Viðreisn
Voting Intentions
Last result: 10.5% (General Election of 29 October 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.9% | 6.8–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.1–9.5% | 5.6–10.0% |
| 23–27 October 2017 | Zenter | 7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.6% | 5.6–8.9% | 5.2–9.5% |
| 26–27 October 2017 | MMR | 8.1% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 23–27 October 2017 | Gallup | 8.2% | 7.5–9.0% | 7.3–9.3% | 7.1–9.5% | 6.8–9.9% |
| 22–25 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
8.3% | 7.6–9.1% | 7.4–9.3% | 7.2–9.5% | 6.9–9.9% |
| 23–24 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 7.5% | 6.7–8.4% | 6.5–8.7% | 6.3–8.9% | 5.9–9.3% |
| 20–23 October 2017 | MMR | 5.5% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.7% |
| 13–19 October 2017 | Gallup | 5.8% | 5.2–6.6% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.8–7.0% | 4.5–7.4% |
| 16–19 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
5.7% | 5.1–6.5% | 4.9–6.7% | 4.8–6.8% | 4.5–7.2% |
| 17–18 October 2017 | MMR | 6.7% | 5.7–7.8% | 5.5–8.1% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–8.9% |
| 16 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 5.0% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.7–6.7% | 3.3–7.3% |
| 29 September–12 October 2017 | Gallup | 4.8% | 4.3–5.4% | 4.1–5.6% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.7–6.1% |
| 9–12 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
3.4% | 2.9–4.2% | 2.7–4.4% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.3–5.0% |
| 6–11 October 2017 | MMR | 3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.5% |
| 10 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 3.4% | 2.7–4.3% | 2.5–4.6% | 2.3–4.8% | 2.0–5.4% |
| 2–6 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.1–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 2–3 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 3.0% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.8–4.9% |
| 26–28 September 2017 | MMR | 4.9% | 4.2–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| 15–28 September 2017 | Gallup | 3.6% | 3.1–4.1% | 3.0–4.3% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.7% |
| 25–28 September 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
4.8% | 4.0–5.9% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.6–6.4% | 3.3–6.9% |
| 19–21 September 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.4% | 4.6–7.7% | 4.2–8.3% |
| 15–18 September 2017 | Zenter | 2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.6–4.4% |
| 18 September 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 5.2% | 4.4–6.4% | 4.1–6.7% | 3.9–7.0% | 3.5–7.6% |
| 10–30 August 2017 | Gallup | 4.8% | 4.2–5.4% | 4.1–5.6% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.7–6.1% |
| 15–18 August 2017 | MMR | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.4% | 4.6–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Viðreisn.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 27% | 93% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 46% | 67% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 19% | 21% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 7 seats (General Election of 29 October 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
| 23–27 October 2017 | Zenter | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| 26–27 October 2017 | MMR | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| 23–27 October 2017 | Gallup | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 22–25 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 23–24 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 20–23 October 2017 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 13–19 October 2017 | Gallup | 3 | 3–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 16–19 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 17–18 October 2017 | MMR | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 0–6 |
| 16 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 29 September–12 October 2017 | Gallup | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 9–12 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–11 October 2017 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 10 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 2–6 October 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2–3 October 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26–28 September 2017 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 15–28 September 2017 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25–28 September 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 19–21 September 2017 | Félagsvísindastofnun Morgunblaðið |
3 | 3–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 15–18 September 2017 | Zenter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 September 2017 | Fréttablaðið | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 10–30 August 2017 | Gallup | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 15–18 August 2017 | MMR | 4 | 3–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Viðreisn.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 16% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 60% | 83% | Median |
| 6 | 23% | 24% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |