Fianna Fáil (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 22.3% (General Election of 24 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 17.7% | 16.4–19.1% | 16.0–19.5% | 15.7–19.9% | 15.1–20.6% |
| 6–7 April 2024 | Ireland Thinks The Journal |
17.7% | 16.4–19.1% | 16.0–19.5% | 15.7–19.9% | 15.1–20.6% |
| 16–21 February 2024 | Red C Business Post |
17.0% | 15.5–18.6% | 15.1–19.1% | 14.7–19.5% | 14.0–20.3% |
| 2–7 February 2024 | Ireland Thinks The Journal |
19.6% | 18.2–21.1% | 17.8–21.5% | 17.4–21.9% | 16.8–22.6% |
| 2–6 February 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
20.7% | 19.2–22.2% | 18.8–22.7% | 18.4–23.1% | 17.7–23.9% |
| 1–2 February 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
17.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–24 January 2024 | Red C Business Post |
17.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6 January 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
17.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 December 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
19.6% | 17.5–20.3% | 17.1–20.7% | 16.8–21.0% | 16.2–21.8% |
| 17–22 November 2023 | Red C Business Post |
16.8% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| 2–3 November 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
18.8% | 16.8–19.4% | 16.4–19.8% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.5–20.8% |
| 20–25 October 2023 | Red C Business Post |
15.8% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 13.0–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 28–29 September 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
17.7% | 15.6–18.4% | 15.3–18.9% | 15.0–19.2% | 14.3–19.9% |
| 26 September 2023 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
20.3% | 18.6–21.6% | 18.2–22.0% | 17.8–22.4% | 17.2–23.1% |
| 7–12 September 2023 | Red C Business Post |
16.7% | 14.7–17.7% | 14.3–18.1% | 14.0–18.5% | 13.3–19.3% |
| 31 August–12 September 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
21.6% | 19.5–23.0% | 19.1–23.6% | 18.7–24.0% | 17.9–24.9% |
| 31 August–1 September 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
18.9% | 17.0–19.9% | 16.7–20.3% | 16.3–20.7% | 15.7–21.4% |
| 4–5 August 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
18.7% | 16.7–19.4% | 16.3–19.9% | 16.0–20.2% | 15.4–20.9% |
| 28 June–12 July 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
24.3% | 22.2–25.8% | 21.7–26.4% | 21.3–26.8% | 20.5–27.8% |
| 30 June–1 July 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
19.9% | 17.5–20.6% | 17.1–21.0% | 16.7–21.4% | 16.0–22.2% |
| 23 June 2023 | Red C Business Post |
16.7% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.1% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 16–21 June 2023 | Red C Business Post |
16.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 June 2023 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
21.9% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.1–23.0% | 18.8–23.4% | 18.1–24.2% |
| 2 June 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
19.7% | 17.4–20.4% | 17.0–20.8% | 16.7–21.2% | 16.0–22.0% |
| 19–24 May 2023 | Red C Business Post |
15.8% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 13.0–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 27 April–9 May 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
22.5% | 20.3–23.8% | 19.8–24.3% | 19.4–24.8% | 18.6–25.7% |
| 5–6 May 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
19.8% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.2–20.9% | 16.8–21.3% | 16.2–22.1% |
| 21–26 April 2023 | Red C Business Post |
16.7% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.3–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.3–19.2% |
| 28 March–4 April 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
21.7% | 19.6–23.1% | 19.1–23.6% | 18.7–24.0% | 17.9–24.9% |
| 31 March–1 April 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
16.9% | 14.8–17.6% | 14.4–18.1% | 14.1–18.5% | 13.5–19.2% |
| 17–22 March 2023 | Red C Business Post |
15.8% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 4–14 March 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
20.7% | 18.4–21.8% | 18.0–22.3% | 17.6–22.7% | 16.9–23.6% |
| 3 March 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
20.5% | 17.6–20.6% | 17.2–21.0% | 16.9–21.4% | 16.2–22.1% |
| 17–22 February 2023 | Red C Business Post |
17.6% | 15.6–18.6% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.2–20.3% |
| 19–21 February 2023 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
18.1% | 16.5–19.3% | 16.1–19.7% | 15.8–20.1% | 15.1–20.8% |
| 2–14 February 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
24.4% | 22.3–25.9% | 21.8–26.4% | 21.3–26.9% | 20.5–27.8% |
| 2–3 February 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
18.6% | 16.6–19.5% | 16.2–19.9% | 15.9–20.3% | 15.3–21.0% |
| 20–25 January 2023 | Red C Business Post |
15.8% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 13.0–17.4% | 12.3–18.2% |
| 5–17 January 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
25.4% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.8–27.4% | 22.3–27.9% | 21.5–28.8% |
| 5–6 January 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
16.4% | 14.7–17.5% | 14.3–18.0% | 14.0–18.3% | 13.4–19.1% |
| 24 November–6 December 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
21.2% | 19.4–22.8% | 18.9–23.3% | 18.5–23.8% | 17.7–24.7% |
| 1–2 December 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
17.5% | 15.6–18.2% | 15.3–18.6% | 15.0–19.0% | 14.4–19.6% |
| 18–23 November 2022 | Red C Business Post |
15.5% | 13.8–16.8% | 13.4–17.2% | 13.1–17.6% | 12.5–18.3% |
| 27 October–8 November 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
23.3% | 21.3–24.8% | 20.8–25.3% | 20.4–25.8% | 19.6–26.7% |
| 4 November 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
17.4% | 15.4–18.5% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.7–19.3% | 14.0–20.1% |
| 23–25 October 2022 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
21.3% | 19.4–22.4% | 19.0–22.8% | 18.6–23.2% | 18.0–24.0% |
| 3–15 October 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes Sunday Times |
22.3% | 20.2–23.7% | 19.8–24.2% | 19.4–24.7% | 18.6–25.6% |
| 1 October 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
17.4% | 15.7–18.4% | 15.3–18.8% | 15.0–19.2% | 14.4–19.9% |
| 1–6 September 2022 | Red C Business Post |
17.6% | 15.6–18.6% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.5% | 14.2–20.3% |
| 25 August–6 September 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes Sunday Times |
24.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 September 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
16.3% | 14.4–17.4% | 14.0–17.9% | 13.6–18.3% | 13.0–19.1% |
| 6 August 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
17.2% | 15.2–18.3% | 14.8–18.8% | 14.4–19.2% | 13.7–20.0% |
| 10–12 July 2022 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
20.2% | 18.4–21.4% | 18.0–21.8% | 17.7–22.2% | 17.0–22.9% |
| 1 July 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
15.4% | 13.7–16.4% | 13.4–16.9% | 13.0–17.2% | 12.4–17.9% |
| 17–22 June 2022 | Red C Business Post |
14.5% | 12.8–15.7% | 12.4–16.1% | 12.1–16.4% | 11.5–17.2% |
| 25 May–7 June 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
21.8% | 20.1–23.6% | 19.6–24.1% | 19.2–24.6% | 18.4–25.5% |
| 4 June 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
17.7% | 16.0–18.8% | 15.6–19.2% | 15.3–19.6% | 14.7–20.3% |
| 20–25 May 2022 | Red C Business Post |
15.4% | 13.8–16.7% | 13.4–17.1% | 13.1–17.5% | 12.4–18.3% |
| 28 April–10 May 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
24.4% | 22.3–25.9% | 21.8–26.4% | 21.3–26.9% | 20.5–27.8% |
| 7 May 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
16.5% | 14.8–17.7% | 14.4–18.2% | 14.0–18.6% | 13.4–19.4% |
| 22–27 April 2022 | Red C Business Post |
16.6% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.8–18.4% | 13.2–19.1% |
| 1 April 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
18.7% | 16.4–19.3% | 16.0–19.8% | 15.7–20.1% | 15.0–20.9% |
| 18–23 March 2022 | Red C Business Post |
16.6% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.8–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 24 February–8 March 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
23.1% | 21.2–24.8% | 20.8–25.3% | 20.4–25.8% | 19.6–26.7% |
| 4 March 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
20.5% | 18.0–21.3% | 17.6–21.7% | 17.3–22.1% | 16.5–23.0% |
| 18–23 February 2022 | Red C Business Post |
17.5% | 15.7–18.8% | 15.3–19.3% | 15.0–19.6% | 14.3–20.4% |
| 27 January–8 February 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
25.3% | 23.2–26.8% | 22.7–27.4% | 22.3–27.8% | 21.4–28.8% |
| 5 February 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
17.7% | 15.6–18.6% | 15.2–19.0% | 14.9–19.4% | 14.3–20.1% |
| 21–26 January 2022 | Red C Business Post |
15.6% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.3% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 6–18 January 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
24.2% | 22.3–25.9% | 21.7–26.4% | 21.3–26.9% | 20.5–27.8% |
| 8 January 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
19.6% | 17.7–20.4% | 17.3–20.8% | 17.0–21.2% | 16.4–21.9% |
| 12 December 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
17.4% | 15.5–18.6% | 15.1–19.1% | 14.7–19.5% | 14.0–20.3% |
| 5–8 December 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
20.3% | 18.7–21.7% | 18.3–22.2% | 18.0–22.5% | 17.3–23.3% |
| 25 November–8 December 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
23.4% | 21.4–25.0% | 21.0–25.5% | 20.5–26.0% | 19.8–26.9% |
| 19–25 November 2021 | Red C Business Post |
15.6% | 13.9–16.8% | 13.5–17.3% | 13.2–17.6% | 12.5–18.4% |
| 14 November 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
17.5% | 15.5–18.6% | 15.1–19.1% | 14.7–19.5% | 14.0–20.3% |
| 28 October–9 November 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
20.4% | 18.5–22.0% | 18.1–22.5% | 17.7–22.9% | 16.9–23.8% |
| 22 October 2021 | Red C Business Post |
12.6% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| 16 October 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
16.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 September–12 October 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
23.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 October 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
20.3% | 18.4–21.4% | 18.0–21.8% | 17.7–22.2% | 17.0–22.9% |
| 18 September 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
19.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 September 2021 | Red C Business Post |
13.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 August–8 September 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 August 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
15.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 July 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
14.6% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 1–13 July 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
20.1% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 26 June 2021 | Red C Business Post |
13.5% | 11.8–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 19 June 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
15.4% | 13.6–16.2% | 13.3–16.6% | 13.0–16.9% | 12.4–17.6% |
| 14–15 June 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
20.3% | 18.6–21.6% | 18.2–22.0% | 17.8–22.4% | 17.2–23.1% |
| 28 May–8 June 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
20.7% | 18.4–21.8% | 17.9–22.3% | 17.5–22.8% | 16.8–23.6% |
| 21–27 May 2021 | Red C Business Post |
14.6% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 4–18 May 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
22.3% | 20.3–23.8% | 19.8–24.3% | 19.4–24.8% | 18.6–25.7% |
| 15 May 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
15.9% | 13.8–16.4% | 13.4–16.8% | 13.2–17.1% | 12.6–17.8% |
| 16–22 April 2021 | Red C Business Post |
13.5% | 11.9–14.6% | 11.5–15.0% | 11.2–15.4% | 10.7–16.1% |
| 14–15 April 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
16.8% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.3–17.9% | 13.9–18.3% | 13.3–19.1% |
| 19–25 March 2021 | Red C Business Post |
11.4% | 9.9–12.5% | 9.6–12.9% | 9.3–13.2% | 8.7–13.9% |
| 20 March 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
14.8% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.4–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 18–25 February 2021 | Red C Business Post |
13.6% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 22–23 February 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
14.3% | 12.8–15.4% | 12.4–15.7% | 12.1–16.1% | 11.6–16.8% |
| 12 February 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
15.7% | 14.1–16.9% | 13.7–17.4% | 13.4–17.8% | 12.8–18.5% |
| 21–28 January 2021 | Red C Business Post |
16.6% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 17 January 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
15.6% | 13.9–16.5% | 13.6–16.9% | 13.3–17.3% | 12.7–17.9% |
| 3–15 December 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
22.2% | 20.5–24.0% | 20.0–24.5% | 19.6–25.0% | 18.8–25.9% |
| 29 November 2020 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
17.5% | 15.4–18.4% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.7–19.3% | 14.1–20.0% |
| 19–25 November 2020 | Red C Business Post |
12.4% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| 24 October 2020 | Red C Business Post |
11.3% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 17 October 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
19.3% | 17.6–21.0% | 17.2–21.5% | 16.8–21.9% | 16.1–22.7% |
| 3–6 October 2020 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
17.3% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.3–18.9% | 15.0–19.2% | 14.4–20.0% |
| 26 September 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
14.6% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.2–16.0% | 11.6–16.7% |
| 4–15 September 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
19.1% | 17.4–20.8% | 16.9–21.3% | 16.6–21.7% | 15.8–22.6% |
| 9 September 2020 | Red C Business Post |
10.3% | 9.0–11.4% | 8.6–11.8% | 8.4–12.1% | 7.9–12.8% |
| 21–22 August 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
11.4% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 17–28 July 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
19.5% | 17.7–21.1% | 17.3–21.6% | 16.9–22.0% | 16.2–22.9% |
| 17–18 July 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
12.3% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| 19–20 June 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
13.2% | 11.6–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% | 11.0–15.1% | 10.4–15.9% |
| 14 June 2020 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
13.0% | 12.0–14.5% | 11.6–14.9% | 11.4–15.2% | 10.8–15.9% |
| 21–27 May 2020 | Red C Business Post |
15.5% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 19–23 May 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
16.4% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 23–29 April 2020 | Red C Business Post |
14.4% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 20–25 March 2020 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
18.4% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.0% | 15.8–20.4% | 15.1–21.2% |
| 27 February–10 March 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
19.1% | 17.6–20.9% | 17.1–21.4% | 16.8–21.9% | 16.0–22.7% |
| 17–25 February 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
20.3% | 18.3–21.7% | 17.9–22.2% | 17.5–22.7% | 16.7–23.5% |
| 16 February 2020 | Amárach Research Extra.ie |
17.7% | 15.6–18.6% | 15.2–19.0% | 14.8–19.4% | 14.2–20.2% |
| 27 January–2 February 2020 | Survation Sinn Féin |
22.5% | 20.4–23.7% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.6–24.6% | 18.9–25.4% |
| 30 January–1 February 2020 | Ipsos MRBI The Irish Times |
23.4% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.1–25.1% | 20.7–25.5% | 20.0–26.3% |
| 25–30 January 2020 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
24.6% | 22.8–26.3% | 22.3–26.8% | 21.9–27.3% | 21.1–28.2% |
| 24–30 January 2020 | Panelbase The Times |
23.9% | 24.2–27.7% | 23.7–28.3% | 23.3–28.7% | 22.5–29.6% |
| 1–25 January 2020 | Ireland Thinks The Irish Daily Mail |
27.6% | 28.2–32.0% | 27.6–32.6% | 27.2–33.1% | 26.3–34.0% |
| 16–23 January 2020 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
26.6% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.8–28.4% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.6–29.7% |
| 16–18 January 2020 | Ipsos MRBI The Irish Times |
25.4% | 23.4–26.7% | 23.0–27.1% | 22.6–27.5% | 21.9–28.3% |
| 4–14 January 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
32.3% | 33.7–37.8% | 33.2–38.3% | 32.7–38.8% | 31.7–39.8% |
| 24 December 2019 | Ireland Thinks The Irish Daily Mail |
25.6% | 27.4–30.3% | 27.0–30.8% | 26.7–31.1% | 26.0–31.8% |
| 5–17 December 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
27.2% | 27.2–31.0% | 26.7–31.6% | 26.2–32.1% | 25.4–33.0% |
| 14–21 November 2019 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
24.4% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 1–12 November 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
25.4% | 25.9–29.7% | 25.4–30.2% | 24.9–30.7% | 24.1–31.7% |
| 17–24 October 2019 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
24.4% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
| 3–15 October 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
28.2% | 29.0–32.9% | 28.4–33.5% | 28.0–34.0% | 27.0–35.0% |
| 11–13 October 2019 | Ipsos MRBI The Irish Times |
25.2% | 23.7–26.9% | 23.2–27.4% | 22.9–27.8% | 22.1–28.6% |
| 5–17 September 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
29.2% | 30.1–34.0% | 29.5–34.6% | 29.0–35.1% | 28.1–36.1% |
| 5–12 September 2019 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
28.2% | 29.9–33.7% | 29.4–34.3% | 29.0–34.8% | 28.1–35.7% |
| 4–16 July 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
30.2% | 28.7–32.7% | 28.2–33.2% | 27.7–33.7% | 26.8–34.7% |
| 31 May–11 June 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
28.2% | 26.5–30.3% | 25.9–30.9% | 25.5–31.4% | 24.6–32.3% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Fianna Fáil (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 12% | 98% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 30% | 87% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 34% | 57% | Median |
| 18.5–19.5% | 18% | 22% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Seats
Last result: 1 seats (General Election of 24 May 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 6–7 April 2024 | Ireland Thinks The Journal |
4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 16–21 February 2024 | Red C Business Post |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 2–7 February 2024 | Ireland Thinks The Journal |
4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 2–6 February 2024 | Ipsos B&A Irish Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 1–2 February 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
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| 19–24 January 2024 | Red C Business Post |
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| 6 January 2024 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
|||||
| 1–2 December 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 1–4 |
| 17–22 November 2023 | Red C Business Post |
2 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 2–3 November 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 20–25 October 2023 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 28–29 September 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 26 September 2023 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 7–12 September 2023 | Red C Business Post |
2 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 31 August–12 September 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 |
| 31 August–1 September 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
3 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 4–5 August 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–4 |
| 28 June–12 July 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 30 June–1 July 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 23 June 2023 | Red C Business Post |
2 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 16–21 June 2023 | Red C Business Post |
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| 11–13 June 2023 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 June 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 19–24 May 2023 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 27 April–9 May 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 5–6 May 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 1–4 |
| 21–26 April 2023 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 28 March–4 April 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 31 March–1 April 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 17–22 March 2023 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 4–14 March 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–4 |
| 3 March 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 17–22 February 2023 | Red C Business Post |
3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 19–21 February 2023 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 2–14 February 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 2–3 February 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 20–25 January 2023 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 5–17 January 2023 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 |
| 5–6 January 2023 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 24 November–6 December 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 1–2 December 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
1 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 18–23 November 2022 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| 27 October–8 November 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 November 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 23–25 October 2022 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 3–15 October 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes Sunday Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 |
| 1 October 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
2 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 1–6 September 2022 | Red C Business Post |
3 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 25 August–6 September 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes Sunday Times |
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| 2 September 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 6 August 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
1 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 10–12 July 2022 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 1 July 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| 17–22 June 2022 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| 25 May–7 June 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 4 June 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 20–25 May 2022 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 28 April–10 May 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 May 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
1 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 22–27 April 2022 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 1 April 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
2 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 18–23 March 2022 | Red C Business Post |
3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 24 February–8 March 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 4 March 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 18–23 February 2022 | Red C Business Post |
3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 27 January–8 February 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 February 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
1 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 21–26 January 2022 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 6–18 January 2022 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 January 2022 | Ireland Thinks Sunday Independent |
4 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 12 December 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
2 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 5–8 December 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 25 November–8 December 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 19–25 November 2021 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 14 November 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
1 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 28 October–9 November 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–4 |
| 22 October 2021 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 October 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
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| 30 September–12 October 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
|||||
| 2–5 October 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 18 September 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
|||||
| 3–9 September 2021 | Red C Business Post |
|||||
| 26 August–8 September 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
|||||
| 21 August 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
|||||
| 17 July 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–13 July 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 26 June 2021 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 19 June 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 14–15 June 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 28 May–8 June 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 21–27 May 2021 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–18 May 2021 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 15 May 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 16–22 April 2021 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–15 April 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 19–25 March 2021 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 20 March 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 18–25 February 2021 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 22–23 February 2021 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 12 February 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 21–28 January 2021 | Red C Business Post |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–4 |
| 17 January 2021 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 3–15 December 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 29 November 2020 | Ireland Thinks Irish Mail on Sunday |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 19–25 November 2020 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 24 October 2020 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17 October 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
2 | 2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 3–6 October 2020 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| 26 September 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–15 September 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 9 September 2020 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 21–22 August 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17–28 July 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 17–18 July 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 19–20 June 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14 June 2020 | Ipsos MRBI Irish Times |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 21–27 May 2020 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 19–23 May 2020 | Ireland Thinks Mail on Sunday |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| 23–29 April 2020 | Red C Business Post |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 20–25 March 2020 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 27 February–10 March 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 17–25 February 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 16 February 2020 | Amárach Research Extra.ie |
2 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 27 January–2 February 2020 | Survation Sinn Féin |
4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 30 January–1 February 2020 | Ipsos MRBI The Irish Times |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 |
| 25–30 January 2020 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 24–30 January 2020 | Panelbase The Times |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 1–25 January 2020 | Ireland Thinks The Irish Daily Mail |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 16–23 January 2020 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 16–18 January 2020 | Ipsos MRBI The Irish Times |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 4–14 January 2020 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 24 December 2019 | Ireland Thinks The Irish Daily Mail |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 |
| 5–17 December 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 14–21 November 2019 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 1–12 November 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 17–24 October 2019 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 3–15 October 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 11–13 October 2019 | Ipsos MRBI The Irish Times |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–6 |
| 5–17 September 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 5–12 September 2019 | Red C The Sunday Business Post |
6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| 4–16 July 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 31 May–11 June 2019 | Behaviour and Attitudes The Sunday Times |
6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Fianna Fáil (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 8% | 100% | |
| 3 | 9% | 92% | |
| 4 | 83% | 83% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |