Stranka Alenke Bratušek
Voting Intentions
Last result: 4.4% (General Election of 13 July 2014)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 3.7% | 1.7–6.4% | 1.4–7.0% | 1.2–7.4% | 0.9–8.2% |
28–31 May 2018 | Valicon | 4.4% | 3.8–5.0% | 3.7–5.2% | 3.6–5.4% | 3.3–5.7% |
31 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
3.2% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.4–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.0–5.1% |
31 May 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
6.5% | 5.6–7.7% | 5.3–8.0% | 5.1–8.3% | 4.7–8.9% |
25–30 May 2018 | Mediana Delo |
4.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.8–5.8% | 2.4–6.4% |
25–29 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
1.5% | 1.1–2.3% | 0.9–2.6% | 0.8–2.8% | 0.7–3.2% |
29 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.8–5.4% | 2.5–5.9% |
23–29 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
4.8% | 3.9–6.0% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.5–6.7% | 3.1–7.3% |
25–27 May 2018 | Valicon | 3.3% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.7% | 2.1–5.0% | 1.8–5.6% |
22–25 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
1.5% | 1.0–2.4% | 0.9–2.6% | 0.8–2.8% | 0.6–3.3% |
25 May 2018 | Mediana RTV Slovenija |
4.7% | 3.8–5.9% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.4–6.5% | 3.0–7.1% |
21–23 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
1.7% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.0–2.9% | 0.9–3.2% | 0.7–3.7% |
21–22 May 2018 | Ninamedia Mladina |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–22 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
5.7% | 4.7–7.0% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.2–7.7% | 3.8–8.4% |
22 May 2018 | Episcenter | 2.8% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.0–4.0% | 1.8–4.3% | 1.6–4.8% |
20 May 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
4.7% | 3.7–6.2% | 3.4–6.6% | 3.2–7.0% | 2.8–7.7% |
14–17 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
1.9% | 1.3–2.9% | 1.1–3.2% | 1.0–3.5% | 0.8–4.1% |
11–17 May 2018 | Mediana RTV Slovenija |
4.4% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.2–6.1% | 2.9–6.5% | 2.5–7.2% |
9–15 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
5.7% | 4.6–7.3% | 4.2–7.7% | 4.0–8.1% | 3.5–8.9% |
7–10 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
2.0% | 1.5–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.2–3.3% | 1.0–3.7% |
8–9 May 2018 | Valicon | 3.3% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.5% | 2.3–4.8% | 2.0–5.3% |
4–7 May 2018 | Valicon | 3.8% | 3.4–4.1% | 3.4–4.2% | 3.3–4.3% | 3.1–4.5% |
2–5 May 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
3.8% | 3.1–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.7–5.4% | 2.4–5.9% |
11–19 April 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
2.7% | 2.0–4.0% | 1.8–4.4% | 1.6–4.7% | 1.3–5.4% |
9–11 April 2018 | Ninamedia RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik |
0.2% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% | 0.0–1.3% | 0.0–1.7% |
29 March–5 April 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
3.6% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.5–5.1% | 2.2–5.6% |
25 March 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
3.2% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% | 1.9–5.3% | 1.6–6.0% |
13–15 March 2018 | Ninamedia RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik |
0.2% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% | 0.0–1.3% | 0.0–1.7% |
10–14 March 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
1.5% | 1.1–2.3% | 1.0–2.5% | 0.9–2.7% | 0.7–3.1% |
1–8 March 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
2.1% | 1.6–2.9% | 1.4–3.1% | 1.3–3.3% | 1.1–3.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Stranka Alenke Bratušek.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
0.5–1.5% | 7% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 14% | 93% | |
2.5–3.5% | 25% | 78% | |
3.5–4.5% | 27% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
4.5–5.5% | 11% | 27% | |
5.5–6.5% | 7% | 16% | |
6.5–7.5% | 6% | 9% | |
7.5–8.5% | 2% | 2% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 4 seats (General Election of 13 July 2014)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
28–31 May 2018 | Valicon | 4 | 3–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
31 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
31 May 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
6 | 5–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
25–30 May 2018 | Mediana Delo |
0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
25–29 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
29 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
23–29 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
25–27 May 2018 | Valicon | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
22–25 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
25 May 2018 | Mediana RTV Slovenija |
4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
21–23 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21–22 May 2018 | Ninamedia Mladina |
|||||
12–22 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 0–8 |
22 May 2018 | Episcenter | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
20 May 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
4 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
14–17 May 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
11–17 May 2018 | Mediana RTV Slovenija |
0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
9–15 May 2018 | Mediana Planet TV and Siol.net |
5 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 3–8 | 0–8 |
7–10 May 2018 | Ninamedia Dnevnik and Večer |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8–9 May 2018 | Valicon | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
4–7 May 2018 | Valicon | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
2–5 May 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
11–19 April 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
9–11 April 2018 | Ninamedia RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
29 March–5 April 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
25 March 2018 | Mediana POP TV |
0 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
13–15 March 2018 | Ninamedia RTV Slovenija–Dnevnik |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10–14 March 2018 | Parsifal SC Nova24TV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–8 March 2018 | Delo Stik Delo |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Stranka Alenke Bratušek.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 60% | 100% | Median |
1 | 0% | 40% | |
2 | 0% | 40% | |
3 | 5% | 40% | |
4 | 17% | 35% | Last Result |
5 | 6% | 18% | |
6 | 10% | 12% | |
7 | 1.3% | 2% | |
8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
9 | 0% | 0% |