Продължаваме промяната (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8.3% | 7.1–9.5% | 6.8–9.9% | 6.6–10.2% | 6.1–10.9% |
| 29 September–12 October 2025 | Gallup International | 8.3% | 7.2–9.6% | 6.9–10.0% | 6.7–10.3% | 6.2–10.9% |
| 13–20 September 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 4–12 September 2025 | Мяра | 8.4% | 7.2–9.7% | 6.9–10.1% | 6.6–10.5% | 6.1–11.2% |
| 11–23 July 2025 | Gallup International | 7.6% | 6.6–9.0% | 6.2–9.4% | 6.0–9.7% | 5.5–10.4% |
| 7–14 July 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.2–10.9% | 6.7–11.5% |
| 9–11 June 2025 | Sova Harris | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| 28 May–4 June 2025 | Gallup International | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 May 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| 18–30 April 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
10.3% | 9.1–11.6% | 8.8–12.0% | 8.5–12.4% | 8.0–13.0% |
| 3–13 April 2025 | Мяра | 8.6% | 7.4–10.0% | 7.1–10.3% | 6.8–10.7% | 6.3–11.4% |
| 22–30 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
10.1% | 9.0–11.5% | 8.6–11.8% | 8.4–12.2% | 7.8–12.8% |
| 19–30 March 2025 | Gallup International | 9.3% | 8.1–10.7% | 7.7–11.2% | 7.5–11.5% | 6.9–12.3% |
| 10–16 March 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.2–10.6% |
| 22 February–2 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% | 7.9–11.6% | 7.4–12.3% |
| 13–20 February 2025 | Gallup International | 7.5% | 6.4–8.8% | 6.1–9.2% | 5.9–9.5% | 5.4–10.2% |
| 6–16 February 2025 | Мяра | 8.4% | 7.2–9.8% | 6.9–10.2% | 6.6–10.5% | 6.1–11.2% |
| 25 January–3 February 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.3% | 8.2–10.7% | 7.8–11.1% | 7.6–11.4% | 7.0–12.1% |
| 24–30 January 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 15–20 January 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 8.5% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.1–10.2% | 6.9–10.5% | 6.4–11.1% |
| 8–12 January 2025 | Gallup International | 8.1% | 7.0–9.5% | 6.7–9.9% | 6.4–10.2% | 5.9–10.9% |
| 12–20 December 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.2% | 8.1–10.6% | 7.7–11.0% | 7.5–11.4% | 6.9–12.1% |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
8.9% | 7.8–10.1% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.4% |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 8.8% | 7.8–10.0% | 7.5–10.3% | 7.2–10.6% | 6.8–11.2% |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.3–11.4% | 8.0–11.7% | 7.5–12.4% |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.2% | 7.9–11.5% | 7.4–12.2% |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
8.9% | 7.7–10.3% | 7.4–10.7% | 7.1–11.1% | 6.6–11.8% |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 8.3% | 7.2–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.2% | 6.2–10.8% |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 9.9% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.3–11.8% | 8.0–12.2% | 7.5–12.9% |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.5% |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 7.0–11.7% |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.7–11.4% | 7.2–12.0% |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
10.2% | 9.1–11.5% | 8.8–11.9% | 8.5–12.2% | 8.0–12.9% |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
9.1% | 7.9–10.5% | 7.6–10.9% | 7.3–11.3% | 6.8–12.0% |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС | 9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Продължаваме промяната (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 19% | 98% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 41% | 79% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 29% | 38% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 8% | 9% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 29 September–12 October 2025 | Gallup International | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 13–20 September 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
2 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 4–12 September 2025 | Мяра | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 11–23 July 2025 | Gallup International | 2 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 7–14 July 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 9–11 June 2025 | Sova Harris | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 28 May–4 June 2025 | Gallup International | |||||
| 12–18 May 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 18–30 April 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 3–13 April 2025 | Мяра | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 22–30 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 19–30 March 2025 | Gallup International | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 10–16 March 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 22 February–2 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 13–20 February 2025 | Gallup International | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 6–16 February 2025 | Мяра | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 25 January–3 February 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 24–30 January 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 15–20 January 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 8–12 January 2025 | Gallup International | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 12–20 December 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Продължаваме промяната (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 81% | 97% | Median |
| 3 | 16% | 16% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |