Björt framtíð
Voting Intentions
Last result: 7.2% (General Election of 29 October 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1.8% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.8% | 1.1–3.0% | 0.9–3.4% |
| 23–27 October 2017 | Zenter | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% |
| 26–27 October 2017 | MMR | 2.2% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| 23–27 October 2017 | Gallup | 1.5% | 1.2–1.9% | 1.1–2.0% | 1.1–2.1% | 0.9–2.3% |
| 22–25 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
1.3% | 1.1–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% |
| 23–24 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 1.9% | 1.5–2.4% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% |
| 20–23 October 2017 | MMR | 1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% |
| 13–19 October 2017 | Gallup | 1.2% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% |
| 16–19 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
1.5% | 1.2–1.9% | 1.1–2.0% | 1.0–2.1% | 0.9–2.4% |
| 17–18 October 2017 | MMR | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| 16 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 2.1% | 1.6–2.9% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.3–3.4% | 1.1–3.8% |
| 29 September–12 October 2017 | Gallup | 3.0% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% |
| 9–12 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
2.6% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.7–4.0% |
| 6–11 October 2017 | MMR | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.5% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.8–6.2% |
| 10 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 3.6% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.5–5.1% | 2.2–5.7% |
| 2–6 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| 2–3 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.9–3.8% | 1.7–4.0% | 1.5–4.5% |
| 26–28 September 2017 | MMR | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.5–4.0% |
| 15–28 September 2017 | Gallup | 4.6% | 4.1–5.2% | 4.0–5.4% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% |
| 25–28 September 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.3% |
| 19–21 September 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.8–4.8% |
| 15–18 September 2017 | Zenter | 5.5% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 3.9–7.7% |
| 18 September 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 7.1% | 6.1–8.4% | 5.8–8.8% | 5.5–9.1% | 5.1–9.8% |
| 10–30 August 2017 | Gallup | 2.8% | 2.4–3.3% | 2.3–3.5% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.0–3.9% |
| 15–18 August 2017 | MMR | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.4% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Björt framtíð.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 33% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 57% | 67% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 9% | 9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Seats
Last result: 4 seats (General Election of 29 October 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–27 October 2017 | Zenter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26–27 October 2017 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–27 October 2017 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22–25 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–24 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20–23 October 2017 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13–19 October 2017 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–19 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17–18 October 2017 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 September–12 October 2017 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9–12 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–11 October 2017 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 10 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 2–6 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2–3 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26–28 September 2017 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–28 September 2017 | Gallup | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 25–28 September 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 19–21 September 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–18 September 2017 | Zenter | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 18 September 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 4 | 4–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 10–30 August 2017 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–18 August 2017 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–3 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Björt framtíð.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |