Lista Marjana Šarca

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 13 July 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 13.6% 11.3–19.2% 10.8–20.2% 10.4–20.9% 9.6–22.2%
28–31 May 2018 Valicon 12.3% 11.4–13.3% 11.1–13.5% 10.9–13.8% 10.5–14.3%
31 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 11.4% 10.2–12.9% 9.8–13.3% 9.5–13.7% 8.9–14.4%
31 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 12.8% 11.5–14.3% 11.1–14.8% 10.8–15.1% 10.2–15.9%
25–30 May 2018 Mediana
Delo		 11.3% 9.8–13.0% 9.4–13.5% 9.1–13.9% 8.5–14.8%
25–29 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 14.8% 13.1–16.7% 12.7–17.2% 12.3–17.7% 11.5–18.7%
29 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 13.7% 12.3–15.2% 11.9–15.7% 11.6–16.1% 10.9–16.9%
23–29 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 15.4% 13.7–17.2% 13.3–17.7% 12.9–18.2% 12.2–19.1%
25–27 May 2018 Valicon 13.8% 12.2–15.8% 11.7–16.3% 11.3–16.8% 10.6–17.7%
22–25 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 13.4% 11.7–15.3% 11.2–15.8% 10.9–16.3% 10.1–17.3%
25 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 16.0% 14.4–17.9% 13.9–18.4% 13.5–18.9% 12.8–19.8%
21–23 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 16.2% 14.3–18.4% 13.8–19.0% 13.3–19.6% 12.4–20.7%
21–22 May 2018 Ninamedia
Mladina		 13.7% 11.8–16.0% 11.2–16.6% 10.8–17.2% 10.0–18.3%
12–22 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 18.1% 16.3–20.1% 15.8–20.6% 15.3–21.1% 14.5–22.1%
22 May 2018 Episcenter 14.7% 13.2–16.5% 12.7–17.0% 12.4–17.5% 11.6–18.3%
20 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 14.8% 13.0–17.0% 12.4–17.6% 12.0–18.2% 11.1–19.3%
14–17 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 18.3% 16.2–20.8% 15.6–21.4% 15.1–22.1% 14.2–23.3%
11–17 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 16.6% 14.6–18.8% 14.1–19.4% 13.6–20.0% 12.8–21.1%
9–15 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 15.5% 13.5–17.7% 13.0–18.4% 12.5–19.0% 11.7–20.1%
7–10 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 15.8% 14.2–17.6% 13.7–18.1% 13.4–18.6% 12.6–19.5%
8–9 May 2018 Valicon 17.8% 16.2–19.6% 15.7–20.1% 15.3–20.6% 14.6–21.5%
4–7 May 2018 Valicon 18.2% 17.6–18.9% 17.4–19.1% 17.2–19.3% 16.9–19.6%
2–5 May 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 19.4% 17.8–21.3% 17.3–21.8% 16.9–22.3% 16.1–23.2%
11–19 April 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 21.7% 19.3–24.4% 18.7–25.1% 18.1–25.8% 17.0–27.1%
9–11 April 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 19.4% 17.1–22.1% 16.5–22.8% 16.0–23.5% 14.9–24.8%
29 March–5 April 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 20.8% 19.1–22.7% 18.6–23.2% 18.1–23.7% 17.3–24.6%
25 March 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 25.6% 23.0–28.4% 22.3–29.2% 21.7–29.9% 20.5–31.2%
13–15 March 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 20.3% 18.0–23.0% 17.3–23.7% 16.8–24.4% 15.7–25.7%
10–14 March 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 20.9% 19.1–22.9% 18.6–23.4% 18.2–23.9% 17.4–24.9%
1–8 March 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 24.9% 23.0–26.9% 22.5–27.5% 22.0–28.0% 21.2–29.0%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Lista Marjana Šarca.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0.4% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 3% 99.5%  
10.5–11.5% 10% 97%  
11.5–12.5% 19% 87%  
12.5–13.5% 18% 68%  
13.5–14.5% 13% 50% Median
14.5–15.5% 10% 37%  
15.5–16.5% 7% 27%  
16.5–17.5% 4% 20%  
17.5–18.5% 4% 16%  
18.5–19.5% 5% 13%  
19.5–20.5% 4% 8%  
20.5–21.5% 3% 4%  
21.5–22.5% 0.9% 1.2%  
22.5–23.5% 0.2% 0.3%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 13 July 2014)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 13 11–19 10–20 10–20 9–22
28–31 May 2018 Valicon 12 11–13 11–13 10–13 10–14
31 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 11 10–12 9–13 9–13 8–14
31 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 12 10–13 10–14 10–14 9–15
25–30 May 2018 Mediana
Delo		 11 9–12 9–12 8–13 8–14
25–29 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 14 12–15 12–16 11–16 11–17
29 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 13 12–14 11–14 11–15 10–16
23–29 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 14 13–16 12–16 12–17 11–18
25–27 May 2018 Valicon 13 11–14 11–15 10–16 10–16
22–25 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 13 11–14 10–15 10–15 10–17
25 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 15 13–16 13–17 12–18 12–19
21–23 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 16 14–18 14–18 13–18 12–19
21–22 May 2018 Ninamedia
Mladina		 12 10–14 10–15 9–15 9–16
12–22 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 17 15–18 15–19 14–20 13–20
22 May 2018 Episcenter 14 13–16 12–16 12–17 11–18
20 May 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 14 12–16 11–16 11–17 10–18
14–17 May 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 19 16–21 16–22 15–23 14–26
11–17 May 2018 Mediana
RTV Slovenija		 16 13–17 13–18 13–18 12–20
9–15 May 2018 Mediana
Planet TV and Siol.net		 15 13–17 12–17 11–18 11–19
7–10 May 2018 Ninamedia
Dnevnik and Večer		 15 14–16 13–17 12–17 12–18
8–9 May 2018 Valicon 17 16–20 16–20 15–21 14–22
4–7 May 2018 Valicon 18 18–19 17–19 17–19 16–20
2–5 May 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 20 17–21 17–22 16–22 16–23
11–19 April 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 21 19–24 18–24 17–25 16–27
9–11 April 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 17 15–20 15–20 14–21 13–22
29 March–5 April 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 19 17–21 17–21 16–22 16–23
25 March 2018 Mediana
POP TV		 26 22–28 21–28 21–29 20–30
13–15 March 2018 Ninamedia
RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik		 18 16–21 15–21 15–22 14–23
10–14 March 2018 Parsifal SC
Nova24TV		 20 19–23 18–24 17–24 16–24
1–8 March 2018 Delo Stik
Delo		 24 22–26 22–27 21–27 20–28

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Lista Marjana Šarca.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.2% 100%  
9 2% 99.8%  
10 7% 98%  
11 18% 91%  
12 16% 73%  
13 19% 58% Median
14 11% 39%  
15 7% 28%  
16 4% 21%  
17 2% 17%  
18 2% 15%  
19 4% 12%  
20 7% 8%  
21 0.7% 2%  
22 0.6% 1.0%  
23 0.3% 0.3%  
24 0% 0%