Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 36.3% | 33.0–42.6% | 32.3–43.5% | 31.8–44.1% | 30.7–45.1% |
1–31 December 2024 | Századvég | 34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–38.0% |
16–18 December 2024 | Társadalomkutató | 34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–38.0% |
9–11 December 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 37.0% | 35.1–39.0% | 34.5–39.6% | 34.0–40.0% | 33.2–41.0% |
29 November–6 December 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 42.6% | 41.0–44.3% | 40.5–44.7% | 40.1–45.1% | 39.3–45.9% |
28 November–5 December 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 37.0% | 35.1–39.0% | 34.5–39.6% | 34.0–40.0% | 33.2–41.0% |
20–30 November 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 38.6% | 36.7–40.6% | 36.1–41.2% | 35.6–41.7% | 34.7–42.6% |
25–27 November 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 36.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–26 November 2024 | Medián | 46.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–22 November 2024 | Társadalomkutató | 37.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–19 November 2024 | Századvég | 35.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–19 November 2024 | Publicus Research | 38.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–13 November 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–38.0% |
31 October–8 November 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 40.5% | 38.9–42.1% | 38.4–42.6% | 38.0–43.0% | 37.2–43.8% |
28 October–4 November 2024 | Medián | 46.0% | 44.0–48.0% | 43.4–48.6% | 42.9–49.1% | 42.0–50.1% |
1–31 October 2024 | Századvég | 34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–38.0% |
28–30 October 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 35.0% | 33.1–37.0% | 32.6–37.5% | 32.1–38.0% | 31.2–39.0% |
24–29 October 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 35.6% | 33.7–37.6% | 33.2–38.1% | 32.7–38.6% | 31.8–39.6% |
11–18 October 2024 | Publicus Research | 38.9% | 36.9–40.9% | 36.4–41.5% | 35.9–42.0% | 35.0–42.9% |
14–17 October 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 35.0% | 33.1–37.0% | 32.6–37.5% | 32.1–38.0% | 31.2–39.0% |
9–15 October 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 41.0% | 39.0–43.0% | 38.5–43.6% | 38.0–44.1% | 37.1–45.1% |
28 September–8 October 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 35.0% | 33.1–37.0% | 32.6–37.5% | 32.1–38.0% | 31.2–39.0% |
27 September–7 October 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 36.7% | 35.1–38.3% | 34.6–38.7% | 34.3–39.1% | 33.5–39.9% |
16–18 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 33.0% | 31.1–34.9% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.1–36.0% | 29.3–36.9% |
9–11 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 35.0% | 34.1–38.1% | 33.6–38.7% | 33.1–39.2% | 32.2–40.1% |
3–10 September 2024 | Medián | 38.9% | 36.9–40.9% | 36.4–41.5% | 35.9–42.0% | 35.0–42.9% |
28 August–6 September 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 33.8% | 32.3–35.4% | 31.8–35.8% | 31.4–36.2% | 30.7–37.0% |
21–31 August 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 32.9% | 31.0–34.9% | 30.5–35.4% | 30.1–35.9% | 29.2–36.8% |
24–31 July 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 33.8% | 32.3–35.4% | 31.8–35.8% | 31.4–36.2% | 30.7–37.0% |
15–17 July 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 29.0% | 27.2–30.9% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.3–31.9% | 25.4–32.8% |
4–10 July 2024 | Medián | 30.7% | 28.9–32.6% | 28.3–33.2% | 27.9–33.6% | 27.1–34.6% |
3–8 July 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 30.7% | 28.9–32.6% | 28.3–33.2% | 27.9–33.6% | 27.1–34.6% |
19–27 June 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 31.9% | 30.3–33.4% | 29.9–33.9% | 29.6–34.3% | 28.8–35.0% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
26.5–27.5% | 0% | 100% | |
27.5–28.5% | 0% | 100% | |
28.5–29.5% | 0% | 100% | |
29.5–30.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
30.5–31.5% | 2% | 99.6% | |
31.5–32.5% | 5% | 98% | |
32.5–33.5% | 9% | 93% | |
33.5–34.5% | 12% | 85% | |
34.5–35.5% | 13% | 72% | |
35.5–36.5% | 13% | 60% | Median |
36.5–37.5% | 12% | 47% | |
37.5–38.5% | 8% | 35% | |
38.5–39.5% | 5% | 26% | |
39.5–40.5% | 2% | 22% | |
40.5–41.5% | 3% | 19% | |
41.5–42.5% | 6% | 16% | |
42.5–43.5% | 6% | 10% | |
43.5–44.5% | 3% | 5% | |
44.5–45.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
45.5–46.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
46.5–47.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 |
1–31 December 2024 | Századvég | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
16–18 December 2024 | Társadalomkutató | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
9–11 December 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
29 November–6 December 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 |
28 November–5 December 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
20–30 November 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
25–27 November 2024 | Real-PR 93 | |||||
20–26 November 2024 | Medián | |||||
19–22 November 2024 | Társadalomkutató | |||||
14–19 November 2024 | Századvég | |||||
14–19 November 2024 | Publicus Research | |||||
11–13 November 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
31 October–8 November 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
28 October–4 November 2024 | Medián | 11 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
1–31 October 2024 | Századvég | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
28–30 October 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–9 |
24–29 October 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
11–18 October 2024 | Publicus Research | 10 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
14–17 October 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–10 |
9–15 October 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
28 September–8 October 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 9 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
27 September–7 October 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
16–18 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
9–11 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
3–10 September 2024 | Medián | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
28 August–6 September 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–10 |
21–31 August 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
24–31 July 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
15–17 July 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
4–10 July 2024 | Medián | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
3–8 July 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 9 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
19–27 June 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0% | 100% | |
4 | 0% | 100% | |
5 | 0% | 100% | |
6 | 0% | 100% | |
7 | 4% | 100% | |
8 | 33% | 96% | |
9 | 30% | 63% | Median |
10 | 20% | 33% | |
11 | 12% | 13% | Majority |
12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
13 | 0% | 0% |