Independents (GUE/NGL)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 7 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
22–26 November 2024 | Red C Business Post |
2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
20–23 November 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
2.9% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.1–4.0% | 1.9–4.4% |
21–22 November 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
2.7% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.1–3.6% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–4.1% |
7–13 November 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
12–13 November 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
2.9% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.1–4.0% | 1.9–4.4% |
1–7 November 2024 | Red C Business Post |
3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
1–2 November 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
2.5% | 2.1–3.0% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.7–3.6% |
18–23 October 2024 | Red C Business Post |
3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
16–22 October 2024 | Red C Business Post |
2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
10–16 October 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
4 October 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
2.3% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.4–3.5% |
13–19 September 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
14–17 September 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
2.3% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.4–3.7% |
5–10 September 2024 | Red C Business Post |
2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
31 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
2.7% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.1–3.6% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–4.1% |
29–30 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.0–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.6–4.5% |
2 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
2.6% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.7–3.9% |
5 July 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
2.9% | 2.4–3.5% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 1.9–4.2% |
26 June 2024 | Red C Business Post |
2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Independents (GUE/NGL).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 21% | 99.9% | |
2.5–3.5% | 65% | 79% | Median |
3.5–4.5% | 13% | 14% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 7 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
22–26 November 2024 | Red C Business Post |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
20–23 November 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
21–22 November 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
7–13 November 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
12–13 November 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
1–7 November 2024 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
1–2 November 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
18–23 October 2024 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
16–22 October 2024 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
10–16 October 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
4 October 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
13–19 September 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
14–17 September 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
5–10 September 2024 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
31 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
29–30 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
2 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
5 July 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
26 June 2024 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Independents (GUE/NGL).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 40% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 60% | 60% | Median |
2 | 0% | 0% |