LIVRE (Greens/EFA)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.1% | 2.0–5.4% | 1.7–6.1% |
| 28 December 2024–5 January 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
3.0% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% | 1.7–5.2% | 1.4–5.9% |
| 21–27 November 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
3.3% | 2.5–4.5% | 2.3–4.8% | 2.1–5.1% | 1.8–5.7% |
| 15–22 November 2024 | Aximage Folha Nacional |
4.2% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.2–5.6% | 3.0–5.9% | 2.7–6.4% |
| 13–19 November 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
4.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–23 October 2024 | CESOP–UCP Antena 1, Público and RTP |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 4–10 October 2024 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
3.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.4–4.9% | 2.3–5.2% | 1.9–5.8% |
| 30 September–5 October 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
3.5% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.4–5.0% | 2.1–5.5% |
| 29 August–4 September 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
3.0% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.4% | 1.9–4.7% | 1.6–5.2% |
| 19–26 July 2024 | Intercampus CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
5.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.0–7.0% | 3.7–7.3% | 3.3–8.0% |
| 7–13 July 2024 | CESOP–UCP RTP |
3.0% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
4.1% | 3.3–5.2% | 3.1–5.5% | 2.9–5.7% | 2.6–6.3% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for LIVRE (Greens/EFA).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 11% | 99.7% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 42% | 88% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 32% | 46% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 12% | 13% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28 December 2024–5 January 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 21–27 November 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 15–22 November 2024 | Aximage Folha Nacional |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13–19 November 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
|||||
| 17–23 October 2024 | CESOP–UCP Antena 1, Público and RTP |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–10 October 2024 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 30 September–5 October 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 29 August–4 September 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 19–26 July 2024 | Intercampus CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 7–13 July 2024 | CESOP–UCP RTP |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for LIVRE (Greens/EFA).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 67% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 33% | 33% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |