LIVRE (Greens/EFA)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 3.4% 2.6–4.4% 2.4–4.7% 2.2–4.9% 2.0–5.5%
17–23 October 2024 CESOP–UCP
Antena 1, Público and RTP
3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
4–10 October 2024 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios
3.4% 2.7–4.6% 2.4–4.9% 2.3–5.2% 1.9–5.8%
30 September–5 October 2024 Aximage
Diário de Notícias
3.5% 2.8–4.5% 2.6–4.8% 2.4–5.0% 2.1–5.5%
29 August–4 September 2024 Intercampus
CMTV
3.0% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.4% 1.9–4.7% 1.6–5.2%
19–26 July 2024 Intercampus
CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios
5.3% 4.3–6.6% 4.0–7.0% 3.7–7.3% 3.3–8.0%
7–13 July 2024 CESOP–UCP
RTP
3.0% 2.4–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.8%
3–8 July 2024 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias
4.1% 3.3–5.2% 3.1–5.5% 2.9–5.7% 2.6–6.3%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for LIVRE (Greens/EFA).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 8% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 51% 91% Median
3.5–4.5% 34% 40%  
4.5–5.5% 6% 6%  
5.5–6.5% 0.5% 0.5%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
17–23 October 2024 CESOP–UCP
Antena 1, Público and RTP
0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
4–10 October 2024 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios
0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
30 September–5 October 2024 Aximage
Diário de Notícias
0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
29 August–4 September 2024 Intercampus
CMTV
0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
19–26 July 2024 Intercampus
CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios
1 1 1 0–1 0–2
7–13 July 2024 CESOP–UCP
RTP
0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
3–8 July 2024 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias
1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for LIVRE (Greens/EFA).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 77% 100% Last Result, Median
1 23% 23%  
2 0% 0%