Bloco de Esquerda (GUE/NGL)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2.7% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.7–4.0% | 1.6–4.3% | 1.3–4.9% |
| 2–5 September 2025 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
2.5% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.6–3.8% | 1.5–4.1% | 1.2–4.6% |
| 7–14 August 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
2.8% | 2.1–3.9% | 1.9–4.2% | 1.7–4.5% | 1.4–5.1% |
| 11–18 July 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
2.9% | 2.1–4.0% | 1.9–4.3% | 1.8–4.6% | 1.5–5.2% |
| 5–15 June 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
1.8% | 1.2–2.8% | 1.1–3.0% | 1.0–3.3% | 0.8–3.8% |
| 12–15 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
2.2% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.4–3.5% | 1.2–3.9% |
| 11–14 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.7–3.9% | 1.4–4.4% |
| 10–13 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
2.3% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.5–3.6% | 1.3–4.1% |
| 6–13 May 2025 | Consulmark2 Euronews and Sol |
3.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.7–5.3% | 2.5–5.6% | 2.1–6.2% |
| 6–13 May 2025 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% |
| 9–12 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
3.2% | 2.5–4.2% | 2.3–4.4% | 2.2–4.7% | 1.9–5.2% |
| 8–11 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
2.3% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.5–3.6% | 1.3–4.1% |
| 7–10 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
2.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 May 2025 | Pitágorica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
3.5% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.6–4.7% | 2.4–5.0% | 2.1–5.5% |
| 5–8 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
2.5% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.6–3.8% | 1.4–4.2% |
| 4–7 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
2.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
2.1% | 1.6–2.9% | 1.4–3.1% | 1.3–3.3% | 1.1–3.8% |
| 28 April–6 May 2025 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| 2–5 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
2.3% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.5–3.6% | 1.3–4.1% |
| 24 April–5 May 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
| 25 April–5 May 2025 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 1–5 May 2025 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
3.4% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.8% | 2.2–5.0% | 1.9–5.6% |
| 1–4 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
1.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 April–3 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
2.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 April–2 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
2.2% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.4–3.5% | 1.2–3.9% |
| 28 April–1 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
1.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 April 2025 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
| 14–22 April 2025 | Consulmark2 Euronews and Sol |
2.6% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–4.0% | 1.6–4.3% | 1.3–4.9% |
| 14–21 April 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.0–3.3% |
| 5–14 April 2025 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
2.0% | 1.5–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.2–3.2% | 1.0–3.6% |
| 4–9 April 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
2.9% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.0–4.5% | 1.8–4.8% | 1.5–5.4% |
| 4–8 April 2025 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
2.2% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.4–3.7% | 1.1–4.2% |
| 1–6 April 2025 | Aximage Folha Nacional |
2.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 March–3 April 2025 | Consulmark2 Euronews and Sol |
3.8% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.7–5.3% | 2.5–5.7% | 2.1–6.3% |
| 24–29 March 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| 20–26 March 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
3.1% | 2.3–4.3% | 2.1–4.6% | 1.9–4.9% | 1.6–5.6% |
| 17–26 March 2025 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.6–6.8% |
| 15–24 March 2025 | GfK Metris | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 17–21 March 2025 | Aximage Folha Nacional |
2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.5% |
| 12–17 March 2025 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
1.6% | 1.1–2.8% | 0.9–3.1% | 0.8–3.4% | 0.6–4.0% |
| 11–13 March 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
5.3% | 4.2–6.7% | 3.9–7.1% | 3.7–7.5% | 3.2–8.3% |
| 6–12 March 2025 | Consulmark2 Euronews and Sol |
3.4% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.9% | 2.2–5.2% | 1.9–5.8% |
| 4–10 March 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
5.5% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.2–7.4% | 3.9–7.8% | 3.4–8.6% |
| 6–8 March 2025 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
4.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.2–5.9% | 3.0–6.3% | 2.6–6.9% |
| 3–6 March 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
2.9% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.2% | 1.8–4.5% | 1.5–5.1% |
| 23–27 February 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
1.5% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% | 0.7–3.2% | 0.5–3.9% |
| 23–28 January 2025 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
3.8% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.6–5.3% | 2.3–5.8% |
| 21–26 January 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
3.0% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% | 1.7–5.2% | 1.4–5.9% |
| 21–26 January 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
5.9% | 4.8–7.4% | 4.5–7.8% | 4.2–8.2% | 3.7–8.9% |
| 16–21 January 2025 | Aximage Folha Nacional |
4.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–20 January 2025 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
3.0% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.7–4.9% |
| 28 December 2024–5 January 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
4.2% | 3.2–5.9% | 2.9–6.3% | 2.7–6.7% | 2.2–7.6% |
| 21–27 November 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
5.8% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.4–7.6% | 4.2–8.0% | 3.7–8.7% |
| 15–22 November 2024 | Aximage Folha Nacional |
3.2% | 2.6–4.2% | 2.4–4.5% | 2.2–4.7% | 1.9–5.2% |
| 13–19 November 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–23 October 2024 | CESOP–UCP Antena 1, Público and RTP |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 4–10 October 2024 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
6.0% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.7–7.9% | 4.4–8.2% | 3.9–9.0% |
| 30 September–5 October 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
5.5% | 4.6–6.7% | 4.3–7.0% | 4.1–7.3% | 3.7–7.9% |
| 29 August–4 September 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
6.3% | 5.2–7.7% | 4.9–8.2% | 4.6–8.5% | 4.1–9.3% |
| 19–26 July 2024 | Intercampus CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
6.2% | 5.1–7.7% | 4.8–8.1% | 4.6–8.5% | 4.1–9.2% |
| 7–13 July 2024 | CESOP–UCP RTP |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
4.6% | 3.8–5.7% | 3.6–6.0% | 3.4–6.3% | 3.0–6.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Bloco de Esquerda (GUE/NGL).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 37% | 98% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 47% | 61% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 13% | 14% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 2–5 September 2025 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 7–14 August 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–18 July 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 5–15 June 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12–15 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11–14 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 10–13 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 6–13 May 2025 | Consulmark2 Euronews and Sol |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–13 May 2025 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9–12 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 8–11 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 7–10 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
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| 6–9 May 2025 | Pitágorica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 5–8 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 4–7 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
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| 3–6 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 April–6 May 2025 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2–5 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 24 April–5 May 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 25 April–5 May 2025 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–5 May 2025 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–4 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
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| 30 April–3 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
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| 29 April–2 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 April–1 May 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
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| 21–24 April 2025 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14–22 April 2025 | Consulmark2 Euronews and Sol |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14–21 April 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5–14 April 2025 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–9 April 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–8 April 2025 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 1–6 April 2025 | Aximage Folha Nacional |
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| 27 March–3 April 2025 | Consulmark2 Euronews and Sol |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 24–29 March 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 20–26 March 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17–26 March 2025 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 15–24 March 2025 | GfK Metris | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17–21 March 2025 | Aximage Folha Nacional |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 12–17 March 2025 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 11–13 March 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 6–12 March 2025 | Consulmark2 Euronews and Sol |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–10 March 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 6–8 March 2025 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–6 March 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 23–27 February 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–28 January 2025 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 21–26 January 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 21–26 January 2025 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 16–21 January 2025 | Aximage Folha Nacional |
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| 9–20 January 2025 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28 December 2024–5 January 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 21–27 November 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 15–22 November 2024 | Aximage Folha Nacional |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13–19 November 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
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| 17–23 October 2024 | CESOP–UCP Antena 1, Público and RTP |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–10 October 2024 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 30 September–5 October 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
| 29 August–4 September 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 19–26 July 2024 | Intercampus CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 7–13 July 2024 | CESOP–UCP RTP |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Bloco de Esquerda (GUE/NGL).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 5% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |