Uniunea Salvați România

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 12.4% (General Election of 1 December 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 13.0% 11.3–16.0% 10.9–16.3% 10.5–16.5% 9.9–16.8%
15–23 July 2025 INSOMAR 13.2% 11.9–14.7% 11.6–15.1% 11.3–15.5% 10.7–16.2%
10–12 July 2025 FlashData 16.0% 15.5–16.6% 15.3–16.7% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1%
4–10 July 2025 CURS 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.5–13.7% 10.2–14.1% 9.6–14.8%
20–26 June 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 13.0% 11.9–14.5% 11.6–14.9% 11.3–15.2% 10.7–15.9%
26–30 May 2025 INSCOP 12.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 May 2025 CURS 14.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.7% 12.2–16.0% 11.6–16.6%
26–28 May 2025 Sociopol 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.1–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
23–28 May 2025 Avangarde 15.0% 13.8–16.3% 13.4–16.7% 13.2–17.1% 12.6–17.7%
24–26 April 2025 FlashData 9.0% 8.6–9.4% 8.5–9.6% 8.4–9.7% 8.2–9.9%
3–5 April 2025 FlashData 14.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 March 2025 Verifield 12.9% 11.7–14.3% 11.3–14.7% 11.1–15.0% 10.5–15.7%
14–16 February 2025 FlashData 19.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–25 January 2025 CURS 13.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 January 2025 Avangarde 13.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Uniunea Salvați România.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0.2% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 2% 99.8%  
10.5–11.5% 12% 97%  
11.5–12.5% 23% 86% Last Result
12.5–13.5% 24% 62% Median
13.5–14.5% 14% 38%  
14.5–15.5% 7% 25%  
15.5–16.5% 16% 18%  
16.5–17.5% 2% 2%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 40 seats (General Election of 1 December 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 46 40–54 38–55 37–56 34–57
15–23 July 2025 INSOMAR 48 43–53 42–54 41–55 39–58
10–12 July 2025 FlashData 54 52–56 51–56 51–57 50–58
4–10 July 2025 CURS 41 37–46 36–47 35–48 33–51
20–26 June 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 45 41–50 39–51 38–52 37–55
26–30 May 2025 INSCOP          
26–30 May 2025 CURS 46 42–51 41–52 40–53 38–55
26–28 May 2025 Sociopol 44 39–49 38–50 37–52 35–54
23–28 May 2025 Avangarde 53 49–58 48–59 47–61 45–62
24–26 April 2025 FlashData 38 37–40 36–41 36–41 35–42
3–5 April 2025 FlashData          
24–28 March 2025 Verifield 42 38–47 38–49 37–50 36–52
14–16 February 2025 FlashData          
21–25 January 2025 CURS          
10–16 January 2025 Avangarde          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Uniunea Salvați România.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.1% 99.9%  
34 0.3% 99.8%  
35 0.6% 99.5%  
36 0.9% 98.9%  
37 2% 98%  
38 2% 96%  
39 3% 94%  
40 4% 90% Last Result
41 5% 86%  
42 7% 81%  
43 7% 74%  
44 7% 67%  
45 7% 60%  
46 6% 53% Median
47 6% 46%  
48 5% 41%  
49 6% 36%  
50 3% 30%  
51 3% 27%  
52 5% 24%  
53 5% 20%  
54 7% 15%  
55 5% 8%  
56 2% 3%  
57 0.8% 1.1%  
58 0.2% 0.3%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%