Párbeszéd

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 25.6% (General Election of 6 April 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
28 March–3 April 2018 Publicus Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2018 Századvég Alapítvány 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–27 March 2018 Medián
hvg.hu		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 March 2018 Iránytű Intézet
Magyar Nemzet		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–23 March 2018 Republikon Intézet
24.hu		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–19 March 2018 Nézőpont Intézet 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–14 March 2018 ZRI Závecz Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–14 March 2018 Publicus Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–7 March 2018 Medián
hvg.hu		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–5 March 2018 Nézőpont Intézet 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–28 February 2018 Századvég Alapítvány 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2018 Iránytű Intézet
Magyar Nemzet		 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%
9–22 February 2018 Republikon Intézet
24.hu		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–21 February 2018 Nézőpont Intézet 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–15 February 2018 ZRI Závecz Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–14 February 2018 Publicus Research 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%
6–13 February 2018 Századvég Alapítvány 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 January 2018 Republikon Intézet
24.hu		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–24 January 2018 Századvég Alapítvány 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%
11–23 January 2018 TÁRKI 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
19–23 January 2018 Medián
hvg.hu		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–20 January 2018 ZRI Závecz Research 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%
3–18 January 2018 Nézőpont Intézet 0.9% 0.7–1.3% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
10–16 January 2018 Publicus Research 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
5–9 January 2018 Iránytű Intézet 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
27 December 2017–2 January 2018 Századvég Alapítvány 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%
10–20 December 2017 Republikon Intézet
24.hu		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–18 December 2017 Nézőpont Intézet 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
6–14 December 2017 ZRI Závecz Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–13 December 2017 Publicus Research 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%
6–12 December 2017 Iránytű Intézet 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
18–30 November 2017 Republikon Intézet
24.hu		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 November 2017 Medián
hvg.hu		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–30 November 2017 Iránytű Intézet 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
20–28 November 2017 Századvég Alapítvány 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–19 November 2017 Nézőpont Intézet 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.5% 0.5–1.7%
11–15 November 2017 Publicus Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–14 November 2017 ZRI Závecz Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Párbeszéd.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100%  
0.5–1.5% 12% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 74% 88% Median
2.5–3.5% 14% 14%  
3.5–4.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 0%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 0%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 0%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 0%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 0%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 0%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 0%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 0%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 0%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 0%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 0%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 0%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 0%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 0%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 0%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 0%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Seats

Last result: 1 seats (General Election of 6 April 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0 0 0 0 0
28 March–3 April 2018 Publicus Research          
1–31 March 2018 Századvég Alapítvány          
23–27 March 2018 Medián
hvg.hu		          
21–24 March 2018 Iránytű Intézet
Magyar Nemzet		          
10–23 March 2018 Republikon Intézet
24.hu		          
3–19 March 2018 Nézőpont Intézet          
7–14 March 2018 ZRI Závecz Research          
9–14 March 2018 Publicus Research          
2–7 March 2018 Medián
hvg.hu		          
1–5 March 2018 Nézőpont Intézet          
26–28 February 2018 Századvég Alapítvány          
1–28 February 2018 Iránytű Intézet
Magyar Nemzet		 0 0 0 0 0
9–22 February 2018 Republikon Intézet
24.hu		          
3–21 February 2018 Nézőpont Intézet          
7–15 February 2018 ZRI Závecz Research          
9–14 February 2018 Publicus Research 0 0 0 0 0
6–13 February 2018 Századvég Alapítvány          
1–31 January 2018 Republikon Intézet
24.hu		          
17–24 January 2018 Századvég Alapítvány 0 0 0 0 0
11–23 January 2018 TÁRKI 0 0 0 0 0
19–23 January 2018 Medián
hvg.hu		          
1–20 January 2018 ZRI Závecz Research 0 0 0 0 0
3–18 January 2018 Nézőpont Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
10–16 January 2018 Publicus Research 0 0 0 0 0
5–9 January 2018 Iránytű Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
27 December 2017–2 January 2018 Századvég Alapítvány 0 0 0 0 0
10–20 December 2017 Republikon Intézet
24.hu		          
1–18 December 2017 Nézőpont Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
6–14 December 2017 ZRI Závecz Research          
8–13 December 2017 Publicus Research 0 0 0 0 0
6–12 December 2017 Iránytű Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
18–30 November 2017 Republikon Intézet
24.hu		          
1–30 November 2017 Medián
hvg.hu		          
24–30 November 2017 Iránytű Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
20–28 November 2017 Századvég Alapítvány          
1–19 November 2017 Nézőpont Intézet 0 0 0 0 0
11–15 November 2017 Publicus Research          
6–14 November 2017 ZRI Závecz Research          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Párbeszéd.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result