Samfylkingin

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 5.7% (General Election of 29 October 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 14.7% 12.4–16.1% 11.8–16.5% 11.3–16.8% 10.5–17.4%
23–27 October 2017 Zenter 14.7% 13.3–16.2% 12.9–16.6% 12.6–17.0% 11.9–17.8%
26–27 October 2017 MMR 12.4% 11.2–13.9% 10.8–14.3% 10.5–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
23–27 October 2017 Gallup 15.5% 14.5–16.5% 14.2–16.8% 14.0–17.1% 13.5–17.6%
22–25 October 2017 Félagsvísindastofnun
Morgunblaðið		 15.3% 14.4–16.3% 14.1–16.6% 13.9–16.8% 13.4–17.3%
23–24 October 2017 Fréttablaðið 14.3% 13.2–15.5% 12.9–15.8% 12.7–16.1% 12.2–16.7%
20–23 October 2017 MMR 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.4% 11.5–15.8% 10.9–16.5%
13–19 October 2017 Gallup 13.3% 12.3–14.4% 12.0–14.7% 11.8–15.0% 11.3–15.5%
16–19 October 2017 Félagsvísindastofnun
Morgunblaðið		 15.6% 14.6–16.7% 14.3–17.0% 14.1–17.3% 13.6–17.8%
17–18 October 2017 MMR 15.8% 14.4–17.4% 14.0–17.8% 13.7–18.2% 13.0–19.0%
16 October 2017 Fréttablaðið 10.4% 9.2–11.9% 8.8–12.3% 8.5–12.7% 7.9–13.5%
29 September–12 October 2017 Gallup 13.4% 12.5–14.4% 12.3–14.6% 12.1–14.9% 11.7–15.3%
9–12 October 2017 Félagsvísindastofnun
Morgunblaðið		 15.3% 14.0–16.6% 13.7–17.0% 13.4–17.4% 12.8–18.0%
6–11 October 2017 MMR 13.0% 11.7–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.3% 10.5–16.0%
10 October 2017 Fréttablaðið 8.3% 7.2–9.7% 6.9–10.1% 6.6–10.5% 6.1–11.2%
2–6 October 2017 Félagsvísindastofnun
Morgunblaðið		 10.8% 9.6–12.2% 9.3–12.6% 9.0–13.0% 8.4–13.7%
2–3 October 2017 Fréttablaðið 10.6% 9.3–12.1% 9.0–12.6% 8.7–13.0% 8.1–13.7%
26–28 September 2017 MMR 10.4% 9.3–11.7% 8.9–12.1% 8.7–12.4% 8.1–13.1%
15–28 September 2017 Gallup 9.3% 8.6–10.1% 8.4–10.3% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.9%
25–28 September 2017 Félagsvísindastofnun
Morgunblaðið		 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.5–9.9%
19–21 September 2017 Félagsvísindastofnun
Morgunblaðið		 7.9% 6.9–9.2% 6.6–9.6% 6.4–9.9% 5.9–10.5%
15–18 September 2017 Zenter 9.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.6–10.7% 7.3–11.0% 6.9–11.6%
18 September 2017 Fréttablaðið 5.1% 4.3–6.3% 4.0–6.6% 3.8–6.9% 3.4–7.5%
10–30 August 2017 Gallup 9.7% 8.9–10.6% 8.7–10.8% 8.5–11.0% 8.2–11.4%
15–18 August 2017 MMR 10.6% 9.4–12.0% 9.1–12.4% 8.8–12.7% 8.3–13.4%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Samfylkingin.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5.5–6.5% 0% 100% Last Result
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0.5% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 3% 99.5%  
11.5–12.5% 8% 96%  
12.5–13.5% 12% 89%  
13.5–14.5% 22% 76%  
14.5–15.5% 31% 54% Median
15.5–16.5% 19% 23%  
16.5–17.5% 4% 4%  
17.5–18.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 3 seats (General Election of 29 October 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 10 8–11 8–12 7–12 7–12
23–27 October 2017 Zenter 10 9–11 9–12 8–12 8–12
26–27 October 2017 MMR 8 7–9 7–10 7–10 6–10
23–27 October 2017 Gallup 11 10–12 10–12 9–12 9–12
22–25 October 2017 Félagsvísindastofnun
Morgunblaðið		 10 9–11 9–11 9–12 9–12
23–24 October 2017 Fréttablaðið 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–12
20–23 October 2017 MMR 9 8–11 8–11 7–11 7–12
13–19 October 2017 Gallup 8 8–9 7–10 7–10 7–11
16–19 October 2017 Félagsvísindastofnun
Morgunblaðið		 11 10–12 10–12 10–12 9–12
17–18 October 2017 MMR 11 9–12 9–12 9–12 8–13
16 October 2017 Fréttablaðið 7 6–8 6–8 6–9 5–9
29 September–12 October 2017 Gallup 9 8–9 8–10 8–11 7–11
9–12 October 2017 Félagsvísindastofnun
Morgunblaðið		 10 9–12 9–12 9–12 8–13
6–11 October 2017 MMR 9 8–10 8–10 7–11 7–12
10 October 2017 Fréttablaðið 6 5–6 4–7 4–7 4–8
2–6 October 2017 Félagsvísindastofnun
Morgunblaðið		 8 7–8 6–8 6–8 6–9
2–3 October 2017 Fréttablaðið 7 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–9
26–28 September 2017 MMR 7 6–8 6–8 6–8 5–9
15–28 September 2017 Gallup 6 6–7 6–7 6–7 5–8
25–28 September 2017 Félagsvísindastofnun
Morgunblaðið		 5 4–6 4–6 3–6 3–7
19–21 September 2017 Félagsvísindastofnun
Morgunblaðið		 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 3–7
15–18 September 2017 Zenter 6 5–7 5–7 5–7 4–8
18 September 2017 Fréttablaðið 3 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–5
10–30 August 2017 Gallup 7 6–7 6–7 6–8 5–8
15–18 August 2017 MMR 7 6–8 6–8 6–9 5–9

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Samfylkingin.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 100%  
7 3% 99.9%  
8 10% 97%  
9 23% 87%  
10 31% 63% Median
11 24% 32%  
12 8% 8%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0%