Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 17.7% | 15.2–20.1% | 14.7–20.8% | 14.3–21.3% | 13.7–22.2% |
| 22–26 October 2024 | Marc ANT1 |
19.2% | 17.7–21.0% | 17.2–21.4% | 16.9–21.9% | 16.1–22.7% |
| 21–23 October 2024 | MRB Open TV |
18.2% | 16.6–20.1% | 16.1–20.7% | 15.7–21.1% | 14.9–22.1% |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
19.7% | 18.1–21.3% | 17.7–21.8% | 17.3–22.2% | 16.6–23.1% |
| 16–21 October 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
15.3% | 14.3–16.4% | 14.0–16.7% | 13.8–16.9% | 13.3–17.5% |
| 15–19 October 2024 | Alco Alpha TV |
17.9% | 16.3–19.8% | 15.8–20.4% | 15.4–20.8% | 14.6–21.7% |
| 14–16 October 2024 | GPO Star TV |
17.6% | 16.1–19.2% | 15.7–19.7% | 15.3–20.1% | 14.6–20.9% |
| 26 September–2 October 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
17.2% | 15.9–18.6% | 15.5–19.0% | 15.2–19.3% | 14.6–20.0% |
| 30 September–2 October 2024 | MRB Open TV |
15.8% | 14.6–17.2% | 14.2–17.6% | 13.9–17.9% | 13.4–18.6% |
| 29 September–1 October 2024 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
15.7% | 14.4–17.2% | 14.0–17.6% | 13.7–18.0% | 13.0–18.7% |
| 24–28 September 2024 | Palmos Analysis Tvxs.gr |
18.2% | 16.6–20.1% | 16.1–20.6% | 15.7–21.0% | 15.0–21.9% |
| 24–27 September 2024 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
16.6% | 15.3–18.1% | 14.9–18.5% | 14.6–18.9% | 14.0–19.6% |
| 13–23 September 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
15.5% | 14.2–16.9% | 13.9–17.3% | 13.5–17.6% | 13.0–18.3% |
| 19–23 September 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
17.1% | 16.2–18.1% | 15.9–18.4% | 15.7–18.7% | 15.2–19.2% |
| 16–21 September 2024 | Prorata Attica TV |
15.3% | 13.9–17.0% | 13.5–17.5% | 13.1–17.9% | 12.4–18.7% |
| 13–18 September 2024 | MRB Open TV |
15.5% | 14.2–16.9% | 13.9–17.3% | 13.6–17.6% | 13.0–18.3% |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
16.0% | 14.7–17.6% | 14.3–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.3–19.1% |
| 9–14 September 2024 | Alco Alpha TV |
16.0% | 14.4–17.9% | 14.0–18.4% | 13.6–18.9% | 12.8–19.8% |
| 2–11 September 2024 | Data RC Peloponnisos |
16.5% | 15.0–18.3% | 14.6–18.8% | 14.2–19.2% | 13.5–20.1% |
| 4–10 September 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
15.7% | 14.3–17.3% | 13.9–17.7% | 13.5–18.1% | 12.9–18.9% |
| 8–10 September 2024 | GPO Star TV |
14.7% | 13.3–16.3% | 12.9–16.7% | 12.6–17.1% | 12.0–17.8% |
| 2–6 September 2024 | Interview Political |
14.6% | 13.2–16.2% | 12.8–16.6% | 12.5–17.0% | 11.9–17.8% |
| 27–30 August 2024 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
15.0% | 13.7–16.5% | 13.3–16.9% | 13.0–17.3% | 12.3–18.0% |
| 26–30 August 2024 | MRB Open TV |
13.4% | 12.3–14.7% | 11.9–15.1% | 11.7–15.4% | 11.1–16.1% |
| 21–26 August 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
14.0% | 13.1–15.0% | 12.9–15.2% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.2–15.9% |
| 27 June–4 July 2024 | MRB | 13.3% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.8–15.0% | 11.3–15.6% |
| 21 June–1 July 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
12.8% | 11.6–14.1% | 11.3–14.5% | 11.0–14.8% | 10.4–15.5% |
| 25–28 June 2024 | Κάπα Research | 13.9% | 12.8–15.2% | 12.4–15.6% | 12.1–15.9% | 11.6–16.6% |
| 17–19 June 2024 | GPO Star TV |
14.4% | 13.0–15.9% | 12.7–16.3% | 12.3–16.6% | 11.7–17.4% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 11% | 96% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 16% | 86% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 18% | 70% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 19% | 53% | Median |
| 18.5–19.5% | 17% | 34% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 11% | 17% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 22–26 October 2024 | Marc ANT1 |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 21–23 October 2024 | MRB Open TV |
4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 16–21 October 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 15–19 October 2024 | Alco Alpha TV |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 14–16 October 2024 | GPO Star TV |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 26 September–2 October 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 30 September–2 October 2024 | MRB Open TV |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 29 September–1 October 2024 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 24–28 September 2024 | Palmos Analysis Tvxs.gr |
4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 24–27 September 2024 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 13–23 September 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 19–23 September 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 16–21 September 2024 | Prorata Attica TV |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 13–18 September 2024 | MRB Open TV |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Pulse RC ΣΚΑΪ |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 9–14 September 2024 | Alco Alpha TV |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 2–11 September 2024 | Data RC Peloponnisos |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 4–10 September 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 8–10 September 2024 | GPO Star TV |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 2–6 September 2024 | Interview Political |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 27–30 August 2024 | Opinion Poll Action 24 |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 26–30 August 2024 | MRB Open TV |
3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 21–26 August 2024 | Interview Politic.gr |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 27 June–4 July 2024 | MRB | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 21 June–1 July 2024 | Metron Analysis Mega TV |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 25–28 June 2024 | Κάπα Research | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 17–19 June 2024 | GPO Star TV |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Κίνημα Αλλαγής (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 24% | 100% | |
| 4 | 69% | 76% | Median |
| 5 | 8% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |