Eesti 200

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 1 March 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 4.2% 3.6–5.0% 3.4–5.3% 3.2–5.6% 2.9–6.1%
24 February–1 March 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
26–28 February 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.1%
18–24 February 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.4%
7–20 February 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 4.0% 3.7–4.4% 3.6–4.5% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8%
14–20 February 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 5.6% 4.8–6.5% 4.6–6.8% 4.4–7.1% 4.1–7.5%
12–18 February 2019 OÜ Faktum & Ariko 4.0% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.3% 2.8–5.8%
11–17 February 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 2.4% 1.9–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
4–11 February 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.2%
4–7 February 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 6.4% 5.6–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.0% 4.8–8.5%
28 January–4 February 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 4.6% 3.9–5.6% 3.6–5.8% 3.5–6.1% 3.1–6.6%
24–29 January 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.6%
15–28 January 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.1%
21–27 January 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
14–21 January 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
7–13 January 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.2% 1.6–3.4% 1.4–3.8%
3–9 January 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.4%
4–8 January 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 6.6% 5.8–7.5% 5.5–7.8% 5.3–8.0% 5.0–8.5%
13–19 December 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
5–12 December 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 8.2% 7.1–9.6% 6.8–9.9% 6.6–10.3% 6.1–10.9%
27 November–10 December 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
31 October–13 November 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
8–13 November 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
11–18 October 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 5.5% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.2–7.1% 3.8–7.6%
2–15 October 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–20 September 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 4.1% 3.4–5.1% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.6% 2.7–6.0%
4–17 September 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–26 August 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–22 August 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–30 July 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–17 June 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 May–11 June 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21 May 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21 May 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19 April 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–18 April 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–21 March 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–14 March 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–25 February 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–20 February 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–29 January 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–25 January 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Eesti 200.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 9% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 65% 91% Median
4.5–5.5% 24% 27%  
5.5–6.5% 3% 3%  
6.5–7.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 1 March 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–5
24 February–1 March 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
26–28 February 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
18–24 February 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 0 0 0 0 0–5
7–20 February 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 0 0 0 0 0
14–20 February 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 5 0–6 0–6 0–6 0–6
12–18 February 2019 OÜ Faktum & Ariko 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–5
11–17 February 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 0 0 0 0 0
4–11 February 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 0 0 0 0 0
4–7 February 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 6 5–7 4–7 4–8 0–8
28 January–4 February 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 0 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–6
24–29 January 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 7 6–8 5–8 5–9 5–9
15–28 January 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 4 0–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
21–27 January 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 0 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5
14–21 January 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 0 0 0 0–4 0–5
7–13 January 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut		 0 0 0 0 0
3–9 January 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 7 5–8 5–8 5–8 4–9
4–8 January 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 6 5–7 5–7 5–8 0–8
13–19 December 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 5 4–7 0–7 0–7 0–8
5–12 December 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 8 7–9 6–10 6–10 6–11
27 November–10 December 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 6 6–8 5–8 5–9 5–9
31 October–13 November 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		 8 7–9 6–10 6–10 5–11
8–13 November 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 8 7–10 7–10 6–10 6–11
11–18 October 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 5 0–6 0–6 0–7 0–7
2–15 October 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		          
12–20 September 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		 0 0 0–5 0–5 0–6
4–17 September 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		          
8–26 August 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		          
15–22 August 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		          
24–30 July 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		          
1–17 June 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		          
29 May–11 June 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		          
21 May 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		          
21 May 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		          
19 April 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		          
12–18 April 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		          
8–21 March 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		          
8–14 March 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		          
1–25 February 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		          
7–20 February 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		          
15–29 January 2018 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR		          
18–25 January 2018 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Eesti 200.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 10%  
2 0% 10%  
3 0% 10%  
4 4% 10%  
5 5% 6%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%