Fianna Fáil (RE)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 7 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 20.0% 18.3–21.8% 17.9–22.3% 17.5–22.7% 16.7–23.6%
7–13 November 2024 Opinions
The Sunday Times
20.0% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.2% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
12–13 November 2024 Ipsos B&A
Irish Times
19.0% 17.6–20.5% 17.2–21.0% 16.9–21.3% 16.2–22.1%
1–7 November 2024 Red C
Business Post
21.0% 19.6–22.6% 19.2–23.0% 18.8–23.4% 18.1–24.2%
1–2 November 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
20.0% 18.8–21.2% 18.5–21.6% 18.2–21.9% 17.7–22.5%
18–23 October 2024 Red C
Business Post
21.0% 19.4–22.8% 19.0–23.2% 18.6–23.7% 17.9–24.5%
16–22 October 2024 Red C
Business Post
21.0% 19.4–22.7% 19.0–23.2% 18.6–23.6% 17.8–24.5%
10–16 October 2024 Opinions
The Sunday Times
19.0% 17.5–20.7% 17.1–21.1% 16.7–21.6% 16.0–22.4%
4 October 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
18.8% 17.5–20.2% 17.2–20.6% 16.9–21.0% 16.3–21.6%
13–19 September 2024 Opinions
The Sunday Times
20.0% 18.4–21.7% 18.0–22.2% 17.6–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
14–17 September 2024 Ipsos B&A
Irish Times
19.0% 17.6–20.5% 17.2–21.0% 16.9–21.3% 16.2–22.1%
5–10 September 2024 Red C
Business Post
18.0% 16.5–19.7% 16.1–20.1% 15.8–20.5% 15.1–21.3%
31 August 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
21.0% 19.7–22.5% 19.3–22.9% 19.0–23.2% 18.4–23.9%
29–30 August 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
21.0% 19.4–22.8% 18.9–23.3% 18.5–23.7% 17.8–24.6%
2 August 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
20.0% 18.7–21.5% 18.3–21.9% 18.0–22.2% 17.4–22.9%
5 July 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
20.0% 18.7–21.4% 18.3–21.8% 18.0–22.1% 17.4–22.8%
26 June 2024 Red C
Business Post
19.0% 17.5–20.7% 17.1–21.1% 16.7–21.6% 16.0–22.4%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Fianna Fáil (RE).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0.3% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 3% 99.7%  
17.5–18.5% 10% 97%  
18.5–19.5% 23% 87%  
19.5–20.5% 29% 64% Median
20.5–21.5% 22% 35%  
21.5–22.5% 10% 13%  
22.5–23.5% 3% 3%  
23.5–24.5% 0.5% 0.6%  
24.5–25.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 7 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 4 3–4 3–5 3–5 3–5
7–13 November 2024 Opinions
The Sunday Times
4 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
12–13 November 2024 Ipsos B&A
Irish Times
4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
1–7 November 2024 Red C
Business Post
4 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
1–2 November 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
4 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
18–23 October 2024 Red C
Business Post
4 4 3–5 3–5 3–5
16–22 October 2024 Red C
Business Post
4 3–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
10–16 October 2024 Opinions
The Sunday Times
4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
4 October 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
13–19 September 2024 Opinions
The Sunday Times
4 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
14–17 September 2024 Ipsos B&A
Irish Times
4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
5–10 September 2024 Red C
Business Post
3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
31 August 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
4 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
29–30 August 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
4 3–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
2 August 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
4 3–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
5 July 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
5 4–5 4–5 4–5 3–5
26 June 2024 Red C
Business Post
3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Fianna Fáil (RE).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 11% 100%  
4 79% 89% Median
5 10% 10%  
6 0% 0%