Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 25.0% | 21.4–29.7% | 20.8–30.3% | 20.3–30.8% | 19.4–31.8% |
| 14–16 February 2025 | FlashData | 25.0% | 24.3–25.7% | 24.1–25.9% | 24.0–26.0% | 23.7–26.4% |
| 21–25 January 2025 | CURS | 22.0% | 20.5–23.7% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.6–24.6% | 18.9–25.4% |
| 10–16 January 2025 | Avangarde | 29.0% | 27.5–30.7% | 27.0–31.1% | 26.7–31.5% | 25.9–32.3% |
| 26–28 November 2024 | Atlas Intel HotNews |
22.4% | 21.3–23.6% | 20.9–23.9% | 20.7–24.2% | 20.1–24.8% |
| 9–13 November 2024 | CIRA Newsweek |
16.0% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.2–17.9% | 13.9–18.3% | 13.2–19.1% |
| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
20.7% | 19.2–22.4% | 18.8–22.8% | 18.4–23.2% | 17.7–24.0% |
| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 15.0% | 13.7–16.5% | 13.3–16.9% | 13.0–17.3% | 12.4–18.0% |
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
17.5% | 16.1–19.0% | 15.7–19.4% | 15.4–19.8% | 14.8–20.5% |
| 11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
21.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 October 2024 | CURS | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
14.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–27 August 2024 | CURS | 14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
14.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 8% | 96% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 10% | 88% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 7% | 78% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 10% | 70% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 22% | 61% | Median |
| 25.5–26.5% | 6% | 38% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 3% | 33% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 8% | 30% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 11% | 22% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 8% | 11% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 |
| 14–16 February 2025 | FlashData | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–12 |
| 21–25 January 2025 | CURS | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 |
| 10–16 January 2025 | Avangarde | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 |
| 26–28 November 2024 | Atlas Intel HotNews |
9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 9–13 November 2024 | CIRA Newsweek |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 7–12 November 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 30 October–5 November 2024 | CURS | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 4–7 |
| 24–28 October 2024 | BCS Newsweek |
6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 11–18 October 2024 | INSCOP Libertatea |
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| 11–16 October 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 11–16 September 2024 | INSCOP Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație |
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| 13–27 August 2024 | CURS | |||||
| 19–27 June 2024 | INSCOP News.ro |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 19% | 97% | |
| 9 | 10% | 78% | |
| 10 | 21% | 68% | Median |
| 11 | 36% | 47% | |
| 12 | 10% | 11% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |