Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12.9% | 11.9–14.0% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.2–14.5% | 10.6–15.1% |
| 28 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 13.3% | 12.5–14.1% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.1–14.6% | 11.8–15.0% |
| 25–28 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
12.7% | 11.9–13.6% | 11.6–13.8% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.1–14.5% |
| 27 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
12.7% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.1–14.4% | 10.8–14.8% | 10.2–15.5% |
| 24 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 14.6% | 14.1–15.2% | 13.9–15.3% | 13.8–15.4% | 13.6–15.7% |
| 23–24 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
12.6% | 11.8–13.5% | 11.6–13.7% | 11.4–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| 17–20 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
15.3% | 14.1–16.5% | 13.8–16.9% | 13.5–17.2% | 13.0–17.8% |
| 17 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 15.9% | 15.1–16.8% | 14.9–17.1% | 14.7–17.3% | 14.3–17.7% |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
15.9% | 15.0–16.9% | 14.7–17.1% | 14.5–17.4% | 14.1–17.9% |
| 10–13 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
15.3% | 14.1–16.5% | 13.8–16.8% | 13.6–17.1% | 13.0–17.7% |
| 10 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 14.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
15.7% | 14.7–16.8% | 14.4–17.1% | 14.2–17.3% | 13.7–17.8% |
| 3 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 15.3% | 14.4–16.1% | 14.2–16.4% | 14.0–16.6% | 13.6–17.0% |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
15.3% | 13.9–16.8% | 13.6–17.2% | 13.2–17.6% | 12.6–18.3% |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
15.5% | 14.5–16.6% | 14.2–16.9% | 13.9–17.2% | 13.5–17.7% |
| 26 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 15.3% | 14.4–16.1% | 14.2–16.4% | 14.0–16.6% | 13.6–17.0% |
| 19 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 14.6% | 13.8–15.5% | 13.6–15.7% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.0–16.4% |
| 13–15 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
15.3% | 14.3–16.4% | 14.0–16.7% | 13.8–17.0% | 13.3–17.5% |
| 6 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 15.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
16.1% | 15.1–17.2% | 14.8–17.5% | 14.6–17.8% | 14.1–18.4% |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
14.5% | 13.4–15.7% | 13.1–16.1% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.3–17.0% |
| 25 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 14.6% | 14.0–15.2% | 13.9–15.4% | 13.7–15.5% | 13.5–15.8% |
| 8–9 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 15.9% | 15.1–16.8% | 14.9–17.1% | 14.7–17.3% | 14.3–17.7% |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
14.6% | 13.5–15.8% | 13.2–16.2% | 12.9–16.5% | 12.4–17.1% |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 15.1% | 14.0–16.3% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.5–16.9% | 13.0–17.4% |
| 25–26 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 14.0% | 13.2–14.8% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.4–15.7% |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
13.3% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.0–14.7% | 11.8–15.0% | 11.4–15.5% |
| 21 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 14.0% | 13.2–14.8% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.4–15.7% |
| 13–16 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 13.6% | 12.7–14.6% | 12.4–14.8% | 12.2–15.1% | 11.8–15.5% |
| 6–9 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
13.3% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.7–15.1% | 11.2–15.6% |
| 6–7 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 11.8% | 10.9–12.7% | 10.7–13.0% | 10.5–13.2% | 10.1–13.6% |
| 30–31 May 2025 | Peil.nl | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
11.9% | 10.9–13.0% | 10.6–13.3% | 10.3–13.6% | 9.9–14.1% |
| 9–12 May 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 11.1% | 10.3–12.0% | 10.0–12.3% | 9.8–12.5% | 9.4–13.0% |
| 25–28 April 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
12.2% | 11.2–13.3% | 10.9–13.6% | 10.7–13.9% | 10.2–14.5% |
| 25–26 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| 11–14 April 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 11.7% | 10.8–12.7% | 10.6–13.0% | 10.4–13.2% | 10.0–13.7% |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| 28–29 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
9.6% | 8.7–10.6% | 8.4–10.9% | 8.2–11.2% | 7.8–11.7% |
| 14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 11.2% | 10.3–12.1% | 10.1–12.4% | 9.9–12.6% | 9.5–13.1% |
| 7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
9.5% | 8.4–10.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 8.0–10.9% | 7.6–11.4% |
| 21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| 14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 10.1% | 9.3–11.0% | 9.1–11.3% | 8.9–11.5% | 8.5–11.9% |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
10.2% | 9.3–11.3% | 9.0–11.6% | 8.8–11.8% | 8.4–12.3% |
| 24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 10.6% | 9.9–11.4% | 9.7–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| 17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 10.1% | 9.3–11.0% | 9.1–11.2% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.8% |
| 24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
10.4% | 9.4–11.4% | 9.2–11.7% | 8.9–12.0% | 8.5–12.5% |
| 13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 8.7% | 7.9–9.6% | 7.7–9.8% | 7.5–10.0% | 7.1–10.5% |
| 22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.5% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.5–9.9% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.6% |
| 22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 7.3% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.5% | 5.9–8.9% |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
7.8% | 7.2–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.4–9.9% |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 7.1% | 6.4–7.9% | 6.2–8.1% | 6.1–8.3% | 5.8–8.6% |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
7.0% | 5.9–7.5% | 5.7–7.8% | 5.5–8.0% | 5.2–8.4% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 7.4% | 6.7–8.2% | 6.5–8.4% | 6.3–8.6% | 6.0–9.0% |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 6.2% | 5.6–6.9% | 5.4–7.1% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.0–7.7% |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 7.3% | 6.9–7.8% | 6.7–8.0% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
5.6% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.0–7.0% |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
5.7% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | 7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 6.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 26% | 95% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 46% | 69% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 20% | 22% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 28 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 25–28 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 27 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 24 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 23–24 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 17–20 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 17 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 10–13 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
6 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 10 October 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 3–6 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 3 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
6 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 26 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 19 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 13–15 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 6 September 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 25 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 8–9 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 25–26 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 20–23 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 21 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 13–16 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 6–9 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 6–7 June 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 5–6 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 30–31 May 2025 | Peil.nl | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 9–12 May 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 25–28 April 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 25–26 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–6 |
| 11–14 April 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 28–29 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
|||||
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 65% | 99.9% | Median |
| 5 | 35% | 35% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |