Miðflokkurinn
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 29 October 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9.9% | 8.8–11.7% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.4–12.7% | 8.0–13.6% |
| 23–27 October 2017 | Zenter | 10.2% | 9.0–11.5% | 8.7–11.9% | 8.4–12.3% | 7.9–12.9% |
| 26–27 October 2017 | MMR | 11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.6% | 9.0–14.3% |
| 23–27 October 2017 | Gallup | 9.7% | 8.9–10.5% | 8.7–10.8% | 8.5–11.0% | 8.1–11.4% |
| 22–25 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
9.3% | 8.6–10.1% | 8.3–10.3% | 8.2–10.5% | 7.8–11.0% |
| 23–24 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 9.6% | 8.7–10.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.3–11.2% | 7.9–11.7% |
| 20–23 October 2017 | MMR | 12.4% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.7–14.2% | 10.4–14.6% | 9.9–15.3% |
| 13–19 October 2017 | Gallup | 9.4% | 8.6–10.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.1–10.9% | 7.7–11.4% |
| 16–19 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
9.8% | 9.0–10.7% | 8.7–11.0% | 8.6–11.2% | 8.2–11.6% |
| 17–18 October 2017 | MMR | 11.0% | 9.9–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 16 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 10.7% | 9.4–12.2% | 9.0–12.6% | 8.7–13.0% | 8.1–13.7% |
| 29 September–12 October 2017 | Gallup | 9.5% | 8.7–10.3% | 8.6–10.6% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.0–11.2% |
| 9–12 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
6.4% | 5.6–7.4% | 5.4–7.6% | 5.2–7.9% | 4.8–8.4% |
| 6–11 October 2017 | MMR | 10.7% | 9.5–12.0% | 9.1–12.4% | 8.9–12.8% | 8.3–13.4% |
| 10 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 9.2% | 8.0–10.7% | 7.7–11.1% | 7.4–11.4% | 6.9–12.1% |
| 2–6 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
9.4% | 8.3–10.8% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.7–11.5% | 7.2–12.1% |
| 2–3 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 8.9% | 7.7–10.3% | 7.4–10.7% | 7.1–11.1% | 6.6–11.8% |
| 26–28 September 2017 | MMR | 7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
| 15–28 September 2017 | Gallup | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.9% |
| 25–28 September 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% | 3.5–6.2% | 3.1–6.7% |
| 19–21 September 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 September 2017 | Zenter | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18 September 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–30 August 2017 | Gallup | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 August 2017 | MMR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Miðflokkurinn.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 31% | 95% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 36% | 64% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 17% | 29% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 8% | 12% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 29 October 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| 23–27 October 2017 | Zenter | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| 26–27 October 2017 | MMR | 8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 |
| 23–27 October 2017 | Gallup | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 22–25 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 23–24 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 20–23 October 2017 | MMR | 8 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 6–12 |
| 13–19 October 2017 | Gallup | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 16–19 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 17–18 October 2017 | MMR | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 |
| 16 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 |
| 29 September–12 October 2017 | Gallup | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 9–12 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–5 |
| 6–11 October 2017 | MMR | 7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–9 |
| 10 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| 2–6 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 2–3 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| 26–28 September 2017 | MMR | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
| 15–28 September 2017 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25–28 September 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 19–21 September 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
|||||
| 15–18 September 2017 | Zenter | |||||
| 18 September 2017 | Fréttablaðið | |||||
| 10–30 August 2017 | Gallup | |||||
| 15–18 August 2017 | MMR |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Miðflokkurinn.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 6% | 100% | |
| 6 | 45% | 94% | Median |
| 7 | 29% | 49% | |
| 8 | 18% | 20% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |