Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 38.1% 33.9–41.6% 33.0–42.3% 32.4–42.8% 31.3–43.8%
6–10 October 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 40.0% 38.1–41.9% 37.6–42.5% 37.1–42.9% 36.2–43.9%
5–19 September 2025 CURS 34.0% 32.2–35.9% 31.7–36.4% 31.3–36.9% 30.4–37.8%
9–18 September 2025 Avangarde 41.0% 39.3–42.8% 38.8–43.3% 38.3–43.7% 37.5–44.6%
1–9 September 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 40.8% 38.9–42.7% 38.4–43.3% 37.9–43.7% 37.0–44.7%
21–23 July 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		 38.0% 36.1–40.0% 35.5–40.6% 35.1–41.1% 34.1–42.0%
15–23 July 2025 INSOMAR 36.5% 34.6–38.4% 34.0–39.0% 33.5–39.5% 32.6–40.4%
10–12 July 2025 FlashData 38.0% 37.3–38.7% 37.1–38.9% 36.9–39.1% 36.6–39.5%
4–10 July 2025 CURS 38.0% 36.1–39.9% 35.5–40.4% 35.1–40.9% 34.2–41.9%
20–26 June 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 40.4% 38.7–42.4% 38.2–42.9% 37.7–43.4% 36.8–44.3%
26–30 May 2025 INSCOP 38.1% 36.3–39.9% 35.8–40.5% 35.3–40.9% 34.5–41.8%
26–30 May 2025 CURS 35.0% 33.3–36.7% 32.8–37.2% 32.4–37.6% 31.6–38.5%
26–28 May 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		 36.0% 34.0–38.0% 33.5–38.5% 33.0–39.0% 32.1–39.9%
23–28 May 2025 Avangarde 32.0% 30.4–33.7% 29.9–34.2% 29.5–34.6% 28.7–35.4%
24–26 April 2025 FlashData 26.0% 25.3–26.7% 25.2–26.9% 25.0–27.0% 24.7–27.3%
3–5 April 2025 FlashData 27.0% 26.3–27.7% 26.2–27.9% 26.0–28.0% 25.7–28.3%
24–28 March 2025 Verifield 31.7% 30.0–33.6% 29.5–34.1% 29.0–34.6% 28.2–35.4%
14–16 February 2025 FlashData 27.9% 27.2–28.7% 27.0–28.9% 26.9–29.0% 26.5–29.4%
21–25 January 2025 CURS 22.0% 20.5–23.7% 20.0–24.1% 19.6–24.6% 18.9–25.4%
10–16 January 2025 Avangarde 29.0% 27.5–30.7% 27.0–31.1% 26.7–31.5% 25.9–32.3%
26–28 November 2024 Atlas Intel
HotNews		 22.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–13 November 2024 CIRA
Newsweek		 16.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–12 November 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea		 20.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 October–5 November 2024 CURS 15.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 October 2024 BCS
Newsweek		 17.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–18 October 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea		 21.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–16 October 2024 CURS 18.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–16 September 2024 INSCOP
Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație		 14.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–27 August 2024 CURS 14.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–27 June 2024 INSCOP
News.ro		 14.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 100%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 100%  
26.5–27.5% 0% 100%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 100%  
28.5–29.5% 0% 100%  
29.5–30.5% 0.1% 100%  
30.5–31.5% 0.7% 99.9%  
31.5–32.5% 2% 99.2%  
32.5–33.5% 5% 97%  
33.5–34.5% 7% 92%  
34.5–35.5% 8% 85%  
35.5–36.5% 10% 77%  
36.5–37.5% 11% 67%  
37.5–38.5% 11% 56% Median
38.5–39.5% 12% 45%  
39.5–40.5% 12% 33%  
40.5–41.5% 11% 21%  
41.5–42.5% 7% 10%  
42.5–43.5% 3% 3%  
43.5–44.5% 0.7% 0.8%  
44.5–45.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
45.5–46.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 15 13–16 12–16 12–17 11–17
6–10 October 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 15 15–17 14–17 14–17 14–17
5–19 September 2025 CURS 13 12–14 12–14 11–14 11–15
9–18 September 2025 Avangarde 15 15–16 15–16 14–17 14–17
1–9 September 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 16 15–17 15–17 15–17 14–18
21–23 July 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		 14 13–15 13–16 13–16 13–16
15–23 July 2025 INSOMAR 15 14–16 14–16 13–16 13–17
10–12 July 2025 FlashData 14 14–15 14–15 14–15 14–15
4–10 July 2025 CURS 15 14–16 13–16 13–16 13–17
20–26 June 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 16 15–17 14–17 14–17 14–17
26–30 May 2025 INSCOP 15 14–16 14–16 14–17 13–17
26–30 May 2025 CURS 13 12–14 12–14 12–14 11–15
26–28 May 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		 14 14–15 13–16 13–16 13–16
23–28 May 2025 Avangarde 13 12–13 11–14 11–14 11–14
24–26 April 2025 FlashData 13 12–13 12–13 12–13 12–13
3–5 April 2025 FlashData 13 12–13 12–13 12–13 12–13
24–28 March 2025 Verifield 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–14
14–16 February 2025 FlashData 10 10–11 10–11 10–11 10–11
21–25 January 2025 CURS 8 8–9 7–9 7–10 7–10
10–16 January 2025 Avangarde 11 10–12 10–12 10–12 10–13
26–28 November 2024 Atlas Intel
HotNews		          
9–13 November 2024 CIRA
Newsweek		          
7–12 November 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea		          
30 October–5 November 2024 CURS          
24–28 October 2024 BCS
Newsweek		          
11–18 October 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea		          
11–16 October 2024 CURS          
11–16 September 2024 INSCOP
Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație		          
13–27 August 2024 CURS          
19–27 June 2024 INSCOP
News.ro		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.8% 100%  
12 7% 99.2%  
13 13% 92%  
14 19% 80%  
15 37% 61% Median
16 21% 24%  
17 3% 3% Majority
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%