Vihreä liitto

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 8.5% (General Election of 19 April 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 12.5% 11.3–14.0% 11.0–14.5% 10.7–14.9% 10.2–15.6%
1–9 April 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 12.2% 11.1–13.5% 10.8–13.8% 10.5–14.2% 10.0–14.8%
3–7 April 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.3% 10.6–13.5% 10.2–14.0%
25 March–3 April 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 13.3% 12.1–14.7% 11.8–15.0% 11.5–15.4% 11.0–16.0%
6–26 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 13.0% 11.9–14.3% 11.5–14.7% 11.2–15.0% 10.7–15.7%
18 February–15 March 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 14.0% 13.0–15.2% 12.7–15.5% 12.4–15.8% 11.9–16.4%
6 February–5 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 13.7% 12.7–14.8% 12.4–15.1% 12.2–15.4% 11.7–15.9%
18 February–3 March 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 13.2% 12.0–14.6% 11.7–14.9% 11.4–15.3% 10.9–15.9%
14 January–14 February 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 13.6% 12.6–14.7% 12.3–15.0% 12.0–15.3% 11.6–15.9%
14 January–5 February 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 14.6% 13.6–15.7% 13.3–16.0% 13.0–16.3% 12.6–16.9%
14–28 January 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 13.0% 11.8–14.4% 11.5–14.8% 11.2–15.1% 10.6–15.8%
13 December 2018–11 January 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 12.9% 12.0–13.8% 11.8–14.1% 11.6–14.3% 11.2–14.8%
10 December 2018–8 January 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 13.6% 12.7–14.5% 12.5–14.8% 12.3–15.0% 11.9–15.5%
5–18 December 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 12.9% 11.7–14.2% 11.3–14.6% 11.1–14.9% 10.5–15.6%
13 November–12 December 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 13.4% 12.5–14.4% 12.3–14.6% 12.1–14.9% 11.7–15.4%
12 November–4 December 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 13.9% 12.9–15.0% 12.6–15.3% 12.4–15.6% 11.9–16.1%
14–23 November 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 13.6% 12.4–14.9% 12.0–15.3% 11.7–15.7% 11.2–16.3%
15 October–12 November 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 12.5% 11.6–13.4% 11.4–13.7% 11.2–13.9% 10.8–14.4%
3 October–6 November 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 11.3% 10.5–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 10.0–12.8% 9.6–13.2%
12–30 October 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 12.9% 11.7–14.3% 11.4–14.7% 11.1–15.0% 10.5–15.7%
17 September–11 October 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 12.0% 11.2–12.9% 10.9–13.1% 10.7–13.4% 10.4–13.8%
10 September–2 October 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 11.6% 10.6–12.8% 10.3–13.1% 10.0–13.4% 9.6–14.0%
14–27 September 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 12.3% 11.1–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.4–14.4% 9.9–15.1%
20 August–14 September 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 12.9% 11.9–14.1% 11.6–14.4% 11.4–14.7% 10.9–15.2%
13 August–4 September 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 12.6% 11.5–13.8% 11.2–14.1% 11.0–14.4% 10.5–15.0%
13–25 August 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 13.1% 11.9–14.5% 11.6–14.9% 11.3–15.2% 10.8–15.9%
16 July–16 August 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 13.7% 12.6–14.8% 12.3–15.2% 12.0–15.5% 11.5–16.1%
9 July–7 August 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 13.6% 12.7–14.5% 12.5–14.8% 12.3–15.0% 11.9–15.5%
11 June–12 July 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 13.2% 12.4–14.1% 12.1–14.4% 11.9–14.6% 11.5–15.0%
6 June–3 July 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 13.9% 13.0–14.8% 12.8–15.1% 12.6–15.3% 12.2–15.8%
6–26 June 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 13.9% 12.7–15.3% 12.3–15.7% 12.0–16.0% 11.4–16.7%
14 May–10 June 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 13.5% 12.7–14.4% 12.4–14.7% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.4%
2 May–5 June 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 14.4% 13.7–15.2% 13.4–15.4% 13.3–15.6% 12.9–16.0%
18–31 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 13.1% 11.9–14.5% 11.6–14.8% 11.3–15.2% 10.7–15.9%
16 April–11 May 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 14.2% 13.3–15.1% 13.1–15.4% 12.8–15.6% 12.5–16.1%
19 April–2 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 13.2% 12.0–14.6% 11.6–14.9% 11.3–15.3% 10.8–16.0%
3–26 April 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 14.9% 13.8–16.1% 13.5–16.4% 13.2–16.8% 12.7–17.3%
19 March–12 April 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 14.0% 13.1–15.0% 12.9–15.2% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9%
1–27 March 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 14.2% 13.2–15.4% 12.8–15.7% 12.6–16.0% 12.1–16.6%
16–26 March 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 13.3% 12.1–14.7% 11.8–15.1% 11.5–15.4% 10.9–16.1%
19 February–15 March 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 14.5% 13.6–15.5% 13.4–15.7% 13.2–16.0% 12.8–16.4%
7–28 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 14.5% 13.4–15.7% 13.1–16.0% 12.9–16.3% 12.4–16.9%
14–26 February 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 13.6% 12.3–15.0% 12.0–15.3% 11.7–15.7% 11.1–16.4%
22 January–15 February 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 14.4% 13.5–15.4% 13.3–15.7% 13.1–15.9% 12.7–16.4%
28 December 2017–6 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 14.0% 13.2–14.9% 13.0–15.2% 12.8–15.4% 12.4–15.8%
19–29 January 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 14.5% 13.3–15.9% 12.9–16.2% 12.6–16.6% 12.0–17.3%
12 December 2017–18 January 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 15.5% 14.6–16.5% 14.3–16.7% 14.1–17.0% 13.7–17.5%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Vihreä liitto.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8.5–9.5% 0% 100% Last Result
9.5–10.5% 1.5% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 15% 98%  
11.5–12.5% 36% 83% Median
12.5–13.5% 30% 47%  
13.5–14.5% 14% 18%  
14.5–15.5% 4% 4%  
15.5–16.5% 0.5% 0.6%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 15 seats (General Election of 19 April 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 23 21–28 19–29 19–30 18–32
1–9 April 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 23 21–27 20–27 19–28 17–30
3–7 April 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 22 19–24 19–25 18–26 18–28
25 March–3 April 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 26 22–30 22–31 21–31 20–32
6–26 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 24 22–28 21–29 21–30 19–31
18 February–15 March 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 28 25–30 24–31 22–32 22–33
6 February–5 March 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 26 23–29 23–30 22–31 22–32
18 February–3 March 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 26 22–29 22–30 22–31 19–32
14 January–14 February 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 27 23–29 22–30 22–31 22–32
14 January–5 February 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 29 27–32 26–32 24–32 23–33
14–28 January 2019 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 25 22–29 21–29 20–30 18–31
13 December 2018–11 January 2019 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 24 22–28 22–28 22–28 20–29
10 December 2018–8 January 2019 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 26 24–29 23–30 22–31 21–32
5–18 December 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 25 22–28 22–28 20–30 18–31
13 November–12 December 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 26 24–28 22–29 22–30 22–31
12 November–4 December 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 28 24–30 23–31 23–32 22–32
14–23 November 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 27 23–30 22–30 22–31 21–32
15 October–12 November 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 23 22–26 21–27 20–28 19–29
3 October–6 November 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 20 18–23 18–23 18–24 17–25
12–30 October 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 25 22–29 21–30 20–31 18–31
17 September–11 October 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 22 20–24 19–25 19–26 18–27
10 September–2 October 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 21 19–23 18–24 18–26 17–28
14–27 September 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 23 20–27 19–28 18–29 17–31
20 August–14 September 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 25 22–28 22–28 21–29 19–30
13 August–4 September 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 25 21–27 21–28 20–28 19–30
13–25 August 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 25 22–29 21–30 20–31 19–32
16 July–16 August 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 26 24–29 23–30 22–31 21–31
9 July–7 August 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 27 24–28 23–30 22–31 22–31
11 June–12 July 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 25 24–28 23–28 22–29 21–31
6 June–3 July 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 28 25–30 24–30 23–31 22–32
6–26 June 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 27 23–30 22–31 22–32 21–33
14 May–10 June 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 26 24–28 23–30 22–30 22–31
2 May–5 June 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 29 27–31 26–31 26–31 25–32
18–31 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 26 23–30 22–30 21–31 19–31
16 April–11 May 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 28 25–30 25–31 24–31 23–32
19 April–2 May 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 26 22–29 22–30 22–31 19–32
3–26 April 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 30 27–31 26–32 25–32 24–34
19 March–12 April 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 28 25–30 25–31 24–31 23–31
1–27 March 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 28 25–31 24–31 23–31 22–32
16–26 March 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 26 22–30 22–31 22–31 20–32
19 February–15 March 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 28 26–31 25–31 25–31 24–31
7–28 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 29 25–31 25–32 25–32 23–33
14–26 February 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 26 23–29 22–31 22–31 21–32
22 January–15 February 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 28 26–31 25–31 25–31 24–32
28 December 2017–6 February 2018 Taloustutkimus
Yle		 27 25–29 24–31 23–31 23–32
19–29 January 2018 Tietoykkönen
Iltalehti and Uusi Suomi		 29 25–31 24–32 24–33 22–34
12 December 2017–18 January 2018 Kantar TNS
Helsingin Sanomat		 31 28–32 27–32 26–32 25–34

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Vihreä liitto.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0% 100% Last Result
16 0% 100%  
17 0.2% 100%  
18 1.2% 99.8%  
19 4% 98.6%  
20 3% 95%  
21 17% 92%  
22 16% 76%  
23 14% 59% Median
24 8% 45%  
25 10% 38%  
26 6% 27%  
27 7% 21%  
28 8% 14%  
29 2% 6%  
30 2% 4%  
31 1.1% 2%  
32 0.7% 0.7%  
33 0% 0%