Partidul Național Liberal

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 13.2% (General Election of 1 December 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 14.7% 12.8–16.6% 12.3–17.1% 11.9–17.5% 11.3–18.4%
6–10 October 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 14.8% 13.5–16.3% 13.2–16.7% 12.8–17.1% 12.2–17.8%
5–19 September 2025 CURS 16.0% 14.6–17.5% 14.3–17.9% 13.9–18.3% 13.3–19.0%
9–18 September 2025 Avangarde 13.0% 11.9–14.3% 11.6–14.6% 11.3–15.0% 10.8–15.6%
1–9 September 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 15.1% 13.8–16.6% 13.5–17.0% 13.1–17.4% 12.5–18.1%
21–23 July 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		 15.0% 13.6–16.5% 13.2–16.9% 12.9–17.3% 12.3–18.1%
15–23 July 2025 INSOMAR 14.4% 13.1–15.9% 12.7–16.4% 12.4–16.7% 11.8–17.5%
10–12 July 2025 FlashData 16.0% 15.5–16.6% 15.3–16.7% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1%
4–10 July 2025 CURS 15.0% 13.7–16.5% 13.3–16.9% 13.0–17.3% 12.4–18.0%
20–26 June 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 17.3% 15.9–18.8% 15.5–19.2% 15.2–19.6% 14.6–20.3%
26–30 May 2025 INSCOP 16.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 May 2025 CURS 14.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.7% 12.2–16.0% 11.6–16.6%
26–28 May 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.3% 11.4–17.0%
23–28 May 2025 Avangarde 16.0% 14.8–17.4% 14.4–17.8% 14.1–18.1% 13.5–18.8%
24–26 April 2025 FlashData 15.0% 14.5–15.5% 14.3–15.7% 14.2–15.8% 14.0–16.1%
3–5 April 2025 FlashData 13.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 March 2025 Verifield 15.0% 13.7–16.5% 13.3–16.9% 13.0–17.2% 12.4–18.0%
14–16 February 2025 FlashData 12.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–25 January 2025 CURS 15.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 January 2025 Avangarde 13.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partidul Național Liberal.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 1.0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 6% 98.9%  
12.5–13.5% 15% 93% Last Result
13.5–14.5% 24% 78%  
14.5–15.5% 26% 54% Median
15.5–16.5% 18% 29%  
16.5–17.5% 8% 10%  
17.5–18.5% 2% 2%  
18.5–19.5% 0.3% 0.3%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 49 seats (General Election of 1 December 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 51 44–57 42–59 41–60 38–63
6–10 October 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 52 47–57 46–58 45–59 43–62
5–19 September 2025 CURS 54 49–59 47–61 46–62 44–65
9–18 September 2025 Avangarde 44 41–49 39–50 38–51 37–53
1–9 September 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 52 48–57 46–58 45–60 43–62
21–23 July 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		 52 47–56 45–58 44–60 42–61
15–23 July 2025 INSOMAR 53 47–57 45–58 44–60 42–63
10–12 July 2025 FlashData 54 52–56 52–56 51–57 50–58
4–10 July 2025 CURS 52 47–57 46–58 44–60 42–62
20–26 June 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 60 54–65 53–66 52–68 50–70
26–30 May 2025 INSCOP          
26–30 May 2025 CURS 46 42–51 41–52 40–53 38–55
26–28 May 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		 51 46–56 45–58 44–59 41–62
23–28 May 2025 Avangarde 56 53–62 52–62 50–63 47–65
24–26 April 2025 FlashData 64 62–66 61–67 61–68 60–69
3–5 April 2025 FlashData          
24–28 March 2025 Verifield 51 46–55 45–57 44–59 42–62
14–16 February 2025 FlashData          
21–25 January 2025 CURS          
10–16 January 2025 Avangarde          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partidul Național Liberal.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0.1% 99.9%  
38 0.4% 99.8%  
39 0.6% 99.4%  
40 0.8% 98.8%  
41 2% 98%  
42 2% 96%  
43 3% 94%  
44 4% 91%  
45 3% 88%  
46 4% 84%  
47 5% 80%  
48 5% 75%  
49 7% 70% Last Result
50 8% 64%  
51 6% 55% Median
52 9% 49%  
53 9% 39%  
54 9% 31%  
55 6% 22%  
56 4% 15%  
57 4% 11%  
58 2% 7%  
59 2% 5%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.8% 2%  
62 0.5% 1.1%  
63 0.3% 0.7%  
64 0.1% 0.3%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%