Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 17.9% (General Election of 27 September 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 23.2% 20.6–25.4% 18.9–26.0% 18.1–26.4% 17.1–27.2%
13–20 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 22.5% 20.9–24.3% 20.4–24.8% 20.0–25.2% 19.3–26.1%
12–19 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 23.4% 21.7–25.2% 21.3–25.7% 20.9–26.1% 20.1–27.0%
16–18 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 23.2% 21.4–25.3% 20.9–25.8% 20.5–26.3% 19.6–27.3%
11–18 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 24.0% 22.3–25.8% 21.9–26.3% 21.4–26.7% 20.7–27.6%
15–17 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 22.5% 20.7–24.5% 20.2–25.0% 19.7–25.5% 18.9–26.5%
10–17 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 24.0% 22.3–25.8% 21.9–26.3% 21.4–26.7% 20.7–27.6%
12–16 December 2017 Netquest
L’Indépendant		 23.6% 21.8–25.4% 21.3–26.0% 20.9–26.4% 20.1–27.4%
14–16 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 21.2% 19.5–23.2% 19.0–23.7% 18.5–24.2% 17.7–25.2%
9–16 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 24.1% 22.4–25.9% 21.9–26.4% 21.6–26.9% 20.8–27.7%
13–15 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 21.4% 19.6–23.3% 19.1–23.9% 18.7–24.4% 17.8–25.3%
11–15 December 2017 GAD3
ABC		 25.1% 23.7–26.6% 23.3–27.0% 23.0–27.4% 22.3–28.1%
8–15 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 24.2% 22.5–26.0% 22.1–26.5% 21.6–27.0% 20.9–27.8%
11–14 December 2017 Top Position 24.5% 23.0–26.2% 22.5–26.6% 22.1–27.0% 21.4–27.8%
1–14 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 22.9% 21.6–24.4% 21.2–24.8% 20.9–25.1% 20.2–25.8%
12–14 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 21.2% 19.5–23.2% 19.0–23.7% 18.5–24.2% 17.7–25.2%
12–14 December 2017 GAD3
ABC		 23.2% 21.6–25.0% 21.1–25.5% 20.7–25.9% 19.9–26.8%
7–14 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 23.1% 21.4–24.9% 21.0–25.4% 20.6–25.8% 19.8–26.7%
11–13 December 2017 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 22.8% 21.4–24.2% 21.1–24.6% 20.7–24.9% 20.1–25.6%
4–13 December 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 21.8% 20.2–23.5% 19.7–24.0% 19.3–24.5% 18.6–25.3%
5–13 December 2017 MyWord
Cadena SER		 22.4% 20.8–24.2% 20.3–24.7% 19.9–25.1% 19.2–26.0%
4–13 December 2017 Metroscopia
El País		 25.2% 24.2–26.2% 24.0–26.5% 23.7–26.7% 23.3–27.2%
4–13 December 2017 Infortécnica
Segre		 23.6% 22.1–25.2% 21.7–25.7% 21.3–26.1% 20.6–26.9%
11–13 December 2017 A+M
20minutos		 24.4% 23.0–25.9% 22.6–26.3% 22.3–26.6% 21.6–27.4%
5–12 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 23.6% 21.9–25.4% 21.5–25.9% 21.1–26.3% 20.3–27.2%
3–11 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 21.9% 20.4–23.6% 19.9–24.1% 19.6–24.5% 18.8–25.3%
1–9 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 21.2% 19.7–22.8% 19.2–23.3% 18.9–23.7% 18.2–24.5%
27 November–8 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 21.5% 20.0–23.2% 19.6–23.7% 19.2–24.1% 18.5–24.9%
4–8 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 21.3% 19.7–23.0% 19.3–23.5% 18.9–24.0% 18.1–24.8%
7 December 2017 Infortécnica
Segre		 24.4% 22.9–26.1% 22.5–26.5% 22.1–26.9% 21.4–27.7%
4–7 December 2017 GAD3
La Vanguardia		 23.1% 21.4–24.9% 21.0–25.4% 20.6–25.8% 19.8–26.7%
3–7 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 23.0% 21.4–24.8% 20.9–25.3% 20.5–25.7% 19.7–26.6%
30 November–7 December 2017 Celeste-Tel
eldiario.es		 22.2% 20.4–24.2% 19.9–24.8% 19.5–25.3% 18.7–26.2%
1–5 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 22.8% 21.2–24.6% 20.7–25.1% 20.3–25.5% 19.5–26.4%
29 November–2 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 19.0% 17.3–20.9% 16.8–21.4% 16.4–21.9% 15.7–22.8%
27–30 November 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 20.5% 18.7–22.4% 18.3–23.0% 17.8–23.4% 17.0–24.4%
23–27 November 2017 IMOP Insights
CIS		 22.5% 21.5–23.5% 21.3–23.8% 21.0–24.0% 20.6–24.5%
13–23 November 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 21.0% 19.1–23.0% 18.6–23.6% 18.1–24.1% 17.3–25.1%
13–23 November 2017 Advice Strategic Consultants
El Confidencial		 18.3% 17.2–19.5% 16.9–19.8% 16.6–20.1% 16.1–20.7%
20–22 November 2017 Metroscopia
El País		 25.3% 23.8–26.8% 23.4–27.2% 23.1–27.6% 22.4–28.3%
15–18 November 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 18.6% 16.9–20.5% 16.5–21.0% 16.1–21.5% 15.3–22.4%
13–16 November 2017 GAD3
ABC		 22.3% 20.5–24.3% 20.0–24.9% 19.6–25.4% 18.7–26.3%
30 October–3 November 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 19.6% 17.8–21.6% 17.3–22.2% 16.8–22.7% 16.0–23.7%
30 October–3 November 2017 GAD3
La Vanguardia		 20.6% 19.1–22.3% 18.6–22.8% 18.2–23.2% 17.5–24.1%
27–31 October 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 18.3% 16.8–20.0% 16.4–20.4% 16.0–20.8% 15.3–21.6%
16–29 October 2017 GESOP
CEO		 18.2% 16.7–19.9% 16.3–20.3% 16.0–20.7% 15.3–21.6%
23–26 October 2017 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 19.6% 18.1–21.3% 17.6–21.8% 17.3–22.2% 16.5–23.0%
16–21 October 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 19.2% 17.7–20.9% 17.2–21.4% 16.9–21.8% 16.2–22.6%
16–19 October 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 16.8% 15.2–18.5% 14.7–19.1% 14.3–19.5% 13.6–20.4%
4–9 October 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 18.2% 16.6–20.1% 16.1–20.6% 15.7–21.1% 15.0–22.0%
19–22 September 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 17.2% 15.9–18.6% 15.5–19.1% 15.2–19.4% 14.6–20.1%
12–15 September 2017 Celeste-Tel
eldiario.es		 17.4% 15.7–19.2% 15.3–19.7% 14.9–20.2% 14.2–21.1%
28 August–1 September 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 17.6% 15.8–19.5% 15.3–20.1% 14.9–20.6% 14.1–21.5%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0.1% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 1.1% 99.9%  
17.5–18.5% 3% 98.8% Last Result
18.5–19.5% 3% 96%  
19.5–20.5% 3% 93%  
20.5–21.5% 8% 90%  
21.5–22.5% 18% 82%  
22.5–23.5% 22% 64% Median
23.5–24.5% 19% 42%  
24.5–25.5% 14% 23%  
25.5–26.5% 7% 9%  
26.5–27.5% 2% 2%  
27.5–28.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
28.5–29.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 25 seats (General Election of 27 September 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 31 27–35 26–36 25–37 24–38
13–20 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 31 28–33 27–34 26–34 26–35
12–19 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 32 30–34 29–35 28–36 26–38
16–18 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 32 29–34 28–36 27–36 26–38
11–18 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 32 30–35 29–36 29–37 27–38
15–17 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 31 27–33 27–34 26–35 25–36
10–17 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 33 30–35 30–36 29–37 27–38
12–16 December 2017 Netquest
L’Indépendant		 33 30–35 29–36 29–37 27–39
14–16 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 29 26–31 25–33 25–33 24–34
9–16 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 33 30–35 30–36 29–37 27–38
13–15 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 29 26–32 25–33 25–33 24–34
11–15 December 2017 GAD3
ABC		 34 32–36 31–37 31–38 30–39
8–15 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 33 30–35 30–36 29–38 28–39
11–14 December 2017 Top Position 34 32–38 32–38 31–39 30–40
1–14 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 31 29–33 28–34 27–34 27–35
12–14 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 29 26–31 25–33 25–33 24–34
12–14 December 2017 GAD3
ABC		 31 29–34 28–34 27–35 26–37
7–14 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 31 29–34 28–34 27–35 26–36
11–13 December 2017 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 31 29–33 29–34 28–34 27–36
4–13 December 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 30 27–32 26–33 26–34 25–35
5–13 December 2017 MyWord
Cadena SER		 31 27–33 27–34 26–34 26–36
4–13 December 2017 Metroscopia
El País		 34 33–36 33–36 33–37 32–38
4–13 December 2017 Infortécnica
Segre		 31 30–34 29–35 28–35 27–36
11–13 December 2017 A+M
20minutos		 33 31–35 31–36 30–36 29–37
5–12 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 32 29–34 29–35 28–36 26–38
3–11 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 30 27–33 26–33 26–34 25–35
1–9 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 29 26–31 26–32 25–32 25–34
27 November–8 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 30 27–32 26–33 26–34 25–34
4–8 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 28 26–31 26–32 25–32 24–34
7 December 2017 Infortécnica
Segre		 32 31–35 30–36 29–36 28–37
4–7 December 2017 GAD3
La Vanguardia		 31 29–34 28–34 27–35 26–37
3–7 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 31 29–34 28–35 27–36 26–37
30 November–7 December 2017 Celeste-Tel
eldiario.es		 30 27–33 26–34 26–34 25–36
1–5 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 31 28–33 27–34 26–34 26–36
29 November–2 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 25 23–28 22–29 22–30 20–31
27–30 November 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 28 26–31 25–32 25–32 23–34
23–27 November 2017 IMOP Insights
CIS		 31 30–33 29–33 29–33 28–34
13–23 November 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 29 26–32 25–33 25–33 23–35
13–23 November 2017 Advice Strategic Consultants
El Confidencial		 26 24–27 24–28 24–28 22–30
20–22 November 2017 Metroscopia
El País		 34 32–37 32–38 31–38 30–39
15–18 November 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 25 23–28 22–28 21–29 20–31
13–16 November 2017 GAD3
ABC		 31 27–33 26–34 26–35 25–36
30 October–3 November 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 26 24–30 24–30 23–31 21–33
30 October–3 November 2017 GAD3
La Vanguardia		 27 25–30 25–31 25–32 23–33
27–31 October 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 25 23–27 22–28 21–29 20–30
16–29 October 2017 GESOP
CEO		 25 22–26 21–27 21–28 20–30
23–26 October 2017 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 26 25–30 24–30 24–31 22–32
16–21 October 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 26 24–29 24–30 24–30 22–31
16–19 October 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 24 20–25 20–26 19–26 18–28
4–9 October 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 25 22–27 21–28 21–29 20–31
19–22 September 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 24 21–25 20–26 20–26 19–28
12–15 September 2017 Celeste-Tel
eldiario.es		 24 20–25 20–26 19–27 18–29
28 August–1 September 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 25 20–26 20–28 20–28 19–30

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.7% 99.9%  
25 3% 99.2% Last Result
26 4% 96%  
27 3% 93%  
28 4% 89%  
29 6% 86%  
30 10% 79%  
31 20% 69% Median
32 13% 50%  
33 12% 37%  
34 13% 25%  
35 6% 12%  
36 3% 6%  
37 1.4% 3%  
38 1.0% 1.5%  
39 0.4% 0.4%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%