Partido Socialista (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 30.2% | 27.3–33.9% | 26.6–34.7% | 26.0–35.3% | 25.0–36.4% |
| 4–10 October 2024 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
29.6% | 27.3–32.0% | 26.6–32.7% | 26.1–33.3% | 25.0–34.5% |
| 30 September–5 October 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
28.6% | 26.6–30.7% | 26.0–31.3% | 25.5–31.8% | 24.6–32.8% |
| 29 August–4 September 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
31.5% | 29.1–34.0% | 28.4–34.7% | 27.9–35.3% | 26.8–36.5% |
| 19–26 July 2024 | Intercampus CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
25.9% | 23.8–28.3% | 23.1–29.0% | 22.6–29.6% | 21.6–30.7% |
| 7–13 July 2024 | CESOP–UCP RTP |
33.0% | 31.1–35.0% | 30.6–35.6% | 30.1–36.1% | 29.2–37.0% |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
29.5% | 27.5–31.6% | 26.9–32.2% | 26.4–32.7% | 25.5–33.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partido Socialista (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 8% | 95% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 13% | 87% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 15% | 74% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 13% | 59% | Median |
| 30.5–31.5% | 12% | 46% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 11% | 34% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 10% | 23% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 7% | 13% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 4% | 6% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| 4–10 October 2024 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 30 September–5 October 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 29 August–4 September 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| 19–26 July 2024 | Intercampus CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
6 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 7–13 July 2024 | CESOP–UCP RTP |
8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partido Socialista (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 12% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 48% | 88% | Median |
| 8 | 32% | 40% | |
| 9 | 8% | 8% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | Majority |