12.9% |
| 10 August–1 September 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
11.3% | 10.3–12.3% | 10.1–12.6% | 9.8–12.9% | 9.4–13.4% |
| 13 July–14 August 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.3% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.6% | 10.0–12.9% | 9.5–13.4% |
| 6 July–4 August 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.5% | 9.6–11.6% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.1–12.1% | 8.7–12.6% |
| 15 June–10 July 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.6% | 10.6–12.7% | 10.4–13.1% | 10.1–13.3% | 9.7–13.9% |
| 3–30 June 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
11.4% | 10.4–12.5% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.0% | 9.5–13.6% |
| 18 May–14 June 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.4% | 11.5–13.4% | 11.3–13.6% | 11.1–13.9% | 10.7–14.3% |
| 11 May–2 June 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.7% | 9.8–11.8% | 9.5–12.1% | 9.3–12.3% | 8.9–12.8% |
| 20 April–14 May 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.3% | 11.5–13.6% | 11.2–13.9% | 11.0–14.2% | 10.5–14.8% |
| 14 April–5 May 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.2% | 11.2–13.3% | 11.0–13.6% | 10.7–13.9% | 10.3–14.4% |
| 14–29 April 2020 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
12.9% | 11.8–14.2% | 11.4–14.6% | 11.2–14.9% | 10.6–15.6% |
| 16 March–15 April 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.6% | 11.6–13.7% | 11.3–14.0% | 11.1–14.3% | 10.7–14.8% |
| 4 March–7 April 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.4% | 11.6–13.3% | 11.4–13.5% | 11.2–13.7% | 10.8–14.1% |
| 20–27 March 2020 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
11.9% | 10.6–13.3% | 10.3–13.7% | 10.0–14.1% | 9.4–14.8% |
| 15 February–13 March 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.0% | 11.2–12.9% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.7–13.4% | 10.3–13.9% |
| 5 February–3 March 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.4% | 11.6–13.3% | 11.3–13.6% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.8–14.3% |
| 19 January–14 February 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.0% | 11.1–12.9% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.7–13.4% | 10.3–13.9% |
| 21 January–10 February 2020 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
12.0% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.6–13.7% | 10.3–14.0% | 9.8–14.6% |
| 13 January–4 February 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.8% | 10.0–11.7% | 9.7–12.0% | 9.5–12.2% | 9.1–12.7% |
| 23 December 2019–17 January 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.5% | 10.7–12.4% | 10.4–12.7% | 10.2–12.9% | 9.8–13.4% |
| 9 December 2019–8 January 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.0% | 10.7–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.5–14.8% |
| 25 November–20 December 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.1% | 10.1–12.1% | 9.9–12.4% | 9.6–12.7% | 9.2–13.2% |
| 11 November–3 December 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
10.6% | 9.8–11.5% | 9.5–11.8% | 9.3–12.0% | 9.0–12.5% |
| 24 October–21 November 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.7% | 10.7–12.7% | 10.5–13.0% | 10.2–13.3% | 9.8–13.8% |
| 2 October–5 November 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.9% | 12.1–13.9% | 11.8–14.1% | 11.6–14.3% | 11.2–14.8% |
| 23 September–21 October 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.2% | 11.2–13.3% | 10.9–13.6% | 10.7–13.9% | 10.2–14.4% |
| 17 September–8 October 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
12.5% | 11.4–13.8% | 11.0–14.1% | 10.8–14.4% | 10.2–15.1% |
| 9 September–1 October 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.8% | 11.8–13.9% | 11.5–14.2% | 11.3–14.5% | 10.8–15.0% |
| 26 August–22 September 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
11.9% | 10.9–13.0% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.4–13.6% | 10.0–14.1% |
| 12 August–3 September 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
11.6% | 10.7–12.7% | 10.4–13.0% | 10.2–13.2% | 9.7–13.7% |
| 29 July–23 August 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.1% | 11.1–13.2% | 10.8–13.5% | 10.6–13.7% | 10.1–14.3% |
| 8 July–6 August 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.6% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.4–14.0% | 11.1–14.3% | 10.7–14.8% |
| 1–27 July 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
12.2% | 11.2–13.3% | 11.0–13.7% | 10.7–13.9% | 10.3–14.5% |
| 5 June–2 July 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
11.7% | 10.8–12.7% | 10.5–13.0% | 10.3–13.2% | 9.9–13.7% |
| 3–28 June 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
13.1% | 12.1–14.2% | 11.8–14.5% | 11.6–14.8% | 11.1–15.3% |
| 4–14 June 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
13.0% | 11.9–14.3% | 11.5–14.6% | 11.3–15.0% | 10.7–15.6% |
| 13 May–4 June 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
12.4% | 11.2–13.8% | 10.9–14.1% | 10.6–14.5% | 10.0–15.2% |
| 6 May–2 June 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
13.2% | 12.2–14.3% | 11.9–14.6% | 11.7–14.8% | 11.2–15.3% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Suomen Keskusta (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 31% | 94% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 40% | 63% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 19% | 23% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Seats
Last result: 3 seats (General Election of 26 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 29 May–4 June 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 29 May–3 June 2024 | Åbo Akademi MTV |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 20 May–1 June 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 23–29 April 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 18–25 March 2024 | Verian | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23 February–5 March 2024 | Ipsos Euronews |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11 December 2023–12 January 2024 | Verian Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 29 November 2023–2 January 2024 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 6 November–10 December 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–28 November 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9 October–3 November 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–31 October 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11 September–6 October 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 6 September–3 October 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14 August–8 September 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2 August–5 September 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 17 July–11 August 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 5 July–1 August 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 19 June–15 July 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 12 June–4 July 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 15 May–15 June 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 3 May–6 June 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 3 April–12 May 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 3 April–2 May 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–28 March 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–23 March 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 13 February–17 March 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 6–28 February 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 16 January–10 February 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–31 January 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 19 December 2022–13 January 2023 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7 December 2022–3 January 2023 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14 November–16 December 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7 November–5 December 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 17 October–11 November 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10 October–1 November 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 12 September–14 October 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8 September–4 October 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 15 August–11 September 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 8 August–6 September 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 18 July–12 August 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 6 July–2 August 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 13 June–12 July 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 6 June–5 July 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 16 May–10 June 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 4–31 May 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 18 April–13 May 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 7 April–3 May 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 14 March–13 April 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 2 March–5 April 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 February–11 March 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 2 February–1 March 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 17 January–11 February 2022 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 9 January–1 February 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 1 December 2021–4 January 2022 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 November–10 December 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 3–30 November 2021 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 18 October–15 November 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 6 October–2 November 2021 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 18 September–15 October 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
|||||
| 1 September–5 October 2021 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
|||||
| 23 August–17 September 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
|||||
| 4–31 August 2021 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
|||||
| 26 July–20 August 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
|||||
| 12 July–3 August 2021 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 21 June–20 July 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 June–6 July 2021 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 12 April–7 May 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 15 March–9 April 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 15 February–12 March 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 18 January–12 February 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 21 December 2020–15 January 2021 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2 December 2020–5 January 2021 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23 November–18 December 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9 November–1 December 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 19 October–20 November 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 12 October–3 November 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 14 September–16 October 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7 September–6 October 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 17 August–12 September 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10 August–1 September 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 13 July–14 August 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 6 July–4 August 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 15 June–10 July 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 3–30 June 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 18 May–14 June 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 11 May–2 June 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 20 April–14 May 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 14 April–5 May 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–29 April 2020 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| 16 March–15 April 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 4 March–7 April 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 20–27 March 2020 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 15 February–13 March 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 5 February–3 March 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 19 January–14 February 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 21 January–10 February 2020 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 13 January–4 February 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23 December 2019–17 January 2020 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9 December 2019–8 January 2020 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 25 November–20 December 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11 November–3 December 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 24 October–21 November 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2 October–5 November 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 23 September–21 October 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 17 September–8 October 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 9 September–1 October 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 26 August–22 September 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 12 August–3 September 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 29 July–23 August 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 8 July–6 August 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 1–27 July 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 5 June–2 July 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 3–28 June 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 4–14 June 2019 | Tietoykkönen Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 May–4 June 2019 | Taloustutkimus Yle |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 6 May–2 June 2019 | Kantar TNS Helsingin Sanomat |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Suomen Keskusta (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 94% | 94% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |