Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 20.9% | 19.1–24.1% | 18.6–24.9% | 18.2–25.6% | 17.3–26.7% |
17–18 December 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
21.0% | 19.6–22.6% | 19.2–23.0% | 18.9–23.4% | 18.2–24.1% |
16–17 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
9–10 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–4 December 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
20.0% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.4–22.9% | 16.6–23.9% |
2–4 December 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.7% | 17.9–24.5% |
2–3 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
25–26 November 2024 | OGM | 24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
25–26 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
18–19 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–13 November 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
11–12 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% |
4–5 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
28–29 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% |
25–28 October 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
21–22 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–15 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7–8 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.5–28.6% |
30 September–1 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–22 September 2024 | IFDD ATV, Kronen Zeitung and PULS 24 |
25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
16–18 September 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
25.0% | 23.4–26.9% | 22.9–27.4% | 22.5–27.8% | 21.7–28.7% |
9–17 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | 23.7–26.2% | 23.4–26.6% | 23.1–26.9% | 22.5–27.5% |
5–11 September 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
25.0% | 23.1–27.0% | 22.6–27.6% | 22.1–28.1% | 21.2–29.1% |
9–11 September 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
9–10 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–9 September 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
2–6 September 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
28 August–4 September 2024 | Unique Research profil |
23.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–4 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26 August–3 September 2024 | Triple M News |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
1–31 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
22.9% | 20.7–25.4% | 20.1–26.1% | 19.5–26.7% | 18.5–28.0% |
26–27 August 2024 | Market | 23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% |
23–26 August 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
25.0% | 23.3–26.9% | 22.8–27.4% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
19–22 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–20 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% |
5–7 August 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.0–22.4% |
5–6 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–30 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% |
25–26 July 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
24.9% | 23.3–26.6% | 22.8–27.1% | 22.4–27.6% | 21.7–28.4% |
15–24 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–21 July 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
8–12 July 2024 | Unique Research Kronen Zeitung |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.6% |
8–11 July 2024 | Market Der Standard |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–10 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–2 July 2024 | Market | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–26 June 2024 | OGM KURIER |
24.0% | 22.4–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.5–26.8% | 20.7–27.6% |
24–25 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–19 June 2024 | Unique Research profil |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–19 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–13 June 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–11 June 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–11 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
17.5–18.5% | 4% | 99.2% | |
18.5–19.5% | 13% | 96% | |
19.5–20.5% | 23% | 83% | |
20.5–21.5% | 22% | 59% | Median |
21.5–22.5% | 14% | 37% | |
22.5–23.5% | 9% | 23% | |
23.5–24.5% | 7% | 14% | |
24.5–25.5% | 4% | 7% | |
25.5–26.5% | 2% | 3% | |
26.5–27.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
27.5–28.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
28.5–29.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
17–18 December 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
16–17 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
9–10 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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2–4 December 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
2–4 December 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
2–3 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
25–26 November 2024 | OGM | 5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
25–26 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
18–19 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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11–13 November 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
11–12 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
5 | 5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
4–5 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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28–29 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
5 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
25–28 October 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
21–22 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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14–15 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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7–8 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
30 September–1 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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19–22 September 2024 | IFDD ATV, Kronen Zeitung and PULS 24 |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
16–18 September 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
9–17 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
5–11 September 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
9–11 September 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
9–10 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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2–9 September 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
2–6 September 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
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28 August–4 September 2024 | Unique Research profil |
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2–4 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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26 August–3 September 2024 | Triple M News |
5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
1–31 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
26–27 August 2024 | Market | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
23–26 August 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
19–22 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
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19–20 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
5–7 August 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
5–6 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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22–30 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–6 |
25–26 July 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
15–24 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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12–21 July 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
8–12 July 2024 | Unique Research Kronen Zeitung |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
8–11 July 2024 | Market Der Standard |
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8–10 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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1–2 July 2024 | Market | |||||
24–26 June 2024 | OGM KURIER |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
24–25 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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12–19 June 2024 | Unique Research profil |
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10–19 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
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10–13 June 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
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10–11 June 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
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10–11 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0.4% | 100% | |
4 | 53% | 99.6% | Median |
5 | 45% | 46% | |
6 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
7 | 0% | 0% |