Bloco de Esquerda (GUE/NGL)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5.3% | 3.7–6.9% | 3.5–7.3% | 3.2–7.7% | 2.9–8.5% |
| 17–23 October 2024 | CESOP–UCP Antena 1, Público and RTP |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 4–10 October 2024 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
6.0% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.7–7.9% | 4.4–8.2% | 3.9–9.0% |
| 30 September–5 October 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
5.5% | 4.6–6.7% | 4.3–7.0% | 4.1–7.3% | 3.7–7.9% |
| 29 August–4 September 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
6.3% | 5.2–7.7% | 4.9–8.2% | 4.6–8.5% | 4.1–9.3% |
| 19–26 July 2024 | Intercampus CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
6.2% | 5.1–7.7% | 4.8–8.1% | 4.6–8.5% | 4.1–9.2% |
| 7–13 July 2024 | CESOP–UCP RTP |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
4.6% | 3.8–5.7% | 3.6–6.0% | 3.4–6.3% | 3.0–6.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Bloco de Esquerda (GUE/NGL).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 24% | 93% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 28% | 70% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 27% | 42% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 12% | 15% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 17–23 October 2024 | CESOP–UCP Antena 1, Público and RTP |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–10 October 2024 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 30 September–5 October 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
| 29 August–4 September 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 19–26 July 2024 | Intercampus CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–13 July 2024 | CESOP–UCP RTP |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Bloco de Esquerda (GUE/NGL).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 86% | 88% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |