Демократична България (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2.6% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.7–3.8% | 1.5–4.2% |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.9–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.0% |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.0–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
2.5% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.8–3.6% | 1.6–3.8% | 1.4–4.3% |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 2.4% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 2.9% | 2.2–3.8% | 2.1–4.0% | 1.9–4.3% | 1.6–4.7% |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.0–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
2.6% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.5–4.2% |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.7–4.0% | 1.5–4.4% |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС | 2.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Демократична България (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 43% | 99.1% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 50% | 56% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Демократична България (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 13% | 13% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |