Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”
Voting Intentions
Last result: 11.0% (General Election of 6 October 2018)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 10.3% | 8.8–11.9% | 8.5–12.3% | 8.3–12.6% | 7.9–13.1% |
1–30 September 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11.3% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.1–12.6% | 9.9–12.8% | 9.5–13.3% |
15–20 September 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
9.3% | 8.5–10.2% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.1–10.6% | 7.8–11.0% |
4–6 September 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
10.2% | 9.2–11.3% | 8.9–11.6% | 8.7–11.9% | 8.2–12.4% |
1–31 August 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
12.6% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.4–13.9% | 11.2–14.2% | 10.7–14.7% |
16–21 August 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
10.8% | 9.7–12.1% | 9.4–12.5% | 9.1–12.8% | 8.6–13.5% |
3–7 August 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
10.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 July 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
13.3% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.1–14.7% | 11.8–15.0% | 11.4–15.5% |
20–24 July 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
11.3% | 10.2–12.6% | 9.9–13.0% | 9.6–13.3% | 9.1–13.9% |
6–10 July 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
12.2% | 10.9–13.8% | 10.5–14.2% | 10.2–14.6% | 9.6–15.4% |
1–30 June 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
12.2% | 11.2–13.2% | 11.0–13.5% | 10.8–13.8% | 10.3–14.3% |
27–31 May 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
12.8% | 11.6–14.2% | 11.3–14.6% | 11.0–14.9% | 10.4–15.6% |
13–24 May 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
15.2% | 14.2–16.4% | 13.9–16.7% | 13.6–16.9% | 13.2–17.5% |
22 April–2 May 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–29 April 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 March 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
12.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
29–31 March 2022 | Factum Interactive | 11.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–28 February 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
12.0% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.8–13.3% | 10.6–13.6% | 10.2–14.1% |
23–28 February 2022 | Factum Interactive | 11.6% | 10.6–12.8% | 10.3–13.2% | 10.0–13.5% | 9.5–14.1% |
1 January–2 February 2022 | Factum Interactive | 11.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 January 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 December 2021 | SKDS | 11.5% | 10.6–12.5% | 10.3–12.8% | 10.1–13.0% | 9.7–13.5% |
1–31 December 2021 | Factum Interactive | 11.5% | 10.5–12.7% | 10.2–13.0% | 9.9–13.3% | 9.4–13.8% |
1–30 November 2021 | Factum Interactive | 11.4% | 10.2–12.9% | 9.8–13.4% | 9.5–13.7% | 8.9–14.5% |
8–29 November 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10.5% | 9.6–11.5% | 9.3–11.7% | 9.1–12.0% | 8.7–12.5% |
1–31 October 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10.6% | 9.3–12.1% | 8.9–12.5% | 8.7–12.8% | 8.1–13.6% |
1–31 October 2021 | Factum Interactive | 11.8% | 10.9–12.8% | 10.6–13.1% | 10.4–13.4% | 10.0–13.9% |
1 September–1 October 2021 | Factum Interactive | 11.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–30 September 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 August 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
27–31 August 2021 | Factum Interactive | 11.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 July 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
12.3% | 11.4–13.4% | 11.1–13.7% | 10.9–13.9% | 10.4–14.4% |
27–31 July 2021 | Factum Interactive | 14.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–30 June 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14.8% | 13.7–15.9% | 13.5–16.2% | 13.2–16.5% | 12.7–17.1% |
1–31 May 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14.3% | 13.3–15.4% | 13.0–15.7% | 12.8–16.0% | 12.3–16.6% |
26–31 May 2021 | Factum Interactive | 14.1% | 12.3–16.1% | 11.9–16.6% | 11.5–17.1% | 10.7–18.2% |
1–30 April 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
13.4% | 12.0–15.1% | 11.6–15.5% | 11.3–15.9% | 10.7–16.8% |
26–30 April 2021 | Factum Interactive | 11.9% | 10.7–13.2% | 10.4–13.5% | 10.2–13.9% | 9.6–14.5% |
9–19 April 2021 | Latvijas Fakti | 12.8% | 11.5–14.2% | 11.1–14.6% | 10.8–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
1–31 March 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
13.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 March 2021 | Latvijas Fakti | 13.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–30 March 2021 | Factum Interactive | 12.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–28 February 2021 | Latvijas Fakti | 10.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–28 February 2021 | Factum Interactive | 11.1% | 10.2–12.1% | 10.0–12.3% | 9.8–12.6% | 9.3–13.1% |
28–31 January 2021 | Factum Interactive | 12.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 December 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11.3% | 10.1–12.8% | 9.7–13.2% | 9.4–13.6% | 8.9–14.3% |
1–17 December 2020 | Factum Interactive | 12.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–30 November 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14.4% | 12.9–16.1% | 12.5–16.6% | 12.2–17.0% | 11.5–17.8% |
11–30 November 2020 | Factum Interactive | 12.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–30 October 2020 | Factum Interactive | 13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9–20 October 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11.2% | 10.0–12.7% | 9.6–13.1% | 9.3–13.5% | 8.7–14.2% |
29 September–4 October 2020 | Factum Interactive | 12.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–21 September 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10.5% | 9.3–11.9% | 8.9–12.3% | 8.6–12.7% | 8.1–13.4% |
1–31 August 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–11.0% | 7.6–11.3% | 7.1–12.0% |
1–24 August 2020 | Factum Interactive | 13.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7–20 August 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
9.2% | 8.1–10.6% | 7.8–11.0% | 7.5–11.3% | 7.0–12.0% |
1–31 July 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
6.8% | 5.8–8.0% | 5.5–8.3% | 5.3–8.6% | 4.9–9.3% |
8–31 July 2020 | Factum Interactive | 11.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–30 June 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10.9% | 9.2–12.9% | 8.7–13.5% | 8.3–14.1% | 7.6–15.1% |
1–30 June 2020 | Factum Interactive | 10.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
23 May–2 June 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10.9% | 9.3–13.0% | 8.8–13.6% | 8.4–14.1% | 7.6–15.2% |
18–31 May 2020 | Factum Interactive | 11.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7–26 April 2020 | Factum Interactive | 11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 March 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10.9% | 9.6–12.3% | 9.3–12.7% | 9.0–13.1% | 8.4–13.8% |
4–28 March 2020 | Factum Interactive | 11.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–28 February 2020 | Factum Interactive | 11.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7–18 February 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10.7% | 9.4–12.1% | 9.1–12.5% | 8.8–12.9% | 8.2–13.6% |
28 January–1 February 2020 | Factum Interactive | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 January 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–31 December 2019 | Factum Interactive | 13.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30 November–12 December 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
12.7% | 11.3–14.3% | 11.0–14.8% | 10.6–15.2% | 10.0–16.0% |
21–24 November 2019 | Factum Interactive | 11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–12 November 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
16.0% | 14.5–17.6% | 14.0–18.1% | 13.7–18.5% | 13.0–19.3% |
15–22 October 2019 | Factum Interactive | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–16 October 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
12.9% | 11.5–14.4% | 11.2–14.8% | 10.9–15.2% | 10.2–16.0% |
27–30 September 2019 | Factum Interactive | 10.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
6–18 September 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14.4% | 13.0–16.0% | 12.6–16.5% | 12.3–16.9% | 11.6–17.7% |
1–31 August 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11.4% | 10.1–12.9% | 9.7–13.4% | 9.4–13.7% | 8.8–14.5% |
27–30 August 2019 | Factum Interactive | 10.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 July 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10.9% | 9.6–12.4% | 9.3–12.9% | 9.0–13.2% | 8.4–14.0% |
22–29 July 2019 | Factum Interactive | 15.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–30 June 2019 | Factum Interactive | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7–17 June 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
12.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 May 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
13.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–28 May 2019 | Factum Interactive | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–21 May 2019 | Berg Research jauns.lv |
16.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–30 April 2019 | Factum Interactive | 11.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–27 April 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–22 April 2019 | Latvijas Fakti | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–14 April 2019 | Factum Interactive | 13.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26 March–5 April 2019 | Factum Interactive | 14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 March 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 March 2019 | Factum Interactive | 13.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–18 March 2019 | Latvijas Fakti | 12.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–28 February 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–23 January 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–12 December 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–15 November 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
13–23 October 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 5% | 99.9% | |
8.5–9.5% | 27% | 95% | |
9.5–10.5% | 23% | 67% | Median |
10.5–11.5% | 25% | 44% | Last Result |
11.5–12.5% | 16% | 19% | |
12.5–13.5% | 3% | 3% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 13 seats (General Election of 6 October 2018)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–17 |
1–30 September 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14 | 14 | 14–15 | 13–16 | 13–17 |
15–20 September 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 |
4–6 September 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
13 | 13 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 |
1–31 August 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
16 | 15–16 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 |
16–21 August 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
13 | 13 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 |
3–7 August 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
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1–31 July 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
17 | 17 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–19 |
20–24 July 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
13 | 13–14 | 13–15 | 12–17 | 12–18 |
6–10 July 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
15 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–19 |
1–30 June 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
27–31 May 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 |
13–24 May 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
18 | 16–20 | 16–23 | 16–24 | 15–24 |
22 April–2 May 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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26–29 April 2022 | Factum Interactive ReTV |
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1–31 March 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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29–31 March 2022 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–28 February 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 |
23–28 February 2022 | Factum Interactive | 13 | 13–14 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 11–17 |
1 January–2 February 2022 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–31 January 2022 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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1–31 December 2021 | SKDS | 14 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–17 |
1–31 December 2021 | Factum Interactive | 14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 12–15 | 10–17 |
1–30 November 2021 | Factum Interactive | 14 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 10–18 |
8–29 November 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
13 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–16 | 11–16 |
1–31 October 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
12 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–17 | 10–17 |
1–31 October 2021 | Factum Interactive | 15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
1 September–1 October 2021 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–30 September 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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1–31 August 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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27–31 August 2021 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–31 July 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14 | 13–14 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 11–17 |
27–31 July 2021 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–30 June 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
16 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–20 |
1–31 May 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
26–31 May 2021 | Factum Interactive | 16 | 14–17 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–20 |
1–30 April 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
13 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–17 |
26–30 April 2021 | Factum Interactive | 14 | 13–16 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 10–17 |
9–19 April 2021 | Latvijas Fakti | 14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 11–17 | 11–19 |
1–31 March 2021 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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1–31 March 2021 | Latvijas Fakti | |||||
26–30 March 2021 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–28 February 2021 | Latvijas Fakti | |||||
1–28 February 2021 | Factum Interactive | 14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 12–14 |
28–31 January 2021 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–31 December 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–16 |
1–17 December 2020 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–30 November 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
16 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–19 |
11–30 November 2020 | Factum Interactive | |||||
26–30 October 2020 | Factum Interactive | |||||
9–20 October 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–16 |
29 September–4 October 2020 | Factum Interactive | |||||
11–21 September 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
1–31 August 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10 | 9–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 |
1–24 August 2020 | Factum Interactive | |||||
7–20 August 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
10 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 6–13 |
1–31 July 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
16 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 0–23 |
8–31 July 2020 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–30 June 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
13 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 7–17 |
1–30 June 2020 | Factum Interactive | |||||
23 May–2 June 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
13 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 8–19 |
18–31 May 2020 | Factum Interactive | |||||
7–26 April 2020 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–31 March 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 9–15 |
4–28 March 2020 | Factum Interactive | |||||
24–28 February 2020 | Factum Interactive | |||||
7–18 February 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 |
28 January–1 February 2020 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–31 January 2020 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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18–31 December 2019 | Factum Interactive | |||||
30 November–12 December 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 12–17 |
21–24 November 2019 | Factum Interactive | |||||
2–12 November 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
17 | 16–20 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 14–21 |
15–22 October 2019 | Factum Interactive | |||||
5–16 October 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
14 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 11–19 |
27–30 September 2019 | Factum Interactive | |||||
6–18 September 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
16 | 15–17 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–20 |
1–31 August 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
11 | 11 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 10–17 |
27–30 August 2019 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–31 July 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 |
22–29 July 2019 | Factum Interactive | |||||
26–30 June 2019 | Factum Interactive | |||||
7–17 June 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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1–31 May 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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1–28 May 2019 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–21 May 2019 | Berg Research jauns.lv |
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1–30 April 2019 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–27 April 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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12–22 April 2019 | Latvijas Fakti | |||||
10–14 April 2019 | Factum Interactive | |||||
26 March–5 April 2019 | Factum Interactive | |||||
1–31 March 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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1–31 March 2019 | Factum Interactive | |||||
3–18 March 2019 | Latvijas Fakti | |||||
1–28 February 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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11–23 January 2019 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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1–12 December 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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3–15 November 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
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13–23 October 2018 | SKDS Latvijas Televīzija |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Nacionālā apvienība „Visu Latvijai!”–„Tēvzemei un Brīvībai/LNNK”.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
8 | 0% | 99.8% | |
9 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
10 | 10% | 98.7% | |
11 | 14% | 89% | |
12 | 23% | 75% | |
13 | 4% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
14 | 43% | 48% | |
15 | 4% | 5% | |
16 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
17 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
19 | 0% | 0% |