Sinn Féin (GUE/NGL)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 19.5% (General Election of 24 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 23.9% | 22.4–25.5% | 22.0–25.9% | 21.6–26.3% | 20.9–27.1% |
| 6–7 April 2024 | Ireland Thinks The Journal |
23.9% | 22.4–25.5% | 22.0–25.9% | 21.6–26.3% | 20.9–27.1% |
| 16–21 February 2024 | Red C Business Post |
29.6% | 27.7–31.6% | 27.2–32.1% | 26.7–32.6% | 25.9–33.5% |
| 2–7 February 2024 | Ireland Thinks The Journal |
26.8% | 25.2–28.5% | 24.8–29.0% | 24.4–29.4% | 23.6–30.2% |
| 2–6 February 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
28.9% | 27.3–30.7% | 26.8–31.2% | 26.4–31.6% | 25.6–32.4% |
| 1–2 February 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–24 January 2024 | Red C Business Post |
26.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6 January 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
30.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 December 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
28.8% | 26.2–29.4% | 25.7–29.8% | 25.3–30.2% | 24.6–31.0% |
| 17–22 November 2023 | Red C Business Post |
30.4% | 27.3–30.7% | 26.9–31.2% | 26.5–31.6% | 25.7–32.4% |
| 2–3 November 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
32.3% | 29.4–32.6% | 29.0–33.1% | 28.6–33.5% | 27.9–34.3% |
| 20–25 October 2023 | Red C Business Post |
33.6% | 30.2–33.9% | 29.7–34.5% | 29.2–35.0% | 28.4–35.9% |
| 28–29 September 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
36.5% | 33.3–36.8% | 32.8–37.3% | 32.4–37.8% | 31.6–38.7% |
| 26 September 2023 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
34.5% | 32.3–35.8% | 31.8–36.3% | 31.4–36.7% | 30.6–37.6% |
| 7–12 September 2023 | Red C Business Post |
32.2% | 29.5–33.3% | 29.0–33.8% | 28.6–34.3% | 27.7–35.2% |
| 31 August–12 September 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
33.8% | 31.4–35.4% | 30.8–36.0% | 30.3–36.5% | 29.4–37.5% |
| 31 August–1 September 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
34.6% | 32.0–35.5% | 31.5–36.0% | 31.1–36.4% | 30.3–37.3% |
| 4–5 August 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
35.4% | 32.3–35.7% | 31.8–36.2% | 31.4–36.6% | 30.6–37.4% |
| 28 June–12 July 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
34.5% | 32.0–36.0% | 31.4–36.6% | 30.9–37.1% | 30.0–38.1% |
| 30 June–1 July 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
32.6% | 29.3–32.9% | 28.8–33.4% | 28.3–33.9% | 27.5–34.8% |
| 23 June 2023 | Red C Business Post |
30.1% | 27.2–30.8% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.2–31.9% | 25.4–32.8% |
| 16–21 June 2023 | Red C Business Post |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 June 2023 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
32.3% | 29.3–32.8% | 28.9–33.3% | 28.4–33.7% | 27.6–34.5% |
| 2 June 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
33.2% | 29.9–33.5% | 29.5–34.0% | 29.1–34.5% | 28.2–35.3% |
| 19–24 May 2023 | Red C Business Post |
35.7% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.2–37.0% | 30.3–38.0% |
| 27 April–9 May 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
35.8% | 33.0–37.1% | 32.4–37.6% | 31.9–38.2% | 31.0–39.2% |
| 5–6 May 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
32.2% | 29.3–32.8% | 28.8–33.3% | 28.4–33.7% | 27.6–34.6% |
| 21–26 April 2023 | Red C Business Post |
32.3% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.7–33.5% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.4–34.8% |
| 28 March–4 April 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
38.1% | 35.4–39.5% | 34.8–40.1% | 34.3–40.6% | 33.3–41.6% |
| 31 March–1 April 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
32.8% | 29.6–33.2% | 29.1–33.7% | 28.6–34.1% | 27.8–35.0% |
| 17–22 March 2023 | Red C Business Post |
32.6% | 29.2–33.0% | 28.7–33.5% | 28.3–34.0% | 27.4–34.9% |
| 4–14 March 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
33.1% | 30.1–34.0% | 29.6–34.6% | 29.1–35.1% | 28.2–36.0% |
| 3 March 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
31.2% | 27.3–30.8% | 26.9–31.2% | 26.5–31.7% | 25.7–32.5% |
| 17–22 February 2023 | Red C Business Post |
32.0% | 29.1–32.9% | 28.6–33.4% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.3–34.8% |
| 19–21 February 2023 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
35.2% | 32.9–36.5% | 32.4–37.0% | 32.0–37.4% | 31.2–38.3% |
| 2–14 February 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
31.5% | 29.1–33.1% | 28.6–33.6% | 28.1–34.1% | 27.3–35.1% |
| 2–3 February 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
32.0% | 29.4–32.8% | 28.9–33.3% | 28.5–33.7% | 27.7–34.5% |
| 20–25 January 2023 | Red C Business Post |
34.6% | 31.1–34.9% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.1–35.9% | 29.2–36.9% |
| 5–17 January 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
34.5% | 32.0–36.0% | 31.5–36.6% | 31.0–37.1% | 30.1–38.1% |
| 5–6 January 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
32.7% | 30.2–33.8% | 29.7–34.3% | 29.3–34.8% | 28.5–35.7% |
| 24 November–6 December 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
34.3% | 32.1–36.1% | 31.5–36.6% | 31.0–37.1% | 30.1–38.1% |
| 1–2 December 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
35.0% | 32.0–35.3% | 31.6–35.8% | 31.2–36.2% | 30.4–37.0% |
| 18–23 November 2022 | Red C Business Post |
32.0% | 29.5–33.2% | 28.9–33.8% | 28.5–34.2% | 27.6–35.2% |
| 27 October–8 November 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
34.5% | 32.1–36.1% | 31.5–36.6% | 31.0–37.1% | 30.1–38.1% |
| 4 November 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
34.7% | 31.7–35.6% | 31.2–36.1% | 30.8–36.6% | 29.9–37.6% |
| 23–25 October 2022 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
35.5% | 32.9–36.5% | 32.4–37.0% | 32.0–37.4% | 31.2–38.3% |
| 3–15 October 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes Sunday Times |
34.5% | 32.0–36.0% | 31.4–36.5% | 31.0–37.1% | 30.0–38.0% |
| 1 October 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
37.9% | 35.3–38.8% | 34.8–39.3% | 34.4–39.7% | 33.5–40.6% |
| 1–6 September 2022 | Red C Business Post |
36.1% | 33.1–36.9% | 32.5–37.5% | 32.1–38.0% | 31.2–38.9% |
| 25 August–6 September 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes Sunday Times |
35.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 September 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
36.8% | 33.7–37.7% | 33.2–38.3% | 32.7–38.8% | 31.7–39.8% |
| 6 August 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
36.4% | 33.3–37.3% | 32.7–37.9% | 32.3–38.4% | 31.3–39.3% |
| 10–12 July 2022 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
36.2% | 33.9–37.5% | 33.4–38.0% | 33.0–38.4% | 32.2–39.3% |
| 1 July 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
36.9% | 34.2–37.9% | 33.7–38.4% | 33.3–38.9% | 32.4–39.7% |
| 17–22 June 2022 | Red C Business Post |
37.1% | 34.4–38.3% | 33.9–38.9% | 33.4–39.4% | 32.5–40.3% |
| 25 May–7 June 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
36.6% | 34.5–38.7% | 34.0–39.2% | 33.5–39.8% | 32.5–40.8% |
| 4 June 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
36.5% | 34.0–37.6% | 33.5–38.1% | 33.1–38.5% | 32.3–39.4% |
| 20–25 May 2022 | Red C Business Post |
37.2% | 34.4–38.3% | 33.9–38.9% | 33.4–39.4% | 32.5–40.3% |
| 28 April–10 May 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
36.6% | 34.0–38.1% | 33.4–38.7% | 33.0–39.2% | 32.0–40.2% |
| 7 May 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
35.1% | 32.4–36.3% | 31.9–36.9% | 31.4–37.3% | 30.6–38.3% |
| 22–27 April 2022 | Red C Business Post |
35.4% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.2–37.0% | 30.3–38.0% |
| 1 April 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
34.3% | 30.9–34.5% | 30.4–35.0% | 30.0–35.5% | 29.2–36.4% |
| 18–23 March 2022 | Red C Business Post |
34.3% | 31.1–34.9% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.1–36.0% | 29.2–36.9% |
| 24 February–8 March 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
33.2% | 31.0–35.0% | 30.5–35.6% | 30.0–36.1% | 29.1–37.1% |
| 4 March 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
33.9% | 30.5–34.3% | 30.0–34.8% | 29.5–35.3% | 28.7–36.2% |
| 18–23 February 2022 | Red C Business Post |
34.0% | 31.5–35.3% | 31.0–35.9% | 30.5–36.4% | 29.6–37.3% |
| 27 January–8 February 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
34.5% | 32.0–36.0% | 31.4–36.6% | 31.0–37.1% | 30.0–38.1% |
| 5 February 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
33.3% | 30.3–33.9% | 29.8–34.4% | 29.3–34.9% | 28.5–35.8% |
| 21–26 January 2022 | Red C Business Post |
34.3% | 31.1–34.9% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.1–36.0% | 29.2–36.9% |
| 6–18 January 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
34.2% | 31.9–36.0% | 31.4–36.5% | 30.9–37.1% | 30.0–38.0% |
| 8 January 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
34.1% | 31.4–34.7% | 31.0–35.1% | 30.6–35.6% | 29.8–36.4% |
| 12 December 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
31.7% | 29.1–33.0% | 28.6–33.5% | 28.1–34.0% | 27.2–35.0% |
| 5–8 December 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
35.6% | 33.6–37.1% | 33.1–37.6% | 32.7–38.1% | 31.9–39.0% |
| 25 November–8 December 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
34.5% | 32.3–36.3% | 31.8–36.9% | 31.3–37.4% | 30.4–38.4% |
| 19–25 November 2021 | Red C Business Post |
34.3% | 31.8–35.6% | 31.3–36.2% | 30.8–36.7% | 29.9–37.6% |
| 14 November 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
33.0% | 30.0–34.0% | 29.5–34.5% | 29.1–35.0% | 28.2–36.0% |
| 28 October–9 November 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
37.8% | 35.4–39.5% | 34.8–40.1% | 34.3–40.6% | 33.3–41.6% |
| 22 October 2021 | Red C Business Post |
34.6% | 31.1–34.9% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.1–36.0% | 29.3–36.9% |
| 16 October 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
32.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 September–12 October 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
32.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 October 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
32.4% | 30.0–33.4% | 29.5–33.9% | 29.1–34.4% | 28.3–35.2% |
| 18 September 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
30.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 September 2021 | Red C Business Post |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 August–8 September 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
33.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 August 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
31.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 July 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
31.2% | 28.2–31.9% | 27.6–32.4% | 27.2–32.9% | 26.4–33.8% |
| 1–13 July 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
30.2% | 28.2–31.9% | 27.6–32.4% | 27.2–32.9% | 26.4–33.8% |
| 26 June 2021 | Red C Business Post |
30.0% | 27.2–30.9% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.3–31.9% | 25.5–32.8% |
| 19 June 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
33.0% | 30.1–33.4% | 29.6–33.9% | 29.2–34.3% | 28.4–35.1% |
| 14–15 June 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
31.5% | 29.3–32.8% | 28.9–33.3% | 28.4–33.7% | 27.6–34.5% |
| 28 May–8 June 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
35.1% | 32.0–36.1% | 31.5–36.6% | 31.0–37.1% | 30.1–38.1% |
| 21–27 May 2021 | Red C Business Post |
30.2% | 27.3–30.9% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.3–31.9% | 25.5–32.8% |
| 4–18 May 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
30.4% | 28.1–32.0% | 27.6–32.5% | 27.1–33.0% | 26.2–34.0% |
| 15 May 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
31.7% | 28.3–31.7% | 27.9–32.2% | 27.5–32.6% | 26.7–33.4% |
| 16–22 April 2021 | Red C Business Post |
28.1% | 25.6–29.2% | 25.1–29.7% | 24.7–30.1% | 23.9–31.0% |
| 14–15 April 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
28.3% | 25.3–28.7% | 24.8–29.2% | 24.4–29.7% | 23.6–30.5% |
| 19–25 March 2021 | Red C Business Post |
30.2% | 27.5–31.2% | 27.0–31.7% | 26.6–32.2% | 25.7–33.1% |
| 20 March 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
32.8% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.7–33.4% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.4–34.8% |
| 18–25 February 2021 | Red C Business Post |
30.4% | 27.2–30.9% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.3–31.9% | 25.4–32.8% |
| 22–23 February 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
28.7% | 26.4–29.7% | 25.9–30.2% | 25.5–30.6% | 24.8–31.4% |
| 12 February 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
29.4% | 27.1–30.7% | 26.6–31.2% | 26.2–31.6% | 25.4–32.5% |
| 21–28 January 2021 | Red C Business Post |
28.1% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 17 January 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
30.2% | 27.6–31.0% | 27.2–31.4% | 26.8–31.9% | 26.0–32.7% |
| 3–15 December 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
32.2% | 30.3–34.2% | 29.7–34.8% | 29.2–35.3% | 28.3–36.3% |
| 29 November 2020 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
28.8% | 26.0–29.5% | 25.5–30.0% | 25.0–30.5% | 24.2–31.4% |
| 19–25 November 2020 | Red C Business Post |
31.0% | 28.2–31.9% | 27.7–32.4% | 27.2–32.9% | 26.4–33.9% |
| 24 October 2020 | Red C Business Post |
27.6% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 17 October 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
30.5% | 28.4–32.3% | 27.9–32.8% | 27.4–33.3% | 26.5–34.3% |
| 3–6 October 2020 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
29.5% | 27.4–30.7% | 26.9–31.2% | 26.5–31.6% | 25.7–32.5% |
| 26 September 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
29.1% | 26.4–29.7% | 26.0–30.1% | 25.6–30.6% | 24.8–31.4% |
| 4–15 September 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
32.1% | 29.9–33.9% | 29.4–34.5% | 28.9–35.0% | 28.0–36.0% |
| 9 September 2020 | Red C Business Post |
27.9% | 25.5–29.2% | 25.0–29.7% | 24.6–30.1% | 23.8–31.1% |
| 21–22 August 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
31.2% | 28.2–31.9% | 27.7–32.4% | 27.2–32.9% | 26.4–33.9% |
| 17–28 July 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
29.3% | 27.2–31.1% | 26.7–31.6% | 26.2–32.1% | 25.4–33.1% |
| 17–18 July 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
26.6% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.8–28.4% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.6–29.7% |
| 19–20 June 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
27.3% | 25.0–28.5% | 24.5–29.1% | 24.1–29.5% | 23.2–30.4% |
| 14 June 2020 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
25.0% | 23.7–26.9% | 23.2–27.4% | 22.9–27.8% | 22.1–28.6% |
| 21–27 May 2020 | Red C Business Post |
27.8% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 19–23 May 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
27.6% | 25.2–28.8% | 24.8–29.3% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 23–29 April 2020 | Red C Business Post |
27.6% | 25.3–28.8% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| 20–25 March 2020 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
28.6% | 26.2–29.8% | 25.8–30.3% | 25.3–30.7% | 24.5–31.6% |
| 27 February–10 March 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
35.2% | 33.3–37.4% | 32.8–38.0% | 32.3–38.5% | 31.3–39.5% |
| 17–25 February 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
35.5% | 33.0–37.1% | 32.5–37.6% | 32.0–38.2% | 31.0–39.2% |
| 16 February 2020 | Amárach Research Extra.ie |
36.4% | 33.1–36.9% | 32.6–37.5% | 32.2–38.0% | 31.3–38.9% |
| 27 January–2 February 2020 | Survation Sinn Féin |
25.6% | 23.4–26.8% | 22.9–27.3% | 22.5–27.7% | 21.8–28.6% |
| 30 January–1 February 2020 | Ipsos MRBI The Irish Times |
25.4% | 23.4–26.7% | 23.0–27.1% | 22.6–27.5% | 21.9–28.3% |
| 25–30 January 2020 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
24.6% | 22.8–26.3% | 22.3–26.8% | 21.9–27.3% | 21.1–28.2% |
| 24–30 January 2020 | Panelbase The Times |
21.9% | 22.0–25.5% | 21.6–26.0% | 21.2–26.4% | 20.4–27.3% |
| 1–25 January 2020 | Ireland Thinks The Irish Daily Mail |
20.4% | 20.6–24.1% | 20.1–24.6% | 19.7–25.1% | 19.0–26.0% |
| 16–23 January 2020 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
19.4% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.0–22.4% |
| 16–18 January 2020 | Ipsos MRBI The Irish Times |
21.3% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.1–23.0% | 18.8–23.4% | 18.1–24.2% |
| 4–14 January 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
19.2% | 19.5–23.0% | 19.1–23.5% | 18.7–23.9% | 17.9–24.8% |
| 24 December 2019 | Ireland Thinks The Irish Daily Mail |
15.4% | 16.1–18.6% | 15.8–18.9% | 15.5–19.2% | 15.0–19.9% |
| 5–17 December 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
20.1% | 19.9–23.4% | 19.5–23.9% | 19.1–24.3% | 18.3–25.2% |
| 14–21 November 2019 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
11.2% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 1–12 November 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
17.3% | 17.3–20.6% | 16.8–21.1% | 16.5–21.5% | 15.7–22.4% |
| 17–24 October 2019 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
11.2% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 3–15 October 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
16.2% | 16.1–19.4% | 15.7–19.9% | 15.3–20.3% | 14.6–21.2% |
| 11–13 October 2019 | Ipsos MRBI The Irish Times |
14.1% | 12.9–15.5% | 12.6–15.9% | 12.3–16.3% | 11.7–16.9% |
| 5–17 September 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
20.2% | 20.3–23.9% | 19.8–24.4% | 19.4–24.8% | 18.6–25.7% |
| 5–12 September 2019 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
12.1% | 12.3–15.1% | 11.9–15.5% | 11.6–15.9% | 11.0–16.6% |
| 4–16 July 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
14.2% | 12.9–15.9% | 12.5–16.3% | 12.1–16.7% | 11.5–17.5% |
| 31 May–11 June 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
12.1% | 10.8–13.6% | 10.4–14.0% | 10.1–14.4% | 9.5–15.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Sinn Féin (GUE/NGL).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 20.5–21.5% | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 10% | 98% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 25% | 88% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 32% | 62% | Median |
| 24.5–25.5% | 21% | 30% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 8% | 9% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 3 seats (General Election of 24 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 6–7 April 2024 | Ireland Thinks The Journal |
6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 16–21 February 2024 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 5–7 |
| 2–7 February 2024 | Ireland Thinks The Journal |
6 | 6 | 6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 2–6 February 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 1–2 February 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
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| 19–24 January 2024 | Red C Business Post |
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| 6 January 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
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| 1–2 December 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 17–22 November 2023 | Red C Business Post |
5 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 2–3 November 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 20–25 October 2023 | Red C Business Post |
7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 28–29 September 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 26 September 2023 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
6 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| 7–12 September 2023 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 31 August–12 September 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 31 August–1 September 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 4–5 August 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| 28 June–12 July 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| 30 June–1 July 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 23 June 2023 | Red C Business Post |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 16–21 June 2023 | Red C Business Post |
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| 11–13 June 2023 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 2 June 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 19–24 May 2023 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 27 April–9 May 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| 5–6 May 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 21–26 April 2023 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 28 March–4 April 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 31 March–1 April 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 17–22 March 2023 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 4–14 March 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 3 March 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 |
| 17–22 February 2023 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 19–21 February 2023 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 2–14 February 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 2–3 February 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 20–25 January 2023 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 5–17 January 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 5–6 January 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 24 November–6 December 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6–7 |
| 1–2 December 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 18–23 November 2022 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 27 October–8 November 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 November 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| 23–25 October 2022 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
6 | 6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 3–15 October 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 1 October 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 1–6 September 2022 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 25 August–6 September 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes Sunday Times |
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| 2 September 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 6 August 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 10–12 July 2022 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 1 July 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 17–22 June 2022 | Red C Business Post |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
| 25 May–7 June 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6–8 |
| 4 June 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| 20–25 May 2022 | Red C Business Post |
7 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 28 April–10 May 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 7 May 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
6 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 22–27 April 2022 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 1 April 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 18–23 March 2022 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 24 February–8 March 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5–6 |
| 4 March 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 18–23 February 2022 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 27 January–8 February 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 5 February 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 21–26 January 2022 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 6–18 January 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 January 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 12 December 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 5–8 December 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
6 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| 25 November–8 December 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 19–25 November 2021 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 14 November 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 28 October–9 November 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| 22 October 2021 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 16 October 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
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| 30 September–12 October 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
|||||
| 2–5 October 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 18 September 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
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| 3–9 September 2021 | Red C Business Post |
|||||
| 26 August–8 September 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
|||||
| 21 August 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
|||||
| 17 July 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 1–13 July 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 26 June 2021 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 19 June 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
6 | 6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 14–15 June 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 28 May–8 June 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 21–27 May 2021 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 4–18 May 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| 15 May 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 16–22 April 2021 | Red C Business Post |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 14–15 April 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| 19–25 March 2021 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 20 March 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 18–25 February 2021 | Red C Business Post |
5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 22–23 February 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 12 February 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 21–28 January 2021 | Red C Business Post |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| 17 January 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 3–15 December 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 29 November 2020 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| 19–25 November 2020 | Red C Business Post |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4–6 |
| 24 October 2020 | Red C Business Post |
5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 17 October 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 3–6 October 2020 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
6 | 6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| 26 September 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 4–15 September 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4–6 |
| 9 September 2020 | Red C Business Post |
5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 21–22 August 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 17–28 July 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 17–18 July 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
4 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 19–20 June 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 14 June 2020 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
4 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 21–27 May 2020 | Red C Business Post |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 19–23 May 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
4 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 23–29 April 2020 | Red C Business Post |
5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 20–25 March 2020 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 27 February–10 March 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| 17–25 February 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| 16 February 2020 | Amárach Research Extra.ie |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 27 January–2 February 2020 | Survation Sinn Féin |
4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| 30 January–1 February 2020 | Ipsos MRBI The Irish Times |
4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| 25–30 January 2020 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 24–30 January 2020 | Panelbase The Times |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 1–25 January 2020 | Ireland Thinks The Irish Daily Mail |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 16–23 January 2020 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16–18 January 2020 | Ipsos MRBI The Irish Times |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 4–14 January 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 24 December 2019 | Ireland Thinks The Irish Daily Mail |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 5–17 December 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 14–21 November 2019 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 1–12 November 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 17–24 October 2019 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 3–15 October 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 11–13 October 2019 | Ipsos MRBI The Irish Times |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 0–3 |
| 5–17 September 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 5–12 September 2019 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–3 |
| 4–16 July 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 31 May–11 June 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
1 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Sinn Féin (GUE/NGL).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 7% | 97% | |
| 5 | 16% | 90% | |
| 6 | 74% | 74% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |