Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue (S&D)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 23.3% 21.7–24.9% 21.3–25.3% 21.0–25.7% 20.4–26.4%
6 November–3 December 2024 Taloustutkimus
Yle
24.0% 22.7–25.3% 22.4–25.7% 22.1–26.0% 21.5–26.6%
14 October–15 November 2024 Verian
Helsingin Sanomat
22.5% 21.3–23.8% 21.0–24.1% 20.7–24.4% 20.2–25.0%
7 October–5 November 2024 Taloustutkimus
Yle
24.3% 23.0–25.7% 22.6–26.1% 22.3–26.4% 21.7–27.1%
16 September–11 October 2024 Verian
Helsingin Sanomat
22.8% 21.5–24.1% 21.2–24.5% 20.9–24.8% 20.3–25.5%
4 September–1 October 2024 Taloustutkimus
Yle
22.6% 21.4–23.9% 21.1–24.2% 20.8–24.5% 20.2–25.1%
19 August–13 September 2024 Verian
Helsingin Sanomat
22.0% 21.0–23.1% 20.7–23.4% 20.4–23.7% 19.9–24.3%
12 August–3 September 2024 Taloustutkimus
Yle
22.3% 21.0–23.7% 20.7–24.0% 20.4–24.4% 19.8–25.0%
15 July–16 August 2024 Verian
Helsingin Sanomat
20.9% 19.9–22.0% 19.6–22.3% 19.3–22.5% 18.9–23.0%
8 July–6 August 2024 Taloustutkimus
Yle
20.4% 19.2–21.7% 18.9–22.0% 18.6–22.3% 18.1–22.9%
17 June–12 July 2024 Verian
Helsingin Sanomat
20.8% 19.8–21.9% 19.5–22.2% 19.2–22.5% 18.7–23.0%
7 June–2 July 2024 Taloustutkimus
Yle
20.1% 19.0–21.3% 18.6–21.7% 18.4–22.0% 17.8–22.6%
20 May–14 June 2024 Verian
Helsingin Sanomat
21.2% 20.1–22.3% 19.8–22.6% 19.6–22.9% 19.1–23.4%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue (S&D).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0.7% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 7% 99.2%  
21.5–22.5% 21% 92%  
22.5–23.5% 30% 71% Median
23.5–24.5% 26% 41%  
24.5–25.5% 12% 16%  
25.5–26.5% 3% 3%  
26.5–27.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
6 November–3 December 2024 Taloustutkimus
Yle
5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
14 October–15 November 2024 Verian
Helsingin Sanomat
4 4 4 4–5 4–5
7 October–5 November 2024 Taloustutkimus
Yle
5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
16 September–11 October 2024 Verian
Helsingin Sanomat
4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
4 September–1 October 2024 Taloustutkimus
Yle
4 4 4 4–5 4–5
19 August–13 September 2024 Verian
Helsingin Sanomat
4 4 4 4 4–5
12 August–3 September 2024 Taloustutkimus
Yle
4 4 4 3–4 3–5
15 July–16 August 2024 Verian
Helsingin Sanomat
4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
8 July–6 August 2024 Taloustutkimus
Yle
3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
17 June–12 July 2024 Verian
Helsingin Sanomat
4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
7 June–2 July 2024 Taloustutkimus
Yle
4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
20 May–14 June 2024 Verian
Helsingin Sanomat
4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue (S&D).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 69% 99.9% Median
5 31% 31%  
6 0% 0%