Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 35.6% 31.9–38.6% 31.2–39.4% 30.7–40.0% 29.8–41.2%
11–14 May 2026 INSCOP
Informat.ro		 38.2% 36.3–40.1% 35.8–40.6% 35.3–41.1% 34.5–42.0%
1–14 May 2026 CURS 32.0% 30.5–33.5% 30.1–33.9% 29.8–34.3% 29.1–35.0%
28 April–1 May 2026 CURS 34.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–10 April 2026 ARP 35.9% 33.5–38.3% 32.8–39.0% 32.3–39.6% 31.1–40.8%
1–7 April 2026 INSCOP
Informat.ro		 37.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 March–4 April 2026 Sociopol 35.9% 34.0–37.9% 33.5–38.4% 33.0–38.9% 32.1–39.9%
23–27 March 2026 CURS 33.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–17 March 2026 Avangarde 35.0% 33.1–37.0% 32.6–37.5% 32.1–38.0% 31.2–39.0%
2–6 March 2026 INSCOP
informat.ro		 38.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11 February 2026 ARA
Antena3CNN		 36.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–23 January 2026 CURS 35.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–15 January 2026 INSCOP
informat.ro		 40.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–19 December 2025 CURS 35.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–17 December 2025 IRES 36.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25 October–2 November 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 38.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–26 October 2025 CURS 35.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–10 October 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 40.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–19 September 2025 CURS 34.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–18 September 2025 Avangarde 41.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–9 September 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 40.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–23 July 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		 38.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–23 July 2025 INSOMAR 36.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 July 2025 FlashData 38.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 July 2025 CURS 38.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–26 June 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		 40.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 May 2025 INSCOP 38.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 May 2025 CURS 35.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–28 May 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		 36.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–28 May 2025 Avangarde 32.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 April 2025 FlashData 26.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–5 April 2025 FlashData 27.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 March 2025 Verifield 31.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–16 February 2025 FlashData 27.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–25 January 2025 CURS 22.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 January 2025 Avangarde 29.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–28 November 2024 Atlas Intel
HotNews		 22.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–13 November 2024 CIRA
Newsweek		 16.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–12 November 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea		 20.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 October–5 November 2024 CURS 15.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–28 October 2024 BCS
Newsweek		 17.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–18 October 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea		 21.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–16 October 2024 CURS 18.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–16 September 2024 INSCOP
Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație		 14.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–27 August 2024 CURS 14.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–27 June 2024 INSCOP
News.ro		 14.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 100%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 100%  
26.5–27.5% 0% 100%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 100%  
28.5–29.5% 0.3% 100%  
29.5–30.5% 2% 99.7%  
30.5–31.5% 5% 98%  
31.5–32.5% 8% 93%  
32.5–33.5% 9% 84%  
33.5–34.5% 11% 75%  
34.5–35.5% 14% 64%  
35.5–36.5% 15% 50% Median
36.5–37.5% 14% 35%  
37.5–38.5% 10% 21%  
38.5–39.5% 6% 11%  
39.5–40.5% 3% 4%  
40.5–41.5% 1.0% 1.3%  
41.5–42.5% 0.2% 0.3%  
42.5–43.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 14 12–15 12–15 12–16 11–16
11–14 May 2026 INSCOP
Informat.ro		 15 14–16 13–16 13–16 13–16
1–14 May 2026 CURS 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 11–14
28 April–1 May 2026 CURS          
1–10 April 2026 ARP 14 13–15 12–15 12–16 12–16
1–7 April 2026 INSCOP
Informat.ro		          
26 March–4 April 2026 Sociopol 14 13–15 13–15 12–15 12–15
23–27 March 2026 CURS          
10–17 March 2026 Avangarde 14 13–15 13–15 13–15 12–16
2–6 March 2026 INSCOP
informat.ro		          
11 February 2026 ARA
Antena3CNN		          
14–23 January 2026 CURS          
12–15 January 2026 INSCOP
informat.ro		          
10–19 December 2025 CURS          
4–17 December 2025 IRES          
25 October–2 November 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		          
14–26 October 2025 CURS          
6–10 October 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		          
5–19 September 2025 CURS          
9–18 September 2025 Avangarde          
1–9 September 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		          
21–23 July 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		          
15–23 July 2025 INSOMAR          
10–12 July 2025 FlashData          
4–10 July 2025 CURS          
20–26 June 2025 INSCOP
informat.ro		          
26–30 May 2025 INSCOP          
26–30 May 2025 CURS          
26–28 May 2025 Sociopol
RomâniaTV		          
23–28 May 2025 Avangarde          
24–26 April 2025 FlashData          
3–5 April 2025 FlashData          
24–28 March 2025 Verifield          
14–16 February 2025 FlashData          
21–25 January 2025 CURS          
10–16 January 2025 Avangarde          
26–28 November 2024 Atlas Intel
HotNews		          
9–13 November 2024 CIRA
Newsweek		          
7–12 November 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea		          
30 October–5 November 2024 CURS          
24–28 October 2024 BCS
Newsweek		          
11–18 October 2024 INSCOP
Libertatea		          
11–16 October 2024 CURS          
11–16 September 2024 INSCOP
Institutul pentru Libertate și Democrație		          
13–27 August 2024 CURS          
19–27 June 2024 INSCOP
News.ro		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor (ECR).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 2% 100%  
12 14% 98%  
13 21% 84%  
14 39% 62% Median
15 20% 23%  
16 3% 3%  
17 0.1% 0.1% Majority
18 0% 0%