Величие (*)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4.4% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.3–5.6% | 3.1–5.9% | 2.8–6.5% |
| 29 September–12 October 2025 | Gallup International | 4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.2–5.9% | 2.8–6.4% |
| 13–20 September 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| 4–12 September 2025 | Мяра | 4.5% | 3.7–5.6% | 3.4–5.9% | 3.3–6.2% | 2.9–6.7% |
| 11–23 July 2025 | Gallup International | 4.2% | 3.4–5.3% | 3.2–5.6% | 3.0–5.9% | 2.7–6.4% |
| 7–14 July 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 4.4% | 3.6–5.4% | 3.4–5.7% | 3.2–5.9% | 2.9–6.4% |
| 9–11 June 2025 | Sova Harris | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| 28 May–4 June 2025 | Gallup International | 3.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 May 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 18–30 April 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
4.6% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| 3–13 April 2025 | Мяра | 4.3% | 3.5–5.4% | 3.3–5.7% | 3.1–6.0% | 2.8–6.5% |
| 22–30 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 19–30 March 2025 | Gallup International | 3.8% | 3.1–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.7–5.4% | 2.4–5.9% |
| 10–16 March 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 22 February–2 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–20 February 2025 | Gallup International | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.6% | 2.5–6.1% |
| 6–16 February 2025 | Мяра | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.6% | 2.5–6.2% |
| 25 January–3 February 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–30 January 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 15–20 January 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 January 2025 | Gallup International | 3.6% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.5–5.2% | 2.2–5.7% |
| 12–20 December 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.2% |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.4% |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.1% |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
4.1% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.0% |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
4.2% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.2–5.6% | 3.0–5.9% | 2.7–6.4% |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 3.2% | 2.5–4.2% | 2.4–4.5% | 2.2–4.7% | 1.9–5.2% |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
3.8% | 3.1–4.6% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
3.6% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.5–5.2% | 2.2–5.7% |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС | 3.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Величие (*).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 11% | 99.9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 50% | 89% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 33% | 39% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 6% | 6% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 29 September–12 October 2025 | Gallup International | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13–20 September 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–12 September 2025 | Мяра | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–23 July 2025 | Gallup International | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 7–14 July 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 9–11 June 2025 | Sova Harris | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28 May–4 June 2025 | Gallup International | |||||
| 12–18 May 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18–30 April 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–13 April 2025 | Мяра | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 22–30 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 19–30 March 2025 | Gallup International | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10–16 March 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 February–2 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
|||||
| 13–20 February 2025 | Gallup International | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 6–16 February 2025 | Мяра | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 25 January–3 February 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
|||||
| 24–30 January 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–20 January 2025 | Алфа рисърч | |||||
| 8–12 January 2025 | Gallup International | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12–20 December 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
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| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | |||||
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Величие (*).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 3% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |