Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 42.0% 31.0–49.3% 30.0–50.2% 29.4–50.9% 28.2–52.1%
1–31 December 2024 Századvég 42.0% 40.0–44.0% 39.5–44.6% 39.0–45.1% 38.0–46.1%
16–18 December 2024 Társadalomkutató 49.0% 47.0–51.0% 46.4–51.6% 45.9–52.1% 44.9–53.1%
9–11 December 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 47.0% 45.0–49.0% 44.4–49.6% 43.9–50.1% 43.0–51.1%
29 November–6 December 2024 IDEA Intézet 36.7% 35.1–38.3% 34.6–38.7% 34.3–39.1% 33.5–39.9%
28 November–5 December 2024 Republikon Intézet 31.0% 29.2–32.9% 28.7–33.5% 28.2–33.9% 27.3–34.9%
20–30 November 2024 ZRI Závecz Research 34.7% 32.8–36.7% 32.3–37.2% 31.8–37.7% 30.9–38.7%
25–27 November 2024 Real-PR 93 44.0% 42.0–46.0% 41.4–46.6% 40.9–47.1% 40.0–48.1%
20–26 November 2024 Medián 35.9% 34.2–37.7% 33.7–38.2% 33.2–38.7% 32.4–39.6%
19–22 November 2024 Társadalomkutató 45.0% 43.0–47.0% 42.4–47.6% 41.9–48.1% 41.0–49.1%
14–19 November 2024 Századvég 40.0% 38.0–42.0% 37.5–42.6% 37.0–43.1% 36.1–44.0%
14–19 November 2024 Publicus Research 37.7% 35.8–39.7% 35.2–40.3% 34.7–40.8% 33.8–41.7%
11–13 November 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 46.0% 44.0–48.0% 43.4–48.6% 42.9–49.1% 42.0–50.1%
31 October–8 November 2024 IDEA Intézet 37.5% 35.9–39.2% 35.5–39.6% 35.1–40.0% 34.4–40.8%
28 October–4 November 2024 Medián 39.0% 37.1–41.0% 36.5–41.6% 36.0–42.1% 35.1–43.0%
1–31 October 2024 Századvég 43.0% 41.0–45.0% 40.4–45.6% 40.0–46.1% 39.0–47.1%
28–30 October 2024 Real-PR 93 44.0% 42.0–46.0% 41.4–46.6% 40.9–47.1% 40.0–48.1%
24–29 October 2024 Republikon Intézet 36.5% 34.6–38.5% 34.0–39.0% 33.6–39.5% 32.7–40.5%
11–18 October 2024 Publicus Research 36.9% 35.0–38.9% 34.4–39.5% 34.0–39.9% 33.0–40.9%
14–17 October 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 46.0% 44.0–48.0% 43.4–48.6% 42.9–49.1% 42.0–50.1%
9–15 October 2024 21 Kutatóközpont 40.0% 38.0–42.0% 37.5–42.6% 37.0–43.1% 36.1–44.0%
28 September–8 October 2024 ZRI Závecz Research 39.0% 37.1–41.0% 36.5–41.6% 36.0–42.1% 35.1–43.0%
27 September–7 October 2024 IDEA Intézet 38.6% 37.0–40.2% 36.5–40.7% 36.2–41.1% 35.4–41.9%
16–18 September 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 47.0% 45.0–49.0% 44.4–49.6% 43.9–50.1% 43.0–51.1%
9–11 September 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 45.0% 44.3–48.5% 43.8–49.0% 43.3–49.6% 42.3–50.5%
3–10 September 2024 Medián 42.9% 40.9–44.9% 40.3–45.5% 39.9–46.0% 38.9–47.0%
28 August–6 September 2024 IDEA Intézet 38.8% 37.2–40.4% 36.7–40.9% 36.4–41.3% 35.6–42.1%
21–31 August 2024 ZRI Závecz Research 41.9% 39.9–43.9% 39.4–44.5% 38.9–45.0% 37.9–46.0%
24–31 July 2024 IDEA Intézet 40.8% 39.2–42.4% 38.7–42.9% 38.3–43.3% 37.6–44.1%
15–17 July 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 47.0% 45.0–49.0% 44.4–49.6% 43.9–50.1% 43.0–51.1%
4–10 July 2024 Medián 42.8% 40.8–44.8% 40.2–45.4% 39.8–45.9% 38.8–46.9%
3–8 July 2024 Republikon Intézet 40.6% 38.6–42.6% 38.1–43.2% 37.6–43.7% 36.7–44.7%
19–27 June 2024 IDEA Intézet 40.8% 39.2–42.4% 38.7–42.9% 38.3–43.3% 37.6–44.1%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 100%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 100%  
26.5–27.5% 0.1% 100%  
27.5–28.5% 0.7% 99.8%  
28.5–29.5% 2% 99.1%  
29.5–30.5% 4% 97%  
30.5–31.5% 5% 93%  
31.5–32.5% 4% 87%  
32.5–33.5% 2% 83%  
33.5–34.5% 1.4% 81%  
34.5–35.5% 3% 79%  
35.5–36.5% 6% 76%  
36.5–37.5% 6% 71%  
37.5–38.5% 4% 65%  
38.5–39.5% 2% 61%  
39.5–40.5% 3% 59%  
40.5–41.5% 4% 57%  
41.5–42.5% 5% 52% Median
42.5–43.5% 4% 47%  
43.5–44.5% 3% 43%  
44.5–45.5% 3% 40%  
45.5–46.5% 5% 36%  
46.5–47.5% 7% 31%  
47.5–48.5% 8% 24%  
48.5–49.5% 7% 16%  
49.5–50.5% 5% 8%  
50.5–51.5% 2% 3%  
51.5–52.5% 0.9% 1.1%  
52.5–53.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
53.5–54.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 10 8–12 8–12 7–13 7–13
1–31 December 2024 Századvég 10 10–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
16–18 December 2024 Társadalomkutató 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–13
9–11 December 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 11 11–12 11–12 11–12 10–13
29 November–6 December 2024 IDEA Intézet 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
28 November–5 December 2024 Republikon Intézet 8 7–8 7–9 7–9 7–9
20–30 November 2024 ZRI Závecz Research 8 8–9 8–10 8–10 8–11
25–27 November 2024 Real-PR 93 11 10–11 10–11 10–12 9–12
20–26 November 2024 Medián 9 8–9 8–9 8–9 8–10
19–22 November 2024 Társadalomkutató 11 10–11 10–11 10–11 10–12
14–19 November 2024 Századvég 9 9–10 9–10 9–10 8–11
14–19 November 2024 Publicus Research 9 9–10 9–10 8–10 8–10
11–13 November 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 11 10–12 10–12 10–12 10–12
31 October–8 November 2024 IDEA Intézet 9 9–10 9–10 8–10 8–10
28 October–4 November 2024 Medián 9 9–10 9–10 8–10 8–10
1–31 October 2024 Századvég 10 10–11 10–11 10–11 9–12
28–30 October 2024 Real-PR 93 11 10–11 10–11 10–11 9–12
24–29 October 2024 Republikon Intézet 9 8–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
11–18 October 2024 Publicus Research 9 9–10 9–10 8–10 8–10
14–17 October 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 11 11–12 10–12 10–12 10–12
9–15 October 2024 21 Kutatóközpont 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
28 September–8 October 2024 ZRI Závecz Research 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
27 September–7 October 2024 IDEA Intézet 10 9–10 9–10 9–10 9–10
16–18 September 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 11 11–12 11–12 11–12 10–13
9–11 September 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 11 11–12 10–12 10–12 10–13
3–10 September 2024 Medián 11 10–12 10–12 10–12 10–12
28 August–6 September 2024 IDEA Intézet 10 9–10 9–10 9–11 8–11
21–31 August 2024 ZRI Závecz Research 10 10–11 9–11 9–11 9–12
24–31 July 2024 IDEA Intézet 10 10 10–11 9–11 9–11
15–17 July 2024 Nézőpont Intézet 11 10–12 10–12 10–12 10–13
4–10 July 2024 Medián 11 10–11 10–11 10–12 10–12
3–8 July 2024 Republikon Intézet 9 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
19–27 June 2024 IDEA Intézet 11 10–11 10–11 10–11 10–11

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 4% 100%  
8 18% 96%  
9 17% 78%  
10 17% 61% Median
11 20% 44% Majority
12 21% 24%  
13 3% 3%  
14 0% 0%