Продължаваме промяната (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9.1% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
8.9% | 7.8–10.1% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.4% |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 8.8% | 7.8–10.0% | 7.5–10.3% | 7.2–10.6% | 6.8–11.2% |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.3–11.4% | 8.0–11.7% | 7.5–12.4% |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.2% | 7.9–11.5% | 7.4–12.2% |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
8.9% | 7.7–10.3% | 7.4–10.7% | 7.1–11.1% | 6.6–11.8% |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 8.3% | 7.2–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.2–10.8% |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 9.9% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.3–11.8% | 8.0–12.2% | 7.5–12.9% |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.5% |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 7.0–11.7% |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.7–11.4% | 7.2–12.0% |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
10.2% | 9.1–11.5% | 8.8–11.9% | 8.5–12.2% | 8.0–12.9% |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
9.1% | 7.9–10.5% | 7.6–10.9% | 7.3–11.3% | 6.8–12.0% |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС | 9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Продължаваме промяната (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 25% | 94% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 38% | 69% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 23% | 32% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 7% | 8% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Продължаваме промяната (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 82% | 99.4% | Median |
| 3 | 17% | 17% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |