Възраждане (ESN)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 13.7% | 12.3–15.3% | 11.9–15.7% | 11.5–16.1% | 10.9–16.9% |
| 29 September–12 October 2025 | Gallup International | 13.4% | 12.0–14.9% | 11.6–15.4% | 11.3–15.8% | 10.7–16.5% |
| 13–20 September 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
13.9% | 12.6–15.4% | 12.3–15.9% | 11.9–16.2% | 11.3–17.0% |
| 4–12 September 2025 | Мяра | 13.7% | 12.3–15.4% | 11.9–15.9% | 11.5–16.3% | 10.8–17.1% |
| 11–23 July 2025 | Gallup International | 13.5% | 12.0–15.2% | 11.6–15.7% | 11.3–16.1% | 10.6–16.9% |
| 7–14 July 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 12.3% | 11.0–13.8% | 10.6–14.2% | 10.3–14.6% | 9.7–15.3% |
| 9–11 June 2025 | Sova Harris | 14.4% | 13.1–15.9% | 12.7–16.3% | 12.4–16.7% | 11.7–17.5% |
| 28 May–4 June 2025 | Gallup International | 13.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 May 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.8–15.4% | 11.5–15.7% | 10.9–16.5% |
| 18–30 April 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
12.9% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% | 11.0–15.2% | 10.4–15.9% |
| 3–13 April 2025 | Мяра | 13.3% | 11.8–14.9% | 11.4–15.4% | 11.1–15.8% | 10.4–16.6% |
| 22–30 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
12.5% | 11.2–13.9% | 10.8–14.3% | 10.5–14.7% | 10.0–15.4% |
| 19–30 March 2025 | Gallup International | 12.2% | 10.8–13.8% | 10.4–14.3% | 10.1–14.7% | 9.5–15.5% |
| 10–16 March 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
12.5% | 11.3–14.0% | 10.9–14.4% | 10.7–14.7% | 10.1–15.4% |
| 22 February–2 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
13.0% | 11.8–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 13–20 February 2025 | Gallup International | 13.2% | 11.8–14.9% | 11.4–15.3% | 11.1–15.8% | 10.4–16.6% |
| 6–16 February 2025 | Мяра | 13.5% | 12.0–15.2% | 11.6–15.7% | 11.3–16.1% | 10.6–16.9% |
| 25 January–3 February 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
13.1% | 11.7–14.6% | 11.3–15.1% | 11.0–15.5% | 10.4–16.2% |
| 24–30 January 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
13.0% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% | 11.0–15.2% | 10.4–15.9% |
| 15–20 January 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 14.0% | 12.6–15.5% | 12.2–15.9% | 11.9–16.3% | 11.2–17.1% |
| 8–12 January 2025 | Gallup International | 14.2% | 12.8–15.9% | 12.3–16.4% | 12.0–16.9% | 11.3–17.7% |
| 12–20 December 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
14.1% | 12.7–15.7% | 12.2–16.2% | 11.9–16.6% | 11.2–17.4% |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.3% |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
15.2% | 13.8–16.7% | 13.4–17.1% | 13.1–17.5% | 12.4–18.3% |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 14.3% | 13.0–15.8% | 12.6–16.2% | 12.3–16.5% | 11.7–17.3% |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.8–17.2% | 12.2–18.0% |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.2–16.8% | 12.8–17.2% | 12.2–18.0% |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
14.5% | 13.0–16.2% | 12.6–16.7% | 12.2–17.1% | 11.5–18.0% |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 15.4% | 14.0–17.0% | 13.6–17.5% | 13.3–17.8% | 12.7–18.6% |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 15.4% | 13.9–17.1% | 13.4–17.6% | 13.0–18.0% | 12.3–18.9% |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.8–18.7% |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
15.6% | 14.2–17.1% | 13.8–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.8–18.7% |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 15.4% | 14.0–16.9% | 13.6–17.4% | 13.3–17.8% | 12.7–18.5% |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
13.7% | 12.4–15.1% | 12.0–15.5% | 11.7–15.9% | 11.1–16.6% |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
14.2% | 12.7–15.9% | 12.3–16.4% | 12.0–16.8% | 11.3–17.6% |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Възраждане (ESN).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 12% | 97% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 29% | 85% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 32% | 56% | Median |
| 14.5–15.5% | 18% | 25% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 29 September–12 October 2025 | Gallup International | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 13–20 September 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 4–12 September 2025 | Мяра | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 11–23 July 2025 | Gallup International | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 7–14 July 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 9–11 June 2025 | Sova Harris | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 28 May–4 June 2025 | Gallup International | |||||
| 12–18 May 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 18–30 April 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 3–13 April 2025 | Мяра | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 22–30 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 19–30 March 2025 | Gallup International | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 10–16 March 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 22 February–2 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 13–20 February 2025 | Gallup International | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 6–16 February 2025 | Мяра | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 25 January–3 February 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 24–30 January 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 15–20 January 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 8–12 January 2025 | Gallup International | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 12–20 December 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Възраждане (ESN).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 16% | 100% | |
| 3 | 83% | 84% | Median |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |