Fianna Fáil (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 7 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 18.3% | 16.3–20.6% | 15.8–21.1% | 15.4–21.6% | 14.7–22.3% |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ipsos B&A The Irish Times |
17.0% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.3–18.9% | 15.0–19.2% | 14.4–20.0% |
| 2–3 October 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
20.0% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.4–21.8% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.5–22.8% |
| 4–9 September 2025 | RED C Business Post |
18.0% | 16.6–19.7% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.8–20.6% | 15.1–21.4% |
| 5 September 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
22.0% | 20.7–23.4% | 20.3–23.8% | 20.0–24.2% | 19.3–24.9% |
| 1 August 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
20.0% | 18.7–21.5% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.9–22.3% | 17.3–23.0% |
| 15 July 2025 | Ipsos B&A The Irish Times |
22.0% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.1–24.1% | 19.7–24.4% | 19.1–25.2% |
| 4 July 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
19.0% | 17.8–20.3% | 17.4–20.7% | 17.1–21.0% | 16.5–21.7% |
| 25 June 2025 | RED C Business Post |
19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 May 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
21.0% | 19.8–22.3% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% |
| 22 May 2025 | RED C Business Post |
20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 May 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
23.0% | 21.7–24.4% | 21.3–24.8% | 21.0–25.1% | 20.4–25.7% |
| 18–23 April 2025 | RED C Business Post |
20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 April 2025 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
22.0% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.1–24.1% | 19.7–24.4% | 19.1–25.2% |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
24.8% | 23.6–26.0% | 23.2–26.4% | 22.9–26.7% | 22.4–27.3% |
| 26 March 2025 | RED C Business Post |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 February 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
22.0% | 20.6–23.5% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.9–24.3% | 19.2–25.0% |
| 19 February 2025 | RED C Business Post |
20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 January–1 February 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
24.0% | 22.7–25.4% | 22.3–25.8% | 22.0–26.2% | 21.3–26.9% |
| 22 January 2025 | RED C Business Post |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 January 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
23.8% | 22.3–25.4% | 21.8–25.9% | 21.5–26.3% | 20.8–27.1% |
| 22–26 November 2024 | RED C Business Post |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 November 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
21.0% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.1–23.0% | 18.8–23.4% | 18.1–24.2% |
| 21–22 November 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
20.0% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.3–21.8% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.4–22.9% |
| 7–13 November 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 12–13 November 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
19.0% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.2–21.0% | 16.9–21.3% | 16.2–22.1% |
| 1–7 November 2024 | RED C Business Post |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 November 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
20.0% | 18.8–21.2% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.2–21.9% | 17.7–22.5% |
| 18–23 October 2024 | RED C Business Post |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–22 October 2024 | RED C Business Post |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 October 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.0–22.4% |
| 4 October 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
18.8% | 17.5–20.2% | 17.2–20.6% | 16.9–21.0% | 16.3–21.6% |
| 13–19 September 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 14–17 September 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
19.0% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.2–21.0% | 16.9–21.3% | 16.2–22.1% |
| 5–10 September 2024 | RED C Business Post |
18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
21.0% | 19.7–22.5% | 19.3–22.9% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.4–23.9% |
| 29–30 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
21.0% | 19.4–22.8% | 18.9–23.3% | 18.5–23.7% | 17.8–24.6% |
| 2 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
20.0% | 18.7–21.5% | 18.3–21.9% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.4–22.9% |
| 5 July 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
20.0% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.3–21.8% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.4–22.8% |
| 26 June 2024 | RED C Business Post |
19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Fianna Fáil (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 11% | 97% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 20% | 86% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 21% | 66% | Median |
| 18.5–19.5% | 19% | 46% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 16% | 27% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 9% | 11% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 7 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ipsos B&A The Irish Times |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 2–3 October 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 4–9 September 2025 | RED C Business Post |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 5 September 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 1 August 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 15 July 2025 | Ipsos B&A The Irish Times |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 4 July 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 25 June 2025 | RED C Business Post |
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| 30 May 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 22 May 2025 | RED C Business Post |
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| 1–2 May 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 18–23 April 2025 | RED C Business Post |
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| 17 April 2025 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 26 March 2025 | RED C Business Post |
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| 28 February 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 19 February 2025 | RED C Business Post |
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| 31 January–1 February 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 22 January 2025 | RED C Business Post |
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| 10–11 January 2025 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 22–26 November 2024 | RED C Business Post |
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| 20–23 November 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 21–22 November 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 7–13 November 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 12–13 November 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 1–7 November 2024 | RED C Business Post |
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| 1–2 November 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 18–23 October 2024 | RED C Business Post |
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| 16–22 October 2024 | RED C Business Post |
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| 10–16 October 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 4 October 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 13–19 September 2024 | Opinions The Sunday Times |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 14–17 September 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 5–10 September 2024 | RED C Business Post |
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| 31 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 29–30 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 2 August 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 5 July 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 26 June 2024 | RED C Business Post |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Fianna Fáil (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 85% | 99.5% | Median |
| 4 | 15% | 15% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |