Fine Gael (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 7 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 21.1% | 18.4–23.6% | 17.9–24.3% | 17.5–24.8% | 16.7–25.9% |
| 22–26 November 2024 | Red C Business Post |
20.0% | 18.5–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 20–23 November 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
19.0% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.2–21.0% | 16.9–21.3% | 16.2–22.1% |
| 21–22 November 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
22.0% | 20.6–23.4% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.3–24.9% |
| 7–13 November 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| 12–13 November 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
25.0% | 23.4–26.7% | 23.0–27.1% | 22.6–27.5% | 21.9–28.3% |
| 1–7 November 2024 | Red C Business Post |
22.0% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.1–24.1% | 19.8–24.4% | 19.1–25.2% |
| 1–2 November 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
26.0% | 24.7–27.3% | 24.3–27.7% | 24.0–28.0% | 23.4–28.7% |
| 18–23 October 2024 | Red C Business Post |
22.0% | 20.4–23.8% | 20.0–24.3% | 19.6–24.7% | 18.8–25.6% |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Red C Business Post |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 10–16 October 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 4 October 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
25.8% | 24.3–27.3% | 23.9–27.7% | 23.5–28.1% | 22.9–28.9% |
| 13–19 September 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 14–17 September 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
27.0% | 25.4–28.7% | 25.0–29.2% | 24.6–29.6% | 23.8–30.4% |
| 5–10 September 2024 | Red C Business Post |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
| 31 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
25.0% | 23.6–26.5% | 23.2–27.0% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.2–28.1% |
| 29–30 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
25.1% | 23.3–26.9% | 22.8–27.5% | 22.4–27.9% | 21.6–28.8% |
| 2 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
24.0% | 22.6–25.5% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.1–27.1% |
| 5 July 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
24.0% | 22.6–25.5% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.2–27.0% |
| 26 June 2024 | Red C Business Post |
21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Fine Gael (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 8% | 97% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 15% | 89% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 16% | 74% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 17% | 58% | Median |
| 21.5–22.5% | 17% | 42% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 13% | 24% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 7% | 11% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 7 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 22–26 November 2024 | Red C Business Post |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 20–23 November 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 21–22 November 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 7–13 November 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 |
| 12–13 November 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 1–7 November 2024 | Red C Business Post |
5 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 1–2 November 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 18–23 October 2024 | Red C Business Post |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Red C Business Post |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 10–16 October 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 4 October 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 13–19 September 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 14–17 September 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 5–10 September 2024 | Red C Business Post |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 |
| 31 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 29–30 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 2 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 July 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 26 June 2024 | Red C Business Post |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Fine Gael (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 11% | 100% | |
| 4 | 24% | 89% | |
| 5 | 65% | 65% | Median |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |