Green Party (Greens/EFA)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 7 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 1.9–4.5%
5 June 2026 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
22–27 May 2026 RED C
Business Post
3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%
1 May 2026 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.2%
17–22 April 2026 RED C
Business Post
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–3 April 2026 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–25 March 2026 RED C
Business Post
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 February 2026 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–19 February 2026 RED C
Business Post
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3 February 2026 Ipsos B&A
The Irish Times
3.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 January 2026 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–21 January 2026 RED C
Business Post
2.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19 December 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
2.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 December 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
2.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 November 2025 RED C
Business Post
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 October 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
2.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21 October 2025 RED C
Business Post
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–15 October 2025 Ipsos B&A
The Irish Times
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–3 October 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 September 2025 RED C
Business Post
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5 September 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
2.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 August 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15 July 2025 Ipsos B&A
The Irish Times
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4 July 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
2.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25 June 2025 RED C
Business Post
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 May 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 May 2025 RED C
Business Post
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–2 May 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
2.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–23 April 2025 RED C
Business Post
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17 April 2025 Ipsos B&A
Irish Times
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–4 April 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
2.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 March 2025 RED C
Business Post
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 February 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
2.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19 February 2025 RED C
Business Post
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 January–1 February 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 January 2025 RED C
Business Post
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 January 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
2.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–26 November 2024 RED C
Business Post
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–23 November 2024 Ipsos B&A
Irish Times
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–22 November 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–13 November 2024 Opinions
The Sunday Times
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–13 November 2024 Ipsos B&A
Irish Times
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–7 November 2024 RED C
Business Post
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–2 November 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–23 October 2024 RED C
Business Post
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 October 2024 RED C
Business Post
3.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 October 2024 Opinions
The Sunday Times
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4 October 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–19 September 2024 Opinions
The Sunday Times
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 September 2024 Ipsos B&A
Irish Times
5.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–10 September 2024 RED C
Business Post
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–30 August 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2 August 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5 July 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
4.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 June 2024 RED C
Business Post
5.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Green Party (Greens/EFA).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 14% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 71% 86% Median
3.5–4.5% 15% 16%  
4.5–5.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 7 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0 0 0 0 0
5 June 2026 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
0 0 0 0 0
22–27 May 2026 RED C
Business Post
0 0 0 0 0
1 May 2026 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
0 0 0 0 0
17–22 April 2026 RED C
Business Post
         
2–3 April 2026 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
20–25 March 2026 RED C
Business Post
         
27 February 2026 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
13–19 February 2026 RED C
Business Post
         
3 February 2026 Ipsos B&A
The Irish Times
         
30 January 2026 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
16–21 January 2026 RED C
Business Post
         
19 December 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
4–5 December 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
26 November 2025 RED C
Business Post
         
31 October 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
21 October 2025 RED C
Business Post
         
13–15 October 2025 Ipsos B&A
The Irish Times
         
2–3 October 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
4–9 September 2025 RED C
Business Post
         
5 September 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
1 August 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
15 July 2025 Ipsos B&A
The Irish Times
         
4 July 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
25 June 2025 RED C
Business Post
         
30 May 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
22 May 2025 RED C
Business Post
         
1–2 May 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
18–23 April 2025 RED C
Business Post
         
17 April 2025 Ipsos B&A
Irish Times
         
3–4 April 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
26 March 2025 RED C
Business Post
         
28 February 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
19 February 2025 RED C
Business Post
         
31 January–1 February 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
22 January 2025 RED C
Business Post
         
10–11 January 2025 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
22–26 November 2024 RED C
Business Post
         
20–23 November 2024 Ipsos B&A
Irish Times
         
21–22 November 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
7–13 November 2024 Opinions
The Sunday Times
         
12–13 November 2024 Ipsos B&A
Irish Times
         
1–7 November 2024 RED C
Business Post
         
1–2 November 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
18–23 October 2024 RED C
Business Post
         
16–22 October 2024 RED C
Business Post
         
10–16 October 2024 Opinions
The Sunday Times
         
4 October 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
13–19 September 2024 Opinions
The Sunday Times
         
14–17 September 2024 Ipsos B&A
Irish Times
         
5–10 September 2024 RED C
Business Post
         
31 August 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
29–30 August 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
2 August 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
5 July 2024 Ireland Thinks
Sunday Independent
         
26 June 2024 RED C
Business Post
         

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Green Party (Greens/EFA).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median